Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional: match stats
Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional sa Categoria Primera A (Colombia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 12 April 2026 at 03:20. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1 at 2.40 points per match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 at concedes 1.26 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 at concedes 0.84. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 68%, Atlético Nacional 40%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 58%, Atlético Nacional 64%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots at playing style
Atlético Nacional ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.75 vs 1.53. Independiente Medellín averages 14.6 shots per match, habang Atlético Nacional ay 16.8.
First at second half
Independiente Medellín leads at half-time sa 16% ng matches at scores 0.89 goals after the break. Atlético Nacional: 28% at 1.36.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53% at Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Sa 6 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-4-2. Average goals: 3.33, BTTS: 83%.
Match description
Forecast: away win (2). Atlético Nacional may nagkaroon ng 11 wins this season kumpara sa 4 ng Independiente Medellín, with 30 goals scored and 11 conceded, habang hosts mayroon 19 scored at 19 conceded — malinaw advantage ang away team sa goal difference. Medellín sa sariling bahay nagge-generate ng mas maraming actions — average 20.17 shots, 6.17 on target at xG 2.01, which translates to 1.5 goals per match at 0% goalless games; last 5 home matches hosts recorded 2 wins, 2 draws at 1 loss (avg 1.6 points per game). Nacional away gumawa ng fewer shots (13.14), pero may higher efficiency (conversion 11% vs 7%), scores average 1.43 goals at concedes 1.14 per match; last 5 away games ng visitors: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss (avg 2 points per game). Considering 11 wins at better shooting efficiency ng away team at advantage sa goal balance, kasabay ng offensive potential ng hosts (xG 2.01), I assign probabilities: 50% Atlético Nacional, 30% draw, 20% Independiente Medellín.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
Atlético Nacional
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Independiente Medellín 0 - 4 - 2 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 83% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional?
Natapos ang Categoria Primera A match sa score na Independiente Medellín 2:3 Atlético Nacional. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Independiente Medellín at Atlético Nacional?
Sa huling 6 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Independiente Medellín ng 0, ang Atlético Nacional ng 2, at 4 ang draws. Average goals: 3.33; BTTS: 83%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 goals per match at Atlético Nacional 1.96. Ang Categoria Primera A average ay 2.53 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Independiente Medellín 68%, Atlético Nacional 40%.
Ano ang current form ng Independiente Medellín at Atlético Nacional?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Independiente Medellín ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Atlético Nacional ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.