Bulgaria - First League04/09/2026, 05:30 PMUpdated ang data noong September 11, 2026

Levski Sofia vs Arda: mga stats ng match

1 : 0half-time 0:0

Levski Sofia vs Arda: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Levski Sofia laban sa Arda sa First League (Bulgaria). Nilaro ang match noong 9 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current na form

Levski Sofia: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Arda: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Levski Sofia ay may 2.21 goals na na-score at 0.75 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Arda naman ay may 1.14 na na-score at 0.93 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.35 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Levski Sofia 46%, Arda 29%. Over 2.5: Levski Sofia 64%, Arda 36%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Levski Sofia ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 2.08 vs 1.49. May average na 16.5 shots bawat match ang Levski Sofia, habang 11.4 naman ang Arda.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Levski Sofia sa half-time sa 39% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 1.46 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Arda, 25% at 0.50 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Levski Sofia: 76-90+ (16 goals). Arda: 76-90+ (9 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

First League: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 44% at Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 1-0-0, average goals 3.00, at BTTS 0%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Levski ang clear favorite sa kanilang home ground: win rate home 86%, average goals 2.64 at conceded 0.64 per match, at sa buong season may 21 wins at 62 goals. Arda ay mahina sa away — average 1.29 goals per match, 1.00 conceded, only 4.0 shots on target at 50% of away matches walang goals, with season tally 11 wins at 32 goals. Quality gap ng chances supported ng xG at shots: Levski generates xG 2.21 at home with 17.64 shots and 7.36 on target, habang Arda has xG 1.26 away with 9.07 shots and 4.0 on target, so hosts practically almost double the opportunities. Defensively hosts din ang nagdo-dominate — Levski has 50% clean sheets at home at xG against 0.91, habang Arda has 43% clean sheets away at xG against 1.33, kaya visitors mas madalas nalalagay under threat. Kahit na sa last 5 matches pareho silang may 2 points per game at Arda scored 8 goals vs Levski 6, season-long advantage ng Levski sa possession (65% vs 52%) at home stats points strongly towards home win.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

0 : 0

1st half

1 : 0

2nd half

Stats ng match

74Possession (%)26

Levski SofiaArda

12Shots7

Levski SofiaArda

4Shots on target0

Levski SofiaArda

1.87xG0.8

Levski SofiaArda

5Corners0

Levski SofiaArda

114Dangerous attacks49

Levski SofiaArda

14Fouls15

Levski SofiaArda

1Cards3

Levski SofiaArda

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

2.36Points bawat match1.46

Levski SofiaArda

2.21Goals na na-score / match1.14

Levski SofiaArda

0.75Goals na na-concede / match0.93

Levski SofiaArda

2.08xG for1.49

Levski SofiaArda

65%Average na possession54%

Levski SofiaArda

6.39Shots on target bawat match4.25

Levski SofiaArda

39%Clean sheets43%

Levski SofiaArda

46%Parehong teams naka-score29%

Levski SofiaArda

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

16.46Shots bawat match11.36

Levski SofiaArda

6.39Shots on target4.25

Levski SofiaArda

13.4%Shot conversion10.1%

Levski SofiaArda

65%Possession54%

Levski SofiaArda

2.08xG for1.49

Levski SofiaArda

0.93xG against1.23

Levski SofiaArda

Quality ng shooting

Levski Sofia: DominantArda: Balanced ang style

	Levski Sofia	Arda
Accuracy ng shots on target	39%	37%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)	0.13	0.13
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)	0.35	0.27

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Levski Sofia

LWWWD

Result split ngayong season

75% W11% D14% L

Season record (W-D-L)

21-3-4

2.36 pts / match · goal difference +41

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-1-1

2.00 pts / match

Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)

12-1-1

Last 5 sa home

5-0-0

WWWWW

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.2Goals na na-concede: 0.8xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Arda

DLWWW

Result split ngayong season

39% W29% D32% L

Season record (W-D-L)

11-8-9

1.46 pts / match · goal difference +6

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-1-1

2.00 pts / match

Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)

5-4-5

Last 5 sa away

1-2-2

LDDLW

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.6Goals na na-concede: 0.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Levski Sofia ang 94% better sa: goals scored per match.

2.21 goals / match - Levski Sofia · 1.14 goals / match - Arda

Levski Sofia ang 24% better sa: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Levski Sofia · 0.93 goals / match - Arda

Scoring profile ng Levski Sofia: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Levski Sofia sa 79% ng matches (22 sa 28 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Arda sa 43% (12 sa 28 matches).

Scoring profile ng Arda: mixed

Nakaka-score ang Arda sa 54% ng matches (15 sa 28 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Levski Sofia sa 39% (11 sa 28 matches).

62Goals na na-score (season)32

Levski SofiaArda

21Goals na na-concede (season)26

Levski SofiaArda

2.96Average ng goals sa match2.07

Levski SofiaArda

6Goals na na-score (last 5)8

Levski SofiaArda

4Goals na na-concede (last 5)3

Levski SofiaArda

Levski Sofia

39%

Clean sheets11 sa 28 matches

21%

No goal6 sa 28 matches

Arda

43%

Clean sheets12 sa 28 matches

46%

No goal13 sa 28 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

79%1 goal54%

Levski SofiaArda

68%2 goals36%

Levski SofiaArda

43%3 goals14%

Levski SofiaArda

14%4 goals7%

Levski SofiaArda

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

61%1 goal57%

Levski SofiaArda

11%2 goals25%

Levski SofiaArda

4%3 goals11%

Levski SofiaArda

0%4 goals0%

Levski SofiaArda

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

46%

Levski Sofia - BTTS13 sa 28 matches

29%

Arda - BTTS8 sa 28 matches

44%

Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

7%BTTS sa half-time25%

Levski SofiaArda

4%BTTS sa parehong halves4%

Levski SofiaArda

39%Naka-score sa parehong halves29%

Levski SofiaArda

BTTS at goal count

46%Min. 3 goals at BTTS21%

Levski SofiaArda

18%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS14%

Levski SofiaArda

40%BTTS - last 540%

Levski SofiaArda

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

93%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)82%

Levski SofiaArda

71%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)61%

Levski SofiaArda

64%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)36%

Levski SofiaArda

36%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)18%

Levski SofiaArda

14%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)11%

Levski SofiaArda

Over / Under - Levski Sofia

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 93%Under 7%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 71%Under 29%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 64%Under 36%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 36%Under 64%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 14%Under 86%

Over / Under - Arda

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 82%Under 18%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 61%Under 39%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 36%Under 64%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 18%Under 82%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 11%Under 89%

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time68%

Levski SofiaArda

32%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time39%

Levski SofiaArda

4%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time7%

Levski SofiaArda

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time61%

Levski SofiaArda

57%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time21%

Levski SofiaArda

29%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time7%

Levski SofiaArda

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Levski Sofia ang 27% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.64 pts / match - Levski Sofia · 1.29 pts / match - Arda

Levski Sofia - state sa half-time

39% nangunguna46% tabla14% nahuhuli

Arda - state sa half-time

25% nangunguna54% tabla21% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.64Points bawat match (1st half)1.29

Levski SofiaArda

0.75Goals na na-score (1st half)0.64

Levski SofiaArda

0.25Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.54

Levski SofiaArda

1Average ng goals (1st half)1.18

Levski SofiaArda

79%Clean sheet bago ang half-time54%

Levski SofiaArda

54%Walang goal bago ang half-time54%

Levski SofiaArda

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

2Points bawat match (2nd half)1.39

Levski SofiaArda

1.46Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.5

Levski SofiaArda

0.5Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.39

Levski SofiaArda

1.96Average ng goals (2nd half)0.89

Levski SofiaArda

57%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time71%

Levski SofiaArda

29%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time64%

Levski SofiaArda

Levski Sofia - mga result sa second half

57% W29% D14% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

+14

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

+27

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.64

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding192%

Leading sa half-time sa 39% ng matches at nananalo sa 75%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Nagko-concede ng 0.3 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Arda - mga result sa second half

32% W43% D25% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.29

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding156%

Leading sa half-time sa 25% ng matches at nananalo sa 39%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Levski Sofia - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.00	2.00
Goals na na-score / match	0.0	1.2
Goals na na-concede / match	0.0	0.8
Average ng goals sa match	0.0	2.0
1 goal	0%	100%
2 goals	0%	40%
3 goals	0%	40%
Clean sheet	100%	40%
No goal	100%	20%
Goal difference	0	+2

Half-time: 0% nangunguna - 100% tabla - 0% nahuhuli

2nd half: 60% panalo - 20% tabla - 20% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 0

Arda - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.40	2.00
Goals na na-score / match	0.6	1.0
Goals na na-concede / match	0.4	0.2
Average ng goals sa match	1.0	1.2
1 goal	60%	80%
2 goals	40%	20%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	60%	80%
No goal	40%	40%
Goal difference	+1	+4

Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 80% tabla - 0% nahuhuli

2nd half: 60% panalo - 20% tabla - 20% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 40% - Total goals sa half-time: 3

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Levski Sofia

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (7). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +9 - malakas sa late phases.

Arda

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 16-30 (9). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +6 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.52

Estimated na goals

attack laban sa opponent defence

1.6 : 0.9

Estimated na hati ng goals

home : away

107%

Pace kumpara sa liga

100% = average ng liga

38%

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)

average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams

+19%

Derby effect

H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches

43%

BTTS estimate

mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams

10%

0:0 risk

mga 1 sa bawat 10 matches

0-1

Pinakakaraniwang goal range

attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Levski Sofia

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

+1.15

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+0.31

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-9.4 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

+0.13

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.18

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

174%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

69%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

-0.36

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.7

Mga late goal

26% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 11% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

26%

Arda

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

+0.26

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

-0.05

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-9.6 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.35

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.30

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

106%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

73%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+0.54

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

-0.1

Mga late goal

28% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 16% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

28%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng First League.

Teams kumpara sa liga

	Levski Sofia	Liga	Arda
Average ng goals sa match	▲ 2.96	2.35	▼ 2.07
Parehong teams naka-score	▲ 46%	44%	▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 64%	46%	▼ 36%
Clean sheets	▲ 39%	35%	▲ 43%
Goal bago ang half-time	▼ 61%	63%	▲ 68%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time	▲ 86%	72%	▼ 61%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.35

Average goals bawat match

44%

Parehong teams naka-score

46%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

35%

Clean sheets

1.27

Home goals bawat match

1.08

Away goals bawat match

+18%

Advantage ng home attack

+15%

Advantage ng home defence

+12%

Kabuuang home advantage

Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)

63%

1 goal

28%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)

72%

1 goal

38%

2 goals

16%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Starting lineup

4Christian Frederick Bayoi Makoun Reyeslumabas 46'6Stipe Vulikić 11Armstrong Echezolachukwu Inya Oko-FlexA 1 · lumabas 73'17Francisco Everton Mota de Castro⚽ 1 22Mazire Soulalumabas 90'31Nikola Serafimov 47Akram Bouras 70Georgi Kostadinov🟨 1 · lumabas 46'71Wabo Oliver Kamdemlumabas 88'92Svetoslav Velislavov Vutsov 99Radoslav Kirilov

Substitutes

8Carlos Ohenepumasok 46'9Juan Esteban Perea Sanchezpumasok 73'10Asen Mitkovpumasok 90'18Gašper Trdinpumasok 88'21Aldair Neves Paulo Faustinopumasok 46'

32Ivo Ventsislavov Motevpumasok 1'

37Rildo Gonçalves de Amorim Filhopumasok 1'

78Martin Lukovpumasok 1'

Away team

Starting lineup

1Anatoliy Gospodinov 2Gustavo Cascardo de Assislumabas 81'10Svetoslav Kovachevlumabas 73'18Cəlal Hüseynov 20Serkan Yuseinlumabas 73'21Viacheslav Veliev🟨 1 24Martin Krasimirov Paskalevlumabas 31'30Wilson Samakelumabas 73'80Lachezar Kotev🟨 2 93Felix Eboa Eboa 99Birsent Karagaren

Substitutes

4David Akintola Idowupumasok 73'6Plamen Krachunovpumasok 1'8Atanas Kabovpumasok 73'

12Ivaylo Vladimirov Nedelchevpumasok 1'

17Patrick Luan dos Santospumasok 73'23Emil Viyachkipumasok 31'35Dimitar Velkovskipumasok 81'39Antonio Vutovpumasok 1'

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

14'
ArdaYellow cardLachezar Kotev
31'
ArdaSubstitutionPumasok: Emil ViyachkiLumabas: Martin Krasimirov Paskalev
36'
ArdaYellow cardLachezar Kotev
45+2'
Levski SofiaYellow cardGeorgi Kostadinov
64'
Levski SofiaGoalFrancisco Everton Mota de CastroAssist: Armstrong Echezolachukwu Inya Oko-Flex
73'
Levski SofiaSubstitutionPumasok: Juan Esteban Perea SanchezLumabas: Armstrong Echezolachukwu Inya Oko-Flex
81'
ArdaSubstitutionPumasok: Dimitar VelkovskiLumabas: Gustavo Cascardo de Assis
83'
ArdaYellow cardViacheslav Veliev
88'
Levski SofiaSubstitutionPumasok: Gašper TrdinLumabas: Wabo Oliver Kamdem
90'
Levski SofiaSubstitutionPumasok: Asen MitkovLumabas: Mazire Soula

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

RefereeRadoslav Gidzhenov Home coachJulio Velázquez Santiago Away coachAleksander Blagov Tunchev

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Radoslav GidzhenovMatches officiated: 15

6.33Cards kada match

0Penalties kada match

1 / X / 240%Home wins40%Draws20%Away wins

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Levski Sofia 1 - 0 - 0 Arda. Average ng goals 3.00, both teams scored sa 0% matches.

FK Arda Kardzhali

0 : 311/02/2025

PFC Levski Sofia

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Levski Sofia vs Arda?

Natapos ang First League match sa score na Levski Sofia 1:0 Arda. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Levski Sofia vs Arda?

Levski Sofia scores 2.21 goals per match at Arda 1.14. Ang First League average ay 2.35 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: Levski Sofia 46%, Arda 29%.

Ano ang current form ng Levski Sofia at Arda?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Levski Sofia ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Arda ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Levski Sofia vs Arda?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.