Denmark - 1st Division04/26/2026, 02:00 PMUpdated ang data noong September 07, 2026

HB Køge vs AaB: mga stats ng match

HB Køge

1 : 1half-time 1:1

AaB

HB Køge vs AaB: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang HB Køge laban sa AaB sa 1st Division (Denmark). Nilaro ang match noong 26 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current na form

HB Køge: 4-1-0 sa last five matches at 2.60 points per match. AaB: 4-1-0 at 2.60 points per match.

Stats ng goals

HB Køge ay may 1.31 goals na na-score at 1.65 na na-concede bawat match. Ang AaB naman ay may 1.73 na na-score at 1.38 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HB Køge 62%, AaB 54%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 58%, AaB 62%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

AaB ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.50 vs 1.41. May average na 12.8 shots bawat match ang HB Køge, habang 12.9 naman ang AaB.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang HB Køge sa half-time sa 31% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.85 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa AaB, 31% at 1.19 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

HB Køge: 46-60 (9 goals). AaB: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

1st Division: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 55% at Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 2 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-0-2, average goals 2.50, at BTTS 50%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

May slim home advantage ang HB Køge: sa home win rate na 46%, positive goal difference sa stadium (+2) at average goals 1.23 scored vs 1.08 conceded per match. Mas mataas ang season goal output ng AaB (45 vs 34) at better shot conversion sa away (11% vs 9%), plus higher average possession away (54% vs 44%)—indikasyon ng game control ng visitors. Pero ang AaB only wins 31% sa away, may negative away goal difference (-1) at concedes 1.46 goals away on average, samantalang ang HB Køge concedes only 1.08 sa home, na nagpapahina sa away advantage ng AaB. Recent form sa last 5 parehong 4 wins 1 draw: HB Køge scored 11 conceded 5, AaB scored 13 conceded 6—very level in efficiency. Considering higher home win percentage (46% vs 31%), better home defence (1.08 vs 1.46) at similar xG (HB Køge home xG 1.54 vs AaB away xG 1.48), nire-rate ko slight home favoritism: 50% home win, 25% draw, 25% away win.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

1 : 1

1st half

0 : 0

2nd half

Stats ng match

44Possession (%)56

HB KøgeAaB

12Shots18

HB KøgeAaB

6Shots on target6

HB KøgeAaB

1.58xG1.95

HB KøgeAaB

2Corners8

HB KøgeAaB

55Dangerous attacks55

HB KøgeAaB

11Fouls9

HB KøgeAaB

1Cards1

HB KøgeAaB

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.23Points bawat match1.54

HB KøgeAaB

1.31Goals na na-score / match1.73

HB KøgeAaB

1.65Goals na na-concede / match1.38

HB KøgeAaB

1.41xG for1.5

HB KøgeAaB

43%Average na possession53%

HB KøgeAaB

4.12Shots on target bawat match4.92

HB KøgeAaB

15%Clean sheets23%

HB KøgeAaB

62%Parehong teams naka-score54%

HB KøgeAaB

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

12.77Shots bawat match12.92

HB KøgeAaB

4.12Shots on target4.92

HB KøgeAaB

10.2%Shot conversion13.4%

HB KøgeAaB

43%Possession53%

HB KøgeAaB

1.41xG for1.5

HB KøgeAaB

1.57xG against1.56

HB KøgeAaB

Quality ng shooting

HB Køge: Balanced ang styleAaB: Efficient ang finishing

	HB Køge	AaB
Accuracy ng shots on target	32%	38%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)	0.11	0.12
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)	0.32	0.35

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

HB Køge

DWWWW

Unbeaten sa last 5 matches

Result split ngayong season

35% W19% R46% P

Season record (W-D-L)

9-5-12

1.23 pts / match · goal difference -9

Last 5 (W-D-L)

4-1-0

2.60 pts / match

Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)

6-2-5

Last 5 sa home

2-1-2

LLDWW

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 2.2Goals na na-concede: 1.0xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

AaB

DWWWW

Unbeaten sa last 5 matches

Result split ngayong season

42% W27% R31% P

Season record (W-D-L)

11-7-8

1.54 pts / match · goal difference +9

Last 5 (W-D-L)

4-1-0

2.60 pts / match

Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)

4-4-5

Last 5 sa away

2-2-1

DDLWW

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 2.6Goals na na-concede: 1.2xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

AaB ang 32% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.31 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.73 goals / match - AaB

AaB ang 20% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.65 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.38 goals / match - AaB

Scoring profile ng HB Køge: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang HB Køge sa 77% ng matches (20 sa 26 matches), habang may clean sheet ang AaB sa 23% (6 sa 26 matches).

Scoring profile ng AaB: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang AaB sa 73% ng matches (19 sa 26 matches), habang may clean sheet ang HB Køge sa 15% (4 sa 26 matches).

34Goals na na-score (season)45

HB KøgeAaB

43Goals na na-concede (season)36

HB KøgeAaB

2.96Average ng goals sa match3.12

HB KøgeAaB

11Goals na na-score (last 5)13

HB KøgeAaB

5Goals na na-concede (last 5)6

HB KøgeAaB

HB Køge

15%

Clean sheets4 sa 26 matches

23%

No goal6 sa 26 matches

AaB

23%

Clean sheets6 sa 26 matches

27%

No goal7 sa 26 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

77%1 goal73%

HB KøgeAaB

46%2 goals54%

HB KøgeAaB

8%3 goals31%

HB KøgeAaB

0%4 goals12%

HB KøgeAaB

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

85%1 goal77%

HB KøgeAaB

54%2 goals42%

HB KøgeAaB

23%3 goals12%

HB KøgeAaB

4%4 goals4%

HB KøgeAaB

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

62%

HB Køge - BTTS16 sa 26 matches

54%

AaB - BTTS14 sa 26 matches

55%

Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

15%BTTS sa half-time12%

HB KøgeAaB

8%BTTS sa parehong halves4%

HB KøgeAaB

31%Naka-score sa parehong halves23%

HB KøgeAaB

BTTS at goal count

54%Min. 3 goals at BTTS46%

HB KøgeAaB

4%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS15%

HB KøgeAaB

60%BTTS - last 580%

HB KøgeAaB

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)96%

HB KøgeAaB

88%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)77%

HB KøgeAaB

58%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)62%

HB KøgeAaB

35%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)42%

HB KøgeAaB

12%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)19%

HB KøgeAaB

Over / Under - HB Køge

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 88%Under 12%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 58%Under 42%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 35%Under 65%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 12%Under 88%

Over / Under - AaB

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 96%Under 4%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 77%Under 23%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 62%Under 38%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 42%Under 58%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 19%Under 81%

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time73%

HB KøgeAaB

31%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time35%

HB KøgeAaB

15%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time12%

HB KøgeAaB

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time88%

HB KøgeAaB

65%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time46%

HB KøgeAaB

19%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time31%

HB KøgeAaB

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

HB Køge ang 7% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.31 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.23 pts / match - AaB

HB Køge - state sa half-time

31% nangunguna38% tabla31% nahuhuli

AaB - state sa half-time

31% nangunguna31% tabla38% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.31Points bawat match (1st half)1.23

HB KøgeAaB

0.46Goals na na-score (1st half)0.54

HB KøgeAaB

0.69Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.73

HB KøgeAaB

1.15Average ng goals (1st half)1.27

HB KøgeAaB

58%Clean sheet bago ang half-time50%

HB KøgeAaB

58%Walang goal bago ang half-time65%

HB KøgeAaB

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points bawat match (2nd half)1.69

HB KøgeAaB

0.85Goals na na-score (2nd half)1.19

HB KøgeAaB

0.96Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.65

HB KøgeAaB

1.81Average ng goals (2nd half)1.85

HB KøgeAaB

31%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time46%

HB KøgeAaB

35%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time38%

HB KøgeAaB

HB Køge - mga result sa second half

35% W27% R38% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-6

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

-3

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.31

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding113%

Leading sa half-time sa 31% ng matches at nananalo sa 35%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Nagko-concede ng 0.3 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

AaB - mga result sa second half

50% W19% R31% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-5

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

+14

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.23

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding135%

Leading sa half-time sa 31% ng matches at nananalo sa 42%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

HB Køge - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	2.20	1.60
Goals na na-score / match	0.8	1.4
Goals na na-concede / match	0.2	0.8
Average ng goals sa match	1.0	2.2
1 goal	60%	100%
2 goals	20%	100%
3 goals	20%	20%
Clean sheet	80%	40%
No goal	40%	0%
Goal difference	+3	+3

Half-time: 60% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 0% nahuhuli

2nd half: 40% panalo - 40% tabla - 20% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 4

AaB - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.40	2.20
Goals na na-score / match	1.0	1.6
Goals na na-concede / match	1.0	0.2
Average ng goals sa match	2.0	1.8
1 goal	100%	60%
2 goals	60%	40%
3 goals	20%	40%
Clean sheet	20%	80%
No goal	40%	40%
Goal difference	0	+7

Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 20% tabla - 40% nahuhuli

2nd half: 60% panalo - 40% tabla - 0% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 40% - Total goals sa half-time: 5

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

HB Køge

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 61-75 (9). Balance ng late goals (76-90): 0.

AaB

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 16-30 (8). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +6 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

3.04

Estimated na goals

attack laban sa opponent defence

1.3 : 1.7

Estimated na hati ng goals

home : away

109%

Pace kumpara sa liga

100% = average ng liga

58%

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)

average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams

-18%

Derby effect

H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches

56%

BTTS estimate

mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams

0:0 risk

mga 1 sa bawat 17 matches

2-3

Pinakakaraniwang goal range

attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

HB Køge

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

-0.16

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

-0.18

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

+2.0 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.10

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

-0.08

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

88%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

128%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+1.37

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.4

Mga late goal

24% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 9% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

24%

AaB

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

-0.06

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+0.41

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-7.6 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

+0.23

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.18

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

134%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

93%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+1.06

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.6

Mga late goal

29% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 18% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

29%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng 1st Division.

Teams kumpara sa liga

	HB Køge	Liga	AaB
Average ng goals sa match	▲ 2.96	2.78	▲ 3.12
Parehong teams naka-score	▲ 62%	55%	• 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 58%	55%	▲ 62%
Clean sheets	▼ 15%	26%	▼ 23%
Goal bago ang half-time	▼ 69%	73%	• 73%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time	▲ 96%	80%	▲ 88%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.78

Average goals bawat match

55%

Parehong teams naka-score

55%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

26%

Clean sheets

1.49

Home goals bawat match

1.29

Away goals bawat match

+16%

Advantage ng home attack

+13%

Advantage ng home defence

+9%

Kabuuang home advantage

Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)

73%

1 goal

36%

2 goals

16%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)

80%

1 goal

47%

2 goals

17%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Starting lineup

2Laurits Bust Sørensen 7Mike Lindemann Jensen⚽ 1 9Tobias Thomsen 14Viktor Løvgren Sørensenlumabas 29'16Silas Hald 20Alfred Gøthlerlumabas 86'22Mattias Jakobsen 23Mads Westergrenlumabas 35'27Marcel Rømer 28Gabriel Larsen 29Noah Emil Sømmergaard

Substitutes

11Mohamad Fakhri Al-Naserpumasok 1'

12Dulat Talyspaevpumasok 1'

17Basem Alkhoudaripumasok 86'19Erkan Semovski🟨 1 · pumasok 35'

31Oliver Engbergpumasok 1'

34Adam Choukripumasok 1'

35Lukas Achtonpumasok 29'

Away team

Starting lineup

7Rory Brown⚽ 1 · 🟨 1 · lumabas 81'8Alexander Lien Håpnes 11Kornelius Normann Hansen 14Mathias Nordestgaard Kubellumabas 56'15Cornelius Axel Olssonlumabas 46'18Andreas Maarup Hansenlumabas 70'24Nóel Atli Arnórsson 25Frederik Børsting 27Kelvin Pius John 33Elison Makolli 40Bertil Magne Grønkjær Pedersen

Substitutes

1Vincent Müllerpumasok 1'3Adam Anderssonpumasok 70'5Marc Nielsenpumasok 46'26Marcus Bondepumasok 1'31Anders Abdull-Gaffar Haidar Noshepumasok 81'

32Christian Tcacencopumasok 1'

35Eugene Ampofoh Amankwahpumasok 1'

44William Griebel Sonny Thomsenpumasok 56'

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

10'
HB KøgeGoalMike Lindemann Jensen
29'
HB KøgeSubstitutionPumasok: Lukas AchtonLumabas: Viktor Løvgren Sørensen
33'
AaBGoalRory Brown
35'
HB KøgeSubstitutionPumasok: Erkan SemovskiLumabas: Mads Westergren
45+3'
AaBYellow cardRory Brown
46'
AaBSubstitutionPumasok: Marc NielsenLumabas: Cornelius Axel Olsson
56'
AaBSubstitutionPumasok: William Griebel Sonny ThomsenLumabas: Mathias Nordestgaard Kubel
70'
AaBSubstitutionPumasok: Adam AnderssonLumabas: Andreas Maarup Hansen
77'
HB KøgeYellow cardErkan Semovski
81'
AaBSubstitutionPumasok: Anders Abdull-Gaffar Haidar NosheLumabas: Rory Brown
86'
HB KøgeSubstitutionPumasok: Basem AlkhoudariLumabas: Alfred Gøthler

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

RefereeMathias Lykke Home coachNicklas Pedersen Away coachSteffen Højer

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Mathias LykkeMatches officiated: 11

2.18Cards kada match

0Penalties kada match

1 / X / 236%Home wins18%Draws45%Away wins

Head-to-head

Mga recent meeting (2): HB Køge 0 - 0 - 2 AaB. Average ng goals 2.50, both teams scored sa 50% matches.

Aalborg BK

2 : 110/02/2025

HB Køge

0 : 208/10/2025

Aalborg BK

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng HB Køge vs AaB?

Natapos ang 1st Division match sa score na HB Køge 1:1 AaB. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng HB Køge at AaB?

Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang HB Køge ng 0, ang AaB ng 2, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 2.50; BTTS: 50%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang HB Køge vs AaB?

HB Køge scores 1.31 goals per match at AaB 1.73. Ang 1st Division average ay 2.78 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: HB Køge 62%, AaB 54%.

Ano ang current form ng HB Køge at AaB?

Sa last 5 matches, ang HB Køge ay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per match), habang ang AaB ay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng HB Køge vs AaB?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.