Argentina - Primera DivisiónData updated noong July 19, 2026

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: match stats

135%(2.04)
X35%(3.00)
230%(4.00)

Ang match ay mukhang extremely balanced. Ang Independiente ay showing solid form with three wins sa last five matches at impressive 7:2 goal difference, pero sa home games nila, may two draws sila at zero wins. Ang Vélez Sarsfield naman ay perfect sa away games this season (two wins, zero goals conceded), pero shaky ang form nila sa last five matches with two losses. Ang key factor dito ay ang possession advantage ng away team (53% vs 40%) at ang high shooting accuracy nila on the road (14%). Sa kabilang banda, ang home team ay may better xG stats sa home matches (1.37 vs 0.91 for guests on away) at mas active offensively. Given ang defensive solidity ng Vélez sa away games at ang struggles ng Independiente to win at home, ang most probable scenario ay draw o slim victory for either side.

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield sa Primera División (Argentina). Naka-schedule ang match sa 31 January 2026 at 23:45. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Independiente: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Vélez Sarsfield: 1-3-1 at 1.20 points per match.

Goal statistics

Independiente scores 1.47 at concedes 1.35 goals per match. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.06 at concedes 0.76. League average: 2.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Independiente 71%, Vélez Sarsfield 47%. Over 2.5: Independiente 41%, Vélez Sarsfield 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots at playing style

Halos pareho ang xG per match ng dalawang teams. Independiente averages 12.7 shots per match, habang Vélez Sarsfield ay 12.7.

First at second half

Independiente leads at half-time sa 24% ng matches at scores 0.82 goals after the break. Vélez Sarsfield: 29% at 0.59.

Goals by minute

Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). Vélez Sarsfield: 0-15 (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45% at Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-1. Average goals: 2.67, BTTS: 67%.

Match description

Ang match ay mukhang extremely balanced. Ang Independiente ay showing solid form with three wins sa last five matches at impressive 7:2 goal difference, pero sa home games nila, may two draws sila at zero wins. Ang Vélez Sarsfield naman ay perfect sa away games this season (two wins, zero goals conceded), pero shaky ang form nila sa last five matches with two losses. Ang key factor dito ay ang possession advantage ng away team (53% vs 40%) at ang high shooting accuracy nila on the road (14%). Sa kabilang banda, ang home team ay may better xG stats sa home matches (1.37 vs 0.91 for guests on away) at mas active offensively. Given ang defensive solidity ng Vélez sa away games at ang struggles ng Independiente to win at home, ang most probable scenario ay draw o slim victory for either side.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
13Shots12
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
4Shots on target5
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
1.4xG1.43
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
3Corners6
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
41Dangerous attacks44
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
9Fouls14
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
1Cards1
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
1.47Goals scored / match1.06
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
1.35Goals conceded / match0.76
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
53%Average possession55%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
4.06Shots on target / match4.12
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.71Shots per match12.65
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
4.06Shots on target4.12
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
11.6%Shot conversion8.4%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
53%Possession55%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
1.48xG for1.48
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
1.27xG against1.47
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

Shooting quality

Independiente: BalancedVélez Sarsfield: Balanced
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Independiente is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Independiente · 1.2 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente
DWLWL
Season result split
35% W35% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-5
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Vélez Sarsfield
WDDDL
Season result split
41% W41% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-3
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Independiente · 1.06 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield

Vélez Sarsfield is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Independiente · 0.76 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield

Scoring profile ng Independiente: napakalakas

Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).

Scoring profile ng Vélez Sarsfield: napakalakas

Vélez Sarsfield scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)18
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
23Goals conceded (season)13
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
2.82Average goals in match1.82
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
7Goals scored (last 5)4
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal76%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
35%2 goals29%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
12%3 goals0%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
6%4 goals0%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal59%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
35%2 goals12%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
18%3 goals6%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
6%4 goals0%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

41%BTTS at half-time18%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
6%BTTS in both halves0%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
18%Scored in both halves6%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
80%BTTS - last 540%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vélez Sarsfield is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Independiente · 1.35 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing
Vélez Sarsfield - half-time state
29% leading47% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.35
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.47
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
1.35Average goals (1st half)0.88
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
47%Clean sheet before half-time59%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
41%No goal before half-time65%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per match (2nd half)1.65
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.35
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
1.47Average goals (2nd half)0.94
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
53%Clean sheet after half-time71%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
47%No goal after half-time53%
IndependienteVélez Sarsfield

Independiente - second-half results

35% W35% R29% P
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results

41% W41% R18% P
23
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding141%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Independiente - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Vélez Sarsfield - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Independiente
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
2
16-30
6
5
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Vélez Sarsfield
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
0
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.32
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Independiente

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Vélez Sarsfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.71
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

IndependienteLigaVélez Sarsfield
Average goals in match 2.822.08 1.82
Both teams scored 71%45% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%34% 24%
Clean sheets 24%34% 41%
Goal before half-time 71%61% 59%
Goal after half-time 76%71% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.08
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
0.90
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Independiente 1 - 1 - 1 Vélez Sarsfield. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% mga match.

Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield
2 : 1
CA Independiente
CA Independiente
3 : 0
Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield
CA Independiente
1 : 1
Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield?

Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Independiente 1:1 Vélez Sarsfield. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Independiente at Vélez Sarsfield?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Independiente ng 1, ang Vélez Sarsfield ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 2.67; BTTS: 67%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield?

Independiente scores 1.47 goals per match at Vélez Sarsfield 1.06. Ang Primera División average ay 2.08 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 34% ng matches. BTTS: Independiente 71%, Vélez Sarsfield 47%.

Ano ang current form ng Independiente at Vélez Sarsfield?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Independiente ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Vélez Sarsfield ay 1-3-1 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.