Türkiye - 1. Lig05/01/2026, 11:30 AMUpdated ang data noong September 06, 2026

Hatayspor vs Van BB: mga stats ng match

Hatayspor

3 : 1half-time 0:0

Van BB

Hatayspor vs Van BB: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Hatayspor laban sa Van BB sa 1. Lig (Türkiye). Nilaro ang match noong 1 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.

Current na form

Hatayspor: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Van BB: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Hatayspor ay may 0.81 goals na na-score at 2.73 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Van BB naman ay may 1.38 na na-score at 1.19 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hatayspor 54%, Van BB 49%. Over 2.5: Hatayspor 76%, Van BB 51%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Van BB ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.33 vs 0.86. May average na 7.6 shots bawat match ang Hatayspor, habang 11.4 naman ang Van BB.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Hatayspor sa half-time sa 16% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.46 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Van BB, 19% at 0.92 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Hatayspor: 76-90+ (9 goals). Van BB: 76-90+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

1. Lig: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 50% at Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-0-1, average goals 4.00, at BTTS 0%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Bet ko sa win ng Van BB (2): Hatayspor conceded 101 goals this season at home average nila 2.28 goals per match, at sa last 5 home games they shipped 13 goals. Van BB scored 51 goals this season, away average 1.44 goals with xG 1.11 at 3.56 shots on target per match at 15% conversion, nagbibigay ito ng advantage sa quality ng chances. Hatayspor at home scores only 0.83 goals per match with xG 0.88, nagpapaputok ng 8.06 shots (2.22 on target) at conversion rate na 10%, so they produce few dangerous opportunities. Additionally, hosts have only 1 win this season at average 0.8 points in the last 5, while Van has 13 wins and averages 1.2 points in that period; Van also has 17% clean sheets away vs 6% for Hatayspor. Considering these differences, I rate chances as 73% for Van BB, 17% draw and 10% home win.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

0 : 0

1st half

3 : 1

2nd half

Stats ng match

48Possession (%)52

HataysporVan BB

9Shots22

HataysporVan BB

3Shots on target7

HataysporVan BB

1.04xG2.27

HataysporVan BB

2Corners5

HataysporVan BB

36Dangerous attacks57

HataysporVan BB

11Fouls14

HataysporVan BB

3Cards3

HataysporVan BB

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

0.3Points bawat match1.32

HataysporVan BB

0.81Goals na na-score / match1.38

HataysporVan BB

2.73Goals na na-concede / match1.19

HataysporVan BB

0.86xG for1.33

HataysporVan BB

46%Average na possession55%

HataysporVan BB

2.46Shots on target bawat match4.22

HataysporVan BB

3%Clean sheets27%

HataysporVan BB

54%Parehong teams naka-score49%

HataysporVan BB

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

7.62Shots bawat match11.38

HataysporVan BB

2.46Shots on target4.22

HataysporVan BB

10.6%Shot conversion12.1%

HataysporVan BB

46%Possession55%

HataysporVan BB

0.86xG for1.33

HataysporVan BB

1.73xG against1.3

HataysporVan BB

Quality ng shooting

Hatayspor: Balanced ang styleVan BB: Balanced ang style

	Hatayspor	Van BB
Accuracy ng shots on target	32%	37%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)	0.11	0.12
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)	0.33	0.33

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Van BB ang 50% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

0.8 pts / match - Hatayspor · 1.2 pts / match - Van BB

Hatayspor

LWLDL

Result split ngayong season

3% W22% R76% P

Season record (W-D-L)

1-8-28

0.30 pts / match · goal difference -71

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-1-3

0.80 pts / match

Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)

1-5-12

Last 5 sa home

1-1-3

LLLWD

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.6Goals na na-concede: 2.6xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Van BB

LWLWL

Result split ngayong season

35% W27% R38% P

Season record (W-D-L)

13-10-14

1.32 pts / match · goal difference +7

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-0-3

1.20 pts / match

Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)

5-6-7

Last 5 sa away

2-1-2

DLLWW

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.8Goals na na-concede: 1.8xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Van BB ang 70% better sa: goals scored per match.

0.81 goals / match - Hatayspor · 1.38 goals / match - Van BB

Van BB ang 129% better sa: goals conceded per match.

2.73 goals / match - Hatayspor · 1.19 goals / match - Van BB

Scoring profile ng Hatayspor: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Hatayspor sa 57% ng matches (21 sa 37 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Van BB sa 27% (10 sa 37 matches).

Scoring profile ng Van BB: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Van BB sa 62% ng matches (23 sa 37 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Hatayspor sa 3% (1 sa 37 matches).

30Goals na na-score (season)51

HataysporVan BB

101Goals na na-concede (season)44

HataysporVan BB

3.54Average ng goals sa match2.57

HataysporVan BB

8Goals na na-score (last 5)9

HataysporVan BB

13Goals na na-concede (last 5)9

HataysporVan BB

Hatayspor

Clean sheets1 sa 37 matches

43%

No goal16 sa 37 matches

Van BB

27%

Clean sheets10 sa 37 matches

38%

No goal14 sa 37 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

57%1 goal62%

HataysporVan BB

16%2 goals32%

HataysporVan BB

5%3 goals30%

HataysporVan BB

3%4 goals8%

HataysporVan BB

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

97%1 goal73%

HataysporVan BB

78%2 goals35%

HataysporVan BB

59%3 goals11%

HataysporVan BB

30%4 goals0%

HataysporVan BB

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

54%

Hatayspor - BTTS20 sa 37 matches

49%

Van BB - BTTS18 sa 37 matches

50%

Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

14%BTTS sa half-time22%

HataysporVan BB

5%BTTS sa parehong halves3%

HataysporVan BB

11%Naka-score sa parehong halves24%

HataysporVan BB

BTTS at goal count

41%Min. 3 goals at BTTS38%

HataysporVan BB

35%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS14%

HataysporVan BB

60%BTTS - last 560%

HataysporVan BB

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)86%

HataysporVan BB

95%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)68%

HataysporVan BB

76%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)51%

HataysporVan BB

51%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)27%

HataysporVan BB

24%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)14%

HataysporVan BB

Over / Under - Hatayspor

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 95%Under 5%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 76%Under 24%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 51%Under 49%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 24%Under 76%

Over / Under - Van BB

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 86%Under 14%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 68%Under 32%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 51%Under 49%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 27%Under 73%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 14%Under 86%

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time59%

HataysporVan BB

43%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time30%

HataysporVan BB

8%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time11%

HataysporVan BB

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time81%

HataysporVan BB

62%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time51%

HataysporVan BB

46%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time16%

HataysporVan BB

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Van BB ang 38% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

0.78 pts / match - Hatayspor · 1.08 pts / match - Van BB

Hatayspor - state sa half-time

16% nangunguna30% tabla54% nahuhuli

Van BB - state sa half-time

19% nangunguna51% tabla30% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

0.78Points bawat match (1st half)1.08

HataysporVan BB

0.35Goals na na-score (1st half)0.46

HataysporVan BB

1Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.57

HataysporVan BB

1.35Average ng goals (1st half)1.03

HataysporVan BB

38%Clean sheet bago ang half-time54%

HataysporVan BB

70%Walang goal bago ang half-time65%

HataysporVan BB

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

0.35Points bawat match (2nd half)1.46

HataysporVan BB

0.46Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.92

HataysporVan BB

1.73Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.62

HataysporVan BB

2.19Average ng goals (2nd half)1.54

HataysporVan BB

19%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time54%

HataysporVan BB

62%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time49%

HataysporVan BB

Hatayspor - mga result sa second half

5% W19% R76% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-24

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

-47

Goal difference sa 2nd half

0.78

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding19%

Leading sa half-time sa 16% ng matches at nananalo sa 3%. Minsan nawawala ang lead pagkatapos ng half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Nagko-concede ng 0.7 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Van BB - mga result sa second half

38% W32% R30% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-4

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

+11

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.08

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding184%

Leading sa half-time sa 19% ng matches at nananalo sa 35%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Hatayspor - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.20	1.20
Goals na na-score / match	0.6	1.0
Goals na na-concede / match	0.6	2.0
Average ng goals sa match	1.2	3.0
1 goal	100%	100%
2 goals	20%	80%
3 goals	0%	60%
Clean sheet	40%	40%
No goal	60%	20%
Goal difference	0	-5

Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 0% tabla - 60% nahuhuli

2nd half: 40% panalo - 0% tabla - 60% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 3

Van BB - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.20	1.20
Goals na na-score / match	0.6	1.2
Goals na na-concede / match	0.6	1.2
Average ng goals sa match	1.2	2.4
1 goal	60%	100%
2 goals	40%	80%
3 goals	20%	40%
Clean sheet	40%	20%
No goal	60%	60%
Goal difference	0	0

Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 60% tabla - 20% nahuhuli

2nd half: 40% panalo - 0% tabla - 60% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 40% - Total goals sa half-time: 3

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Hatayspor

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (23). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -14 - mahina sa late phases.

Van BB

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (9). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +3 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

3.05

Estimated na goals

attack laban sa opponent defence

1.0 : 2.1

Estimated na hati ng goals

home : away

105%

Pace kumpara sa liga

100% = average ng liga

52%

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)

average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams

+31%

Derby effect

H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches

35%

BTTS estimate

mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams

16%

0:0 risk

mga 1 sa bawat 6 matches

0-1

Pinakakaraniwang goal range

attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Hatayspor

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

-0.87

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

-1.05

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

+2.0 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.05

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

-1.00

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

49%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

217%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+0.50

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.1

Mga late goal

30% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 20% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

30%

Van BB

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

+0.03

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+0.16

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-14.6 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

+0.05

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.11

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

110%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

72%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

-0.12

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.5

Mga late goal

24% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 8% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

24%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng 1. Lig.

Teams kumpara sa liga

	Hatayspor	Liga	Van BB
Average ng goals sa match	▲ 3.54	2.91	▼ 2.57
Parehong teams naka-score	▲ 54%	50%	• 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 76%	54%	▼ 51%
Clean sheets	▼ 3%	29%	▼ 27%
Goal bago ang half-time	▲ 78%	71%	▼ 59%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time	▲ 86%	80%	• 81%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.91

Average goals bawat match

50%

Parehong teams naka-score

54%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

29%

Clean sheets

1.65

Home goals bawat match

1.26

Away goals bawat match

+31%

Advantage ng home attack

+24%

Advantage ng home defence

+15%

Kabuuang home advantage

Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)

71%

1 goal

39%

2 goals

12%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)

80%

1 goal

51%

2 goals

21%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Starting lineup

4Muhammed GönülaçarA 1 5Hakan Çinemre 17Yilmaz Ginlumabas 72'18Ünal-Emre Durmushan⚽ 1 20Ali Yıldızlumabas 63'21Seyit GazanferA 1 23Cenk Doğan 25Yunus Azrak⚽ 1 · 🟨 1 · lumabas 88'78Emir Dadük🟨 1 85Ensar Arslan⚽ 1 · A 1 · lumabas 87'98Mustafa Said Aydınlumabas 63'

Substitutes

9Deniz Aksoypumasok 72'19Cemıl Berk Aksu🟨 1 · pumasok 63'

24Ahmet Bayampumasok 1'

33Ersin Aydemirpumasok 88'47Sinan Özenpumasok 1'57Musa Danjumapumasok 1'66Abdulkadi̇r Adiyamanpumasok 1'81Rakhim Chaadaevpumasok 87'97Melih Şenpumasok 63'

Away team

Starting lineup

7Santeri Hostikka⚽ 1 · 🟨 1 8Aliou Badara Traoré🟨 1 10Jefferson Nogueira Junior 11Francesc Regis CrespíA 1 · 🟨 1

16Batıhan Gebecelioğlu

21Alper Demirol 45Emir Bars 65Medeni Bingöl 77Güvenç Usta 82Anıl Mehmet Sıddık Yıldırımlumabas 69'90Muhammed Çoksulumabas 55'

Substitutes

41Mehmet Özcanpumasok 69'61Faruk Can Gençpumasok 55'

73Servet Ölmezpumasok 1'

91Boran Yağızerpumasok 1'

98Soran Tümenpumasok 1'

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

37'
Van BBYellow cardFrancesc Regis Crespí
44'
HataysporYellow cardYunus Azrak
47'
Van BBYellow cardAliou Badara Traoré
55'
Van BBSubstitutionPumasok: Faruk Can GençLumabas: Muhammed Çoksu
65'
HataysporGoalÜnal-Emre DurmushanAssist: Seyit Gazanfer
68'
HataysporYellow cardCemıl Berk Aksu
69'
HataysporYellow cardEmir Dadük
69'
Van BBSubstitutionPumasok: Mehmet ÖzcanLumabas: Anıl Mehmet Sıddık Yıldırım
72'
HataysporSubstitutionPumasok: Deniz AksoyLumabas: Yilmaz Gin
73'
HataysporGoalYunus AzrakAssist: Ensar Arslan
75'
Van BBYellow cardSanteri Hostikka
86'
HataysporGoalEnsar ArslanAssist: Muhammed Gönülaçar
87'
HataysporSubstitutionPumasok: Rakhim ChaadaevLumabas: Ensar Arslan
88'
HataysporSubstitutionPumasok: Ersin AydemirLumabas: Yunus Azrak
90+3'
Van BBGoalSanteri HostikkaAssist: Francesc Regis Crespí

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

RefereeÖmer Faruk Gültekin Home coachBekir İrtegün Away coachOsman Zeki Korkmaz

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Ömer Faruk GültekinMatches officiated: 10

6.2Cards kada match

0Penalties kada match

1 / X / 250%Home wins30%Draws20%Away wins

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Hatayspor 0 - 0 - 1 Van BB. Average ng goals 4.00, both teams scored sa 0% matches.

Van Büyükşehir Belediyesi Spor Kulübü

4 : 012/27/2025

Hatay Spor Kulübü

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Hatayspor vs Van BB?

Natapos ang 1. Lig match sa score na Hatayspor 3:1 Van BB. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Hatayspor vs Van BB?

Hatayspor scores 0.81 goals per match at Van BB 1.38. Ang 1. Lig average ay 2.91 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 54% ng matches. BTTS: Hatayspor 54%, Van BB 49%.

Ano ang current form ng Hatayspor at Van BB?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Hatayspor ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Van BB ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Hatayspor vs Van BB?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.