Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipData updated noong July 23, 2026

Larne vs Carrick Rangers: match stats

Larne crest
Larne
2 : 3half-time 0:3
Carrick Rangers crest
Carrick Rangers
165%(1.34)
X22%(4.70)
213%(7.00)

Larne ay nagpapakita ng dominant form sa kanilang home turf, occupying the top spot sa league table with an impressive 71% win rate sa home matches at 71% clean sheets. Ang hosts ay hindi pa talo sa anumang home game this season, scoring an average of 1.93 goals habang conceding only 0.36 per match. Si Carrick Rangers, kahit may decent form sa kanilang last five games, ay may clear weaknesses sa away matches with 38% losses at an average of 1.46 goals conceded per game. Ang difference sa quality of possession (57% vs 41%) at shooting effectiveness (xG 1.8 vs 1.41) ay further nagfa-favor sa hosts. Considering Larne's trouble-free home record at ang goal difference na +22 sa home matches versus Carrick's lamang +2 sa away games, ang decisive victory para sa home team ang pinaka-probable na scenario.

Larne vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Larne vs Carrick Rangers sa NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). Naka-schedule ang match sa 20 February 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Larne: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Larne scores 1.92 at concedes 0.68 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.67 at concedes 1.56. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Larne 39%, Carrick Rangers 67%. Over 2.5: Larne 47%, Carrick Rangers 62%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots at playing style

Larne ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.56 vs 1.32. Larne averages 12.4 shots per match, habang Carrick Rangers ay 9.7.

First at second half

Larne leads at half-time sa 47% ng matches at scores 1.05 goals after the break. Carrick Rangers: 36% at 0.69.

Goals by minute

Larne: 76-90+ (20 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (23 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 2-0-0. Average goals: 2.50, BTTS: 50%.

Match description

Larne ay nagpapakita ng dominant form sa kanilang home turf, occupying the top spot sa league table with an impressive 71% win rate sa home matches at 71% clean sheets. Ang hosts ay hindi pa talo sa anumang home game this season, scoring an average of 1.93 goals habang conceding only 0.36 per match. Si Carrick Rangers, kahit may decent form sa kanilang last five games, ay may clear weaknesses sa away matches with 38% losses at an average of 1.46 goals conceded per game. Ang difference sa quality of possession (57% vs 41%) at shooting effectiveness (xG 1.8 vs 1.41) ay further nagfa-favor sa hosts. Considering Larne's trouble-free home record at ang goal difference na +22 sa home matches versus Carrick's lamang +2 sa away games, ang decisive victory para sa home team ang pinaka-probable na scenario.

Half-by-half

0 : 3
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

71Possession (%)29
LarneCarrick Rangers
17Shots6
LarneCarrick Rangers
5Shots on target3
LarneCarrick Rangers
1.93xG0.86
LarneCarrick Rangers
5Corners1
LarneCarrick Rangers
72Dangerous attacks38
LarneCarrick Rangers
10Fouls9
LarneCarrick Rangers
0Cards3
LarneCarrick Rangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LarneCarrick Rangers
1.92Goals scored / match1.67
LarneCarrick Rangers
0.68Goals conceded / match1.56
LarneCarrick Rangers
52%Average possession44%
LarneCarrick Rangers
5.13Shots on target / match4.1
LarneCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.39Shots per match9.72
LarneCarrick Rangers
5.13Shots on target4.1
LarneCarrick Rangers
15.5%Shot conversion17.2%
LarneCarrick Rangers
52%Possession44%
LarneCarrick Rangers
1.56xG for1.32
LarneCarrick Rangers
1.1xG against1.44
LarneCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Larne: Efficient finishingCarrick Rangers: Counter-attacking
LarneCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)41%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Larne · 1.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Larne
WLWDW
Season result split
66% W21% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-8-5
2.18 pts / match · goal difference +47
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Carrick Rangers
DLWWL
Season result split
38% W21% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-16
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-4-8
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

1.92 goals / match - Larne · 1.67 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Larne is 129% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.68 goals / match - Larne · 1.56 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Scoring profile ng Larne: napakalakas

Larne scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).

Scoring profile ng Carrick Rangers: malakas

Carrick Rangers scores in 85% of matches (33 of 39 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).

73Goals scored (season)65
LarneCarrick Rangers
26Goals conceded (season)61
LarneCarrick Rangers
2.61Average goals in match3.23
LarneCarrick Rangers
13Goals scored (last 5)10
LarneCarrick Rangers
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
LarneCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal85%
LarneCarrick Rangers
63%2 goals38%
LarneCarrick Rangers
21%3 goals26%
LarneCarrick Rangers
13%4 goals10%
LarneCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal79%
LarneCarrick Rangers
16%2 goals49%
LarneCarrick Rangers
5%3 goals18%
LarneCarrick Rangers
3%4 goals3%
LarneCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time33%
LarneCarrick Rangers
5%BTTS in both halves8%
LarneCarrick Rangers
29%Scored in both halves23%
LarneCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
LarneCarrick Rangers
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
LarneCarrick Rangers
20%BTTS - last 580%
LarneCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
LarneCarrick Rangers
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time51%
LarneCarrick Rangers
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
LarneCarrick Rangers

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
LarneCarrick Rangers
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LarneCarrick Rangers
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
LarneCarrick Rangers

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / match - Larne · 1.46 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Larne - half-time state
47% leading39% draw13% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
36% leading38% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per match (1st half)1.46
LarneCarrick Rangers
0.87Goals scored (1st half)0.97
LarneCarrick Rangers
0.37Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
LarneCarrick Rangers
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.67
LarneCarrick Rangers
74%Clean sheet before half-time44%
LarneCarrick Rangers
42%No goal before half-time41%
LarneCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.87Points per match (2nd half)1.1
LarneCarrick Rangers
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
LarneCarrick Rangers
0.32Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
LarneCarrick Rangers
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.56
LarneCarrick Rangers
74%Clean sheet after half-time44%
LarneCarrick Rangers
45%No goal after half-time51%
LarneCarrick Rangers

Larne - second-half results

53% W29% R18% P
69
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+28
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

26% W33% R41% P
57
Half-time points
38
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Larne
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
12
5
16-30
12
7
31-45
12
7
46-60
8
1
61-75
20
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
6
10
0-15
9
7
16-30
23
10
31-45
6
9
46-60
10
10
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals in match 2.612.94 3.23
Both teams scored 39%52% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%56% 62%
Clean sheets 55%26% 21%
Goal before half-time 68%76% 82%
Goal after half-time 74%80% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Larne 2 - 0 - 0 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% mga match.

Carrick Rangers FC
1 : 2
Larne FC
Larne FC
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers FC

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Larne vs Carrick Rangers?

Natapos ang NIFL Premiership match sa score na Larne 2:3 Carrick Rangers. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Larne at Carrick Rangers?

Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Larne ng 2, ang Carrick Rangers ng 0, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 2.50; BTTS: 50%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Larne vs Carrick Rangers?

Larne scores 1.92 goals per match at Carrick Rangers 1.67. Ang NIFL Premiership average ay 2.94 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 56% ng matches. BTTS: Larne 39%, Carrick Rangers 67%.

Ano ang current form ng Larne at Carrick Rangers?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Larne ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Carrick Rangers ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Larne vs Carrick Rangers?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.