Johor Darul Ta'zim ay may 5.36 goals na na-score at 0.36 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Kelantan United naman ay may 0.90 na na-score at 1.80 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 3.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Johor Darul Ta'zim 18%, Kelantan United 60%. Over 2.5: Johor Darul Ta'zim 91%, Kelantan United 60%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 68%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Johor Darul Ta'zim ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 3.10 vs 1.34. May average na 29.1 shots bawat match ang Johor Darul Ta'zim, habang 11.0 naman ang Kelantan United.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Johor Darul Ta'zim sa half-time sa 82% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 2.91 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Kelantan United, 30% at 0.40 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Johor Darul Ta'zim: 31-45+ (15 goals). Kelantan United: 31-45+ (4 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Super League: 3.49 goals per match, BTTS 47% at Over 2.5 68%.

Head-to-head record

Wala pang sapat na head-to-head sample para gawing pangunahing comparison.

Ayon sa half

2 : 0

1st half

2 : 1

2nd half

Stats ng match

62Possession (%)38

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

26Shots7

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

9Shots on target3

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

2.94xG0.88

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

5Corners0

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

93Dangerous attacks28

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

18Fouls7

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

1Cards0

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

3Points bawat match1.1

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

5.36Goals na na-score / match0.9

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

0.36Goals na na-concede / match1.8

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

3.1xG for1.34

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

66%Average na possession52%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

11.64Shots on target bawat match3.7

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

82%Clean sheets20%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

18%Parehong teams naka-score60%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

29.09Shots bawat match11

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

11.64Shots on target3.7

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

18.4%Shot conversion8.2%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

66%Possession52%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

3.1xG for1.34

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

0.68xG against1.53

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Quality ng shooting

Johor Darul Ta'zim: DominantKelantan United: Balanced ang style

	Johor Darul Ta'zim	Kelantan United
Accuracy ng shots on target	40%	34%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)	0.11	0.12
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)	0.46	0.24

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Johor Darul Ta'zim ang 150% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

3 pts / match - Johor Darul Ta'zim · 1.2 pts / match - Kelantan United

Johor Darul Ta'zim

WWWWW

5 straight wins

Result split ngayong season

100% W0% R0% P

Season record (W-D-L)

11-0-0

3.00 pts / match · goal difference +55

Last 5 (W-D-L)

5-0-0

3.00 pts / match

Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)

6-0-0

Last 5 sa home

5-0-0

WWWWW

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 6.6Goals na na-concede: 0.2xG: 3.14Opponent xG: 0.77BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 100%

Kelantan United

WLWLL

Result split ngayong season

30% W20% R50% P

Season record (W-D-L)

3-2-5

1.10 pts / match · goal difference -9

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-0-3

1.20 pts / match

Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)

2-1-5

Last 5 sa away

1-0-4

LWLLL

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.2Goals na na-concede: 2.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Johor Darul Ta'zim ang 496% better sa: goals scored per match.

5.36 goals / match - Johor Darul Ta'zim · 0.9 goals / match - Kelantan United

Johor Darul Ta'zim ang 400% better sa: goals conceded per match.

0.36 goals / match - Johor Darul Ta'zim · 1.8 goals / match - Kelantan United

Scoring profile ng Johor Darul Ta'zim: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Johor Darul Ta'zim sa 100% ng matches (11 sa 11 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Kelantan United sa 20% (2 sa 10 matches).

Scoring profile ng Kelantan United: mas challenging

Nakaka-score ang Kelantan United sa 70% ng matches (7 sa 10 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Johor Darul Ta'zim sa 82% (9 sa 11 matches).

59Goals na na-score (season)9

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

4Goals na na-concede (season)18

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

5.73Average ng goals sa match2.7

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

33Goals na na-score (last 5)6

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

1Goals na na-concede (last 5)10

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Johor Darul Ta'zim

82%

Clean sheets9 sa 11 matches

No goal0 sa 11 matches

Kelantan United

20%

Clean sheets2 sa 10 matches

30%

No goal3 sa 10 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

100%1 goal70%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

91%2 goals20%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

91%3 goals0%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

73%4 goals0%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

18%1 goal80%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

9%2 goals50%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

9%3 goals30%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

0%4 goals20%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

18%

Johor Darul Ta'zim - BTTS2 sa 11 matches

60%

Kelantan United - BTTS6 sa 10 matches

47%

Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

9%BTTS sa half-time10%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

9%BTTS sa parehong halves0%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

91%Naka-score sa parehong halves10%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

BTTS at goal count

18%Min. 3 goals at BTTS50%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

73%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS10%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

20%BTTS - last 580%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)90%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

91%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)80%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

91%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)60%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

73%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)30%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

64%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)10%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Over / Under - Johor Darul Ta'zim

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 91%Under 9%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 91%Under 9%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 73%Under 27%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 64%Under 36%

Over / Under - Kelantan United

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 90%Under 10%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 80%Under 20%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 60%Under 40%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 30%Under 70%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 10%Under 90%

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time80%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

73%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time40%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

45%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time20%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time80%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

73%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time40%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

55%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time10%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Johor Darul Ta'zim ang 140% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

2.64 pts / match - Johor Darul Ta'zim · 1.1 pts / match - Kelantan United

Johor Darul Ta'zim - state sa half-time

82% nangunguna18% tabla0% nahuhuli

Kelantan United - state sa half-time

30% nangunguna20% tabla50% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

2.64Points bawat match (1st half)1.1

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

2.45Goals na na-score (1st half)0.5

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

0.18Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.9

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

2.64Average ng goals (1st half)1.4

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

91%Clean sheet bago ang half-time50%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

9%Walang goal bago ang half-time60%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

3Points bawat match (2nd half)0.7

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

2.91Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.4

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

0.18Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.9

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

3.09Average ng goals (2nd half)1.3

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

82%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time30%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

0%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time60%

Johor Darul Ta'zimKelantan United

Johor Darul Ta'zim - mga result sa second half

100% W0% R0% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

+25

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

+30

Goal difference sa 2nd half

2.64

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding122%

Leading sa half-time sa 82% ng matches at nananalo sa 100%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Kelantan United - mga result sa second half

10% W40% R50% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-4

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

-5

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.10

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding100%

Leading sa half-time sa 30% ng matches at nananalo sa 30%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Johor Darul Ta'zim - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	3.00	3.00
Goals na na-score / match	2.6	4.0
Goals na na-concede / match	0.0	0.2
Average ng goals sa match	2.6	4.2
1 goal	100%	100%
2 goals	100%	80%
3 goals	40%	80%
Clean sheet	100%	80%
No goal	0%	0%
Goal difference	+13	+19

Half-time: 100% nangunguna - 0% tabla - 0% nahuhuli

2nd half: 100% panalo - 0% tabla - 0% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 13

Kelantan United - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.40	0.40
Goals na na-score / match	0.6	0.6
Goals na na-concede / match	0.8	1.2
Average ng goals sa match	1.4	1.8
1 goal	80%	100%
2 goals	40%	60%
3 goals	20%	20%
Clean sheet	60%	0%
No goal	60%	40%
Goal difference	-1	-3

Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 20% tabla - 40% nahuhuli

2nd half: 0% panalo - 40% tabla - 60% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 3

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Johor Darul Ta'zim

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 0-15 (2). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +9 - malakas sa late phases.

Kelantan United

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 16-30 (5). Balance ng late goals (76-90): 0.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

4.21

Estimated na goals

attack laban sa opponent defence

3.6 : 0.6

Estimated na hati ng goals

home : away

121%

Pace kumpara sa liga

100% = average ng liga

39%

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)

average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches

70%

BTTS estimate

mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams

0:0 risk

halos zero

Pinakakaraniwang goal range

attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Johor Darul Ta'zim

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

+2.42

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+2.58

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

+0.2 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

+2.26

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.32

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

272%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

24%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

0.00

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.5

Mga late goal

17% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 12% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

17%

Kelantan United

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

-0.19

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

-0.71

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

+5.0 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.44

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

-0.27

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

60%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

91%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+0.10

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

-0.1

Mga late goal

33% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 0% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

33%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Super League.

Teams kumpara sa liga

	Johor Darul Ta'zim	Liga	Kelantan United
Average ng goals sa match	▲ 5.73	3.49	▼ 2.70
Parehong teams naka-score	▼ 18%	47%	▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 91%	68%	▼ 60%
Clean sheets	▲ 82%	29%	▼ 20%
Goal bago ang half-time	▲ 91%	76%	▲ 80%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time	▲ 100%	87%	▼ 80%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

3.49

Average goals bawat match

47%

Parehong teams naka-score

68%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

29%

Clean sheets

1.97

Home goals bawat match

1.51

Away goals bawat match

+30%

Advantage ng home attack

+23%

Advantage ng home defence

+12%

Kabuuang home advantage

Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)

76%

1 goal

44%

2 goals

19%

3 goals

13%

4 goals

Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)

87%

1 goal

57%

2 goals

31%

3 goals

10%

4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Starting lineup

3Shahrul bin Mohd Saad 4Muhammad Afiq bin Fazaillumabas 46'11Jairo De Macedo da Silva⚽ 1 · A 1 · lumabas 67'16Ahmad Syihan Hazmi Mohamed 19Jonathan Cristian SilvaA 1 · lumabas 67'20Alberto Martín Díaz⚽ 1 · lumabas 67'22La'Vere Lawrence Corbin-Ong 24Oscar Arribas Pasero⚽ 1 · lumabas 73'28Ignacio Méndez Navia Fernández 36Raúl Parra Artal🟨 1 88Manuel Federico Hidalgo GaspariniA 2

Substitutes

1Christian Abad Amatpumasok 1'5Antonio Cristian Glauder Garcíapumasok 1'9Bergson Gustavo Silveira da Silvapumasok 67'21Muhamad Nazmi Faiz bin Mansor⚽ 1 · pumasok 46'

26Mohamadou Sumarehpumasok 73'

30Ignacio Insa Bohiguespumasok 1'47Ager Aketxe Barrutiapumasok 67'

50Junior Eldstålpumasok 1'

91Muhammad Syahmi bin Safaripumasok 67'

Away team

Starting lineup

2Simen Alexander Santos Lyngbö 10Habeeb Haroun 11Wan Amirul Afiq bin Wan Abdul Rahman 13Damyan Damyanov 14Mohammad Nor Azam bin Abdul Azih⚽ 1 20Muhammad Danial Haqim bin Deramanlumabas 63'23Mohamad Azwan bin Mohd Aripin 30Hein Htet Aunglumabas 72'45Mohamad Faris Shah Bin Roslilumabas 63'70Sean Eaugene Selvarajlumabas 30'

Substitutes

8Albert Kangpumasok 30'15Nik Umar bin Nik Azizpumasok 1'17Muhammad Syafiq bin Ismailpumasok 1'19Syaahir Nizampumasok 72'25Syahir Abdul Rashidpumasok 1'

29Muhamad Hafizal bin Mohamad Aliaspumasok 63'

66Yusuf Sesaypumasok 63'88Muhammad Asraff Aliffuddin bin Yasinpumasok 1'

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

21'
Johor Darul Ta'zimGoalJairo De Macedo da SilvaAssist: Manuel Federico Hidalgo Gasparini
30'
Kelantan UnitedSubstitutionPumasok: Albert KangLumabas: Sean Eaugene Selvaraj
42'
Johor Darul Ta'zimGoalAlberto Martín DíazAssist: Jairo De Macedo da Silva
46'
Johor Darul Ta'zimSubstitutionPumasok: Muhamad Nazmi Faiz bin MansorLumabas: Muhammad Afiq bin Fazail
51'
Johor Darul Ta'zimGoalOscar Arribas PaseroAssist: Manuel Federico Hidalgo Gasparini
56'
Johor Darul Ta'zimGoalMuhamad Nazmi Faiz bin MansorAssist: Jonathan Cristian Silva
72'
Kelantan UnitedSubstitutionPumasok: Syaahir NizamLumabas: Hein Htet Aung
73'
Johor Darul Ta'zimSubstitutionPumasok: Mohamadou SumarehLumabas: Oscar Arribas Pasero
75'
Kelantan UnitedGoalMohammad Nor Azam bin Abdul Azih
88'
Johor Darul Ta'zimYellow cardRaúl Parra Artal

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Kelantan United?

Natapos ang Super League match sa score na Johor Darul Ta'zim 4:1 Kelantan United. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Kelantan United?

Johor Darul Ta'zim scores 5.36 goals per match at Kelantan United 0.90. Ang Super League average ay 3.49 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 68% ng matches. BTTS: Johor Darul Ta'zim 18%, Kelantan United 60%.

Ano ang current form ng Johor Darul Ta'zim at Kelantan United?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Johor Darul Ta'zim ay 5-0-0 (3.00 points per match), habang ang Kelantan United ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Kelantan United?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.