Iceland - Úrvalsdeild07/20/2026, 07:15 PMNettóvöllurinnUpdated ang data noong September 06, 2026

Keflavík vs ÍA: mga stats ng match

5 : 2half-time 2:0

Keflavík vs ÍA: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Keflavík laban sa ÍA sa Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). Nilaro ang match noong 20 July 2026. Venue: Nettóvöllurinn. Final score: 5:2.

Current na form

Keflavík: 1-2-2 sa last five matches at 1.00 points per match. ÍA: 1-0-4 at 0.60 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Keflavík ay may 1.36 goals na na-score at 1.86 na na-concede bawat match. Ang ÍA naman ay may 1.36 na na-score at 2.00 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 4.06 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Keflavík 86%, ÍA 64%. Over 2.5: Keflavík 64%, ÍA 64%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

ÍA ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.69 vs 1.63. May average na 15.1 shots bawat match ang Keflavík, habang 14.7 naman ang ÍA.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Keflavík sa half-time sa 29% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.86 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa ÍA, 36% at 0.86 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Keflavík: 61-75 (5 goals). ÍA: 46-60 (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Úrvalsdeild: 4.06 goals per match, BTTS 74% at Over 2.5 73%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 1-0-0, average goals 4.00, at BTTS 100%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Keflavík (6th place) may have a subtle edge over ÍA (9th place) — pareho silang may 19 goals this season, pero home defense ng Keflavík is better: they concede 1.29 goals per home game vs ÍA conceding 2.25 on the road. Sa last 5, Keflavík scored 7 goals with record 1W-2D-2L (1.0 pts/match), habang ÍA also has 7 goals pero only 1W-0D-4L, conceded 12 and averages 0.6 pts/match. Keflavík has lower average xG against at home (1.50) vs ÍA away (1.91) and they get shut out menos often (14% home matches vs 25% away for ÍA), nagpapakita ng more stable home defense. Even with similar offensive xG (1.67 vs 1.74) and ÍA having more shots on target (5.5 vs 4.29), higher shot conversion by the visitors (≈11% vs 7%) doesn’t offset their defensive issues, so I predict a Keflavík win.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

2 : 0

1st half

3 : 2

2nd half

Stats ng match

50Possession (%)50

KeflavíkÍA

27Shots15

KeflavíkÍA

10Shots on target6

KeflavíkÍA

2.73xG1.55

KeflavíkÍA

9Corners5

KeflavíkÍA

48Dangerous attacks26

KeflavíkÍA

9Fouls13

KeflavíkÍA

2Cards3

KeflavíkÍA

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.14Points bawat match1.07

KeflavíkÍA

1.36Goals na na-score / match1.36

KeflavíkÍA

1.86Goals na na-concede / match2

KeflavíkÍA

1.63xG for1.69

KeflavíkÍA

45%Average na possession51%

KeflavíkÍA

4.57Shots on target bawat match5

KeflavíkÍA

14%Clean sheets14%

KeflavíkÍA

86%Parehong teams naka-score64%

KeflavíkÍA

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

15.14Shots bawat match14.71

KeflavíkÍA

4.57Shots on target5

KeflavíkÍA

9%Shot conversion9.2%

KeflavíkÍA

45%Possession51%

KeflavíkÍA

1.63xG for1.69

KeflavíkÍA

1.64xG against1.71

KeflavíkÍA

Quality ng shooting

Keflavík: Attacking ang styleÍA: Attacking ang style

	Keflavík	ÍA
Accuracy ng shots on target	30%	34%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)	0.11	0.11
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)	0.30	0.27

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Keflavík ang 67% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

1 pts / match - Keflavík · 0.6 pts / match - ÍA

Keflavík

LDWDL

Result split ngayong season

29% W29% R43% P

Season record (W-D-L)

4-4-6

1.14 pts / match · goal difference -7

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-2-2

1.00 pts / match

Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)

2-3-2

Last 5 sa home

2-2-1

DWLWD

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.4Goals na na-concede: 1.6xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

ÍA

WLLLL

Result split ngayong season

29% W21% R50% P

Season record (W-D-L)

4-3-7

1.07 pts / match · goal difference -9

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-0-4

0.60 pts / match

Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)

3-1-4

Last 5 sa away

3-0-2

WWWLL

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.4Goals na na-concede: 2.4xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Keflavík ang 8% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.86 goals / match - Keflavík · 2 goals / match - ÍA

Scoring profile ng Keflavík: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Keflavík sa 93% ng matches (13 sa 14 matches), habang may clean sheet ang ÍA sa 14% (2 sa 14 matches).

Scoring profile ng ÍA: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang ÍA sa 79% ng matches (11 sa 14 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Keflavík sa 14% (2 sa 14 matches).

19Goals na na-score (season)19

KeflavíkÍA

26Goals na na-concede (season)28

KeflavíkÍA

3.21Average ng goals sa match3.36

KeflavíkÍA

7Goals na na-score (last 5)7

KeflavíkÍA

8Goals na na-concede (last 5)12

KeflavíkÍA

Keflavík

14%

Clean sheets2 sa 14 matches

No goal1 sa 14 matches

ÍA

14%

Clean sheets2 sa 14 matches

21%

No goal3 sa 14 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

93%1 goal79%

KeflavíkÍA

29%2 goals43%

KeflavíkÍA

14%3 goals14%

KeflavíkÍA

0%4 goals0%

KeflavíkÍA

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

86%1 goal86%

KeflavíkÍA

50%2 goals57%

KeflavíkÍA

29%3 goals36%

KeflavíkÍA

7%4 goals14%

KeflavíkÍA

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

86%

Keflavík - BTTS12 sa 14 matches

64%

ÍA - BTTS9 sa 14 matches

74%

Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

21%BTTS sa half-time7%

KeflavíkÍA

7%BTTS sa parehong halves7%

KeflavíkÍA

21%Naka-score sa parehong halves21%

KeflavíkÍA

BTTS at goal count

64%Min. 3 goals at BTTS57%

KeflavíkÍA

0%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS7%

KeflavíkÍA

100%BTTS - last 560%

KeflavíkÍA

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

93%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)100%

KeflavíkÍA

86%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)79%

KeflavíkÍA

64%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)64%

KeflavíkÍA

43%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)43%

KeflavíkÍA

21%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)21%

KeflavíkÍA

Over / Under - Keflavík

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 93%Under 7%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 86%Under 14%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 64%Under 36%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 43%Under 57%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 21%Under 79%

Over / Under - ÍA

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 79%Under 21%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 64%Under 36%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 43%Under 57%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 21%Under 79%

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time71%

KeflavíkÍA

36%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time14%

KeflavíkÍA

0%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time7%

KeflavíkÍA

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time79%

KeflavíkÍA

57%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time64%

KeflavíkÍA

36%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time43%

KeflavíkÍA

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

ÍA ang 18% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Keflavík · 1.43 pts / match - ÍA

Keflavík - state sa half-time

29% nangunguna36% tabla36% nahuhuli

ÍA - state sa half-time

36% nangunguna36% tabla29% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.21Points bawat match (1st half)1.43

KeflavíkÍA

0.5Goals na na-score (1st half)0.5

KeflavíkÍA

0.71Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.5

KeflavíkÍA

1.21Average ng goals (1st half)1

KeflavíkÍA

43%Clean sheet bago ang half-time64%

KeflavíkÍA

50%Walang goal bago ang half-time57%

KeflavíkÍA

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points bawat match (2nd half)0.86

KeflavíkÍA

0.86Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.86

KeflavíkÍA

1.14Goals na na-concede (2nd half)1.5

KeflavíkÍA

2Average ng goals (2nd half)2.36

KeflavíkÍA

36%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time36%

KeflavíkÍA

36%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time43%

KeflavíkÍA

Keflavík - mga result sa second half

36% W29% R36% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-3

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

-4

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.21

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding100%

Leading sa half-time sa 29% ng matches at nananalo sa 29%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Nagko-concede ng 0.4 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

ÍA - mga result sa second half

14% W43% R43% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

-9

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.43

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding81%

Leading sa half-time sa 36% ng matches at nananalo sa 29%. Karaniwang napoprotektahan ang lead hanggang full-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Nagko-concede ng 1.0 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Keflavík - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.00	2.00
Goals na na-score / match	0.4	1.0
Goals na na-concede / match	0.8	0.8
Average ng goals sa match	1.2	1.8
1 goal	80%	100%
2 goals	40%	60%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	40%	40%
No goal	60%	20%
Goal difference	-2	+1

Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 40% nahuhuli

2nd half: 60% panalo - 20% tabla - 20% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 2

ÍA - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	2.00	0.40
Goals na na-score / match	1.0	0.4
Goals na na-concede / match	0.8	1.6
Average ng goals sa match	1.8	2.0
1 goal	100%	60%
2 goals	40%	60%
3 goals	20%	40%
Clean sheet	60%	40%
No goal	20%	60%
Goal difference	+1	-6

Half-time: 60% nangunguna - 20% tabla - 20% nahuhuli

2nd half: 0% panalo - 40% tabla - 60% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 5

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Keflavík

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (8). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -4 - mahina sa late phases.

ÍA

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 61-75 (9). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -6 - mahina sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

3.29

Estimated na goals

attack laban sa opponent defence

1.7 : 1.6

Estimated na hati ng goals

home : away

81%

Pace kumpara sa liga

100% = average ng liga

75%

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)

average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams

+22%

Derby effect

H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches

73%

BTTS estimate

mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams

0:0 risk

mga 1 sa bawat 100 matches

2-3

Pinakakaraniwang goal range

attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Keflavík

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

-0.01

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

-0.49

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

+1.4 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.27

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

-0.22

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

62%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

101%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

-0.14

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.4

Mga late goal

21% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 11% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

21%

ÍA

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

-0.02

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

-0.62

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

+1.8 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.33

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

-0.29

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

74%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

91%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

-0.47

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.4

Mga late goal

16% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 5% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

16%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Úrvalsdeild.

Teams kumpara sa liga

	Keflavík	Liga	ÍA
Average ng goals sa match	▼ 3.21	4.06	▼ 3.36
Parehong teams naka-score	▲ 86%	74%	▼ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▼ 64%	73%	▼ 64%
Clean sheets	• 14%	13%	• 14%
Goal bago ang half-time	▲ 86%	83%	▼ 71%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time	▼ 86%	89%	▼ 79%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

4.06

Average goals bawat match

74%

Parehong teams naka-score

73%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

13%

Clean sheets

2.20

Home goals bawat match

1.85

Away goals bawat match

+19%

Advantage ng home attack

+16%

Advantage ng home defence

+9%

Kabuuang home advantage

Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)

83%

1 goal

53%

2 goals

26%

3 goals

15%

4 goals

Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)

89%

1 goal

65%

2 goals

43%

3 goals

20%

4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Starting lineup

1Ásgeir Orri Magnússon🟨 1 4Ignacio Heras Anglada 6Sindri Snær Magnússonlumabas 83'8Þorlákur Breki Þórarinsson Baxter⚽ 1 10Stefan Alexander Ljubicic⚽ 1 · lumabas 76'11Muhamed Alghoul⚽ 1 · 🟨 1 13Anton Kraljlumabas 83'20Marin Brigić 21Alpha Bedor ContehA 1 22Ásgeir Páll Magnússonlumabas 87'23Eiður Orri Ragnarsson⚽ 2

Substitutes

3Axel Ingi Jóhannessonpumasok 83'7Dagur Ingi Valssonpumasok 76'

12Helgi Bergmann Hermannssonpumasok 1'

14Marin Mudražijapumasok 1'17Baldur Logi Guðlaugssonpumasok 1'18Ernir Bjarnasonpumasok 83'25Frans Elvarssonpumasok 1'

28Viktor Árni Traustasonpumasok 1'

47Egill Valur Karlssonpumasok 87'

Away team

Starting lineup

8Guðmundur Thórarinssonlumabas 61'9Viktor Jónsson⚽ 1 · 🟨 1 10Steinar Þorsteinssonlumabas 61'11Gísli Eyjólfsson🟨 1 13Erik Tobias Sandberg 16Rúnar Már Sigurjónssonlumabas 28'21Böðvar Böðvarsson 22Ómar Björn Stefánssonlumabas 61'37Jon Solvi Simonarson 66Jón Eyland Gíslason 87Styrmir Jóhann Ellertsson

Substitutes

1Árni Marinó Einarssonpumasok 1'3Johannes Vallpumasok 61'5Baldvin Þór Berndsenpumasok 28'17Gísli Laxdal Unnarssonpumasok 61'20Ísak Máni Guðjónssonpumasok 1'25Markús Páll Ellertsson⚽ 1 · pumasok 61'

35Aron Kristinn Zumbergspumasok 1'

44Guðmar Gauti Sævarssonpumasok 1'

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

28'
ÍASubstitutionPumasok: Baldvin Þór BerndsenLumabas: Rúnar Már Sigurjónsson
34'
KeflavíkGoalÞorlákur Breki Þórarinsson Baxter
36'
KeflavíkGoalEiður Orri RagnarssonAssist: Alpha Bedor Conteh
52'
KeflavíkGoalStefan Alexander Ljubicic
54'
KeflavíkGoalEiður Orri Ragnarsson
56'
KeflavíkYellow cardMuhamed Alghoul
56'
KeflavíkYellow cardÁsgeir Orri Magnússon
57'
ÍAGoalViktor Jónsson
68'
ÍAYellow cardViktor Jónsson
76'
KeflavíkSubstitutionPumasok: Dagur Ingi ValssonLumabas: Stefan Alexander Ljubicic
86'
KeflavíkGoalMuhamed Alghoul
86'
ÍAYellow cardGísli Eyjólfsson
87'
KeflavíkSubstitutionPumasok: Egill Valur KarlssonLumabas: Ásgeir Páll Magnússon
90+2'
ÍAGoalMarkús Páll Ellertsson

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

Home coachHaraldur Freyr Gudmundsson Away coachLárus Orri Sigurdsson

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Keflavík 1 - 0 - 0 ÍA. Average ng goals 4.00, both teams scored sa 100% matches.

ÍA

1 : 305/08/2026

Keflavík

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Keflavík vs ÍA?

Natapos ang Úrvalsdeild match sa score na Keflavík 5:2 ÍA. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Keflavík vs ÍA?

Keflavík scores 1.36 goals per match at ÍA 1.36. Ang Úrvalsdeild average ay 4.06 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 73% ng matches. BTTS: Keflavík 86%, ÍA 64%.

Ano ang current form ng Keflavík at ÍA?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Keflavík ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match), habang ang ÍA ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Keflavík vs ÍA?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.