København vs Lyngby: mga stats ng match

København clearly has the attacking edge in the last 5 matches — 15 goals (avg 3.0 per match) vs Lyngby’s 7 goals (1.4 per match). Defensively the hosts also look better: conceded 5 goals in those five games (1.0 per match) while Lyngby allowed 7 (1.4 per match). Form and points tally confirm København’s advantage — record of 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in the last 5 and an average of 2.0 PPG, whereas Lyngby has 2 wins and 3 losses and 1.2 PPG. Additionally the hosts won their last two matches while the visitors lost their last two, indicating better momentum for the home side despite close table positions (4 vs 5). Considering the superiority in average goals (3.0 vs 1.4), better defensive metrics and higher 2.0 vs 1.2 PPG, I assign 62% chance for a home win, 20% for a draw and 18% for a Lyngby win.