Nigeria - NPFLData updated noong July 23, 2026

Kwara United vs Barau: match stats

Kwara United crest
Kwara United
2 : 1half-time 2:0
Barau crest
Barau

Kwara United vs Barau: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Kwara United vs Barau sa NPFL (Nigeria). Naka-schedule ang match sa 19 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Kwara United: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Barau: 3-0-2 at 1.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Kwara United scores 0.92 at concedes 0.95 goals per match. Barau scores 0.89 at concedes 0.79. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kwara United 34%, Barau 29%. Over 2.5: Kwara United 29%, Barau 26%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots at playing style

Barau ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.30 vs 0.99. Kwara United averages 3.6 shots per match, habang Barau ay 4.7.

First at second half

Kwara United leads at half-time sa 29% ng matches at scores 0.34 goals after the break. Barau: 21% at 0.50.

Goals by minute

Kwara United: 31-45+ (10 goals). Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38% at Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 5.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Pinipili ko ang 1 — home win, dahil ang Kwara United sa home matches ay nananalo ng 59%, habang ang Barau ay nananalo lang ng 6% sa kanilang away games. Ang Kwara ay nag-s-sell ng average na 1.24 goals per home match, may 3.38 shots on target at mga ~10.25 total shots with 11% conversion, samantalang ang Barau sa away ay may only 0.24 goals average, 1.92 SOT at 4% conversion, at sa 88% ng away matches hindi sila nakakakonta ng goal. Defensively mas solid din ang hosts — conceding lang ng 0.41 goals per home match at opponents xG na 0.93, habang ang Barau ay nagpapabaya ng 0.94 goals per away match at opponents xG na 1.41. Sa last 5 matches Kwara scored 5 goals at may average na 1.6 points per match (2W, 2D, 1L), habang ang Barau 4 goals at 1.8 points per match (2W, 3D, 0L) — ibig sabihin solid sila point-wise pero kulang sa away finishing. Considering Kwara’s edge sa shots, better efficiency (11% vs 4%), higher clean sheet rate for hosts (59% vs 41%) at ang extreme na 88% away matches ng Barau na walang goal, I assess the probabilities as 70% home win, 20% draw at 10% away win.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
Kwara UnitedBarau
-1Shots-1
Kwara UnitedBarau
-1Shots on target-1
Kwara UnitedBarau
0xG0
Kwara UnitedBarau
-1Corners-1
Kwara UnitedBarau
0Dangerous attacks0
Kwara UnitedBarau
-1Fouls-1
Kwara UnitedBarau
-1Cards-1
Kwara UnitedBarau

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.92Goals scored / match0.89
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.95Goals conceded / match0.79
Kwara UnitedBarau
25%Average possession23%
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.92Shots on target / match0.97
Kwara UnitedBarau

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.61Shots per match4.74
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.92Shots on target0.97
Kwara UnitedBarau
25.5%Shot conversion18.9%
Kwara UnitedBarau
25%Possession23%
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.99xG for1.3
Kwara UnitedBarau
1.4xG against1.31
Kwara UnitedBarau

Shooting quality

Kwara United: Counter-attackingBarau: Counter-attacking
Kwara UnitedBarau
Accuracy (shots on target)25%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.270.27
Finishing (goals per shot on target)1.000.92

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Barau is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.8 pts / match - Barau

Kwara United
DWDWL
Season result split
34% W29% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-11-14
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-5-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.49Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Barau
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W34% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-13-12
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-8-10
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Barau is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Kwara United · 0.79 goals / match - Barau

Scoring profile ng Kwara United: mixed

Kwara United scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Scoring profile ng Barau: mixed

Barau scores in 45% of matches (17 of 38 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).

35Goals scored (season)34
Kwara UnitedBarau
36Goals conceded (season)30
Kwara UnitedBarau
1.87Average goals in match1.68
Kwara UnitedBarau
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Kwara UnitedBarau
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Kwara UnitedBarau

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal45%
Kwara UnitedBarau
32%2 goals29%
Kwara UnitedBarau
5%3 goals13%
Kwara UnitedBarau
0%4 goals3%
Kwara UnitedBarau

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal58%
Kwara UnitedBarau
18%2 goals21%
Kwara UnitedBarau
11%3 goals0%
Kwara UnitedBarau
3%4 goals0%
Kwara UnitedBarau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time16%
Kwara UnitedBarau
5%BTTS in both halves3%
Kwara UnitedBarau
21%Scored in both halves21%
Kwara UnitedBarau

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Kwara UnitedBarau
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Kwara UnitedBarau
40%BTTS - last 540%
Kwara UnitedBarau

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Kwara UnitedBarau
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Kwara UnitedBarau
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Kwara UnitedBarau

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
Kwara UnitedBarau
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Kwara UnitedBarau
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Kwara UnitedBarau

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kwara United is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.18 pts / match - Barau

Kwara United - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing
Barau - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.18
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Kwara UnitedBarau
1Average goals (1st half)0.84
Kwara UnitedBarau
63%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Kwara UnitedBarau
53%No goal before half-time68%
Kwara UnitedBarau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.34Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
Kwara UnitedBarau
0.87Average goals (2nd half)0.84
Kwara UnitedBarau
61%Clean sheet after half-time74%
Kwara UnitedBarau
71%No goal after half-time66%
Kwara UnitedBarau

Kwara United - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
52
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Barau - second-half results

29% W53% R18% P
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kwara United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+4-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Barau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
6
9
16-30
10
5
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
5
3
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
11
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+182%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Kwara UnitedLigaBarau
Average goals in match 1.872.02 1.68
Both teams scored 34%38% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%34% 26%
Clean sheets 37%37% 42%
Goal before half-time 66%61% 55%
Goal after half-time 55%64% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Kwara United 0 - 0 - 1 Barau. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Kwara United vs Barau?

Natapos ang NPFL match sa score na Kwara United 2:1 Barau. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Kwara United vs Barau?

Kwara United scores 0.92 goals per match at Barau 0.89. Ang NPFL average ay 2.02 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 34% ng matches. BTTS: Kwara United 34%, Barau 29%.

Ano ang current form ng Kwara United at Barau?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Kwara United ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Barau ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Kwara United vs Barau?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.