Israel - Israeli Premier LeagueUpdated ang data noong September 07, 2026

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Katamon: mga stats ng match

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Katamon: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Maccabi Bnei Raina laban sa Hapoel Katamon sa Israeli Premier League (Israel). Nilaro ang match noong 29 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Current na form

Maccabi Bnei Raina: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Hapoel Katamon: 0-2-3 at 0.40 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Maccabi Bnei Raina ay may 0.79 goals na na-score at 2.21 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Hapoel Katamon naman ay may 0.82 na na-score at 1.43 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Maccabi Bnei Raina 50%, Hapoel Katamon 57%. Over 2.5: Maccabi Bnei Raina 64%, Hapoel Katamon 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Hapoel Katamon ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.29 vs 1.12. May average na 9.3 shots bawat match ang Maccabi Bnei Raina, habang 10.5 naman ang Hapoel Katamon.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Maccabi Bnei Raina sa half-time sa 14% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.43 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Hapoel Katamon, 21% at 0.46 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Maccabi Bnei Raina: 46-60 (5 goals). Hapoel Katamon: 76-90+ (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Israeli Premier League: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 2 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 1-1-0, average goals 1.50, at BTTS 50%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Magkakalapit sa table ang dalawang teams (Maccabi 14., Hapoel 13.) at may similar season goal counts: Maccabi 22, Hapoel 23; home ang Maccabi avg 0.69 goals per match, habang guests sa away 0.93. Quality of chances ipinapakita ng xG: hosts may 1.09 xG at home vs 1.33 xG ng guests on the road, pero parehong teams underperform sa finishing — Maccabi 0.69 goals mula sa 1.09 xG (−0.40), Hapoel 0.93 mula sa 1.33 xG (−0.40). Defensively mas mahusay ang Hapoel: Maccabi concedes at home avg 2.31 goals kumpara sa xG against 1.84 (approx. +0.47 vs xG), habang Hapoel concedes away 1.43 with xG against 1.91 (approx. −0.48 vs xG) at may 29% clean sheets vs 15% para sa hosts. Short-term advantage nasa hosts — sa last 5 matches Maccabi scored 5 goals, won 2 times at avg 1.4 points per match, samantalang Hapoel scored only 1 goal and avg 0.4 points per match. Considering Maccabi’s better recent form (more goals and 1.4 pts/5 matches), pero kasama rin ang kanilang weaker defense at fact na hosts fail to score in 54% ng home matches, nire-rate ko ang isang narrow home win with significant risk of draw or away win.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Stats ng match

49Possession (%)51
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
7Shots10
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
2Shots on target1
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
0.77xG1
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
4Corners4
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
25Dangerous attacks42
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
12Fouls11
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
5Cards1
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Pre-match na profileano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
0.79Goals na na-score / match0.82
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
2.21Goals na na-concede / match1.43
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
43%Average na possession41%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
3.25Shots on target bawat match3.29
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Stats ng teamsalin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

9.32Shots bawat match10.54
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
3.25Shots on target3.29
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
8.4%Shot conversion7.8%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
43%Possession41%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
1.12xG for1.29
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
2.02xG against1.86
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Quality ng shooting

Maccabi Bnei Raina: Balanced ang styleHapoel Katamon: Balanced ang style
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
Accuracy ng shots on target35%31%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.240.25

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teamsalin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Maccabi Bnei Raina ang 250% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

1.4 pts / match - Maccabi Bnei Raina · 0.4 pts / match - Hapoel Katamon

Maccabi Bnei Raina
LDLWW
Result split ngayong season
18% W11% R71% P
Season record (W-D-L)
5-3-20
0.64 pts / match · goal difference -40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
1-3-9
Last 5 sa home
1-2-2
WDLLD
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.2Goals na na-concede: 1.4xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Hapoel Katamon
LDLLD
Walang win sa last 5 matches
Result split ngayong season
14% W36% R50% P
Season record (W-D-L)
4-10-14
0.79 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
2-6-6
Last 5 sa away
0-3-2
DDLDL
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 0.2Goals na na-concede: 1.2xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Hapoel Katamon ang 55% better sa: goals conceded per match.

2.21 goals / match - Maccabi Bnei Raina · 1.43 goals / match - Hapoel Katamon

Scoring profile ng Maccabi Bnei Raina: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Maccabi Bnei Raina sa 54% ng matches (15 sa 28 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Hapoel Katamon sa 29% (8 sa 28 matches).

Scoring profile ng Hapoel Katamon: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Hapoel Katamon sa 64% ng matches (18 sa 28 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Maccabi Bnei Raina sa 11% (3 sa 28 matches).

22Goals na na-score (season)23
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
62Goals na na-concede (season)40
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
3Average ng goals sa match2.25
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
6Goals na na-score (last 5)1
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
7Goals na na-concede (last 5)6
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

54%1 goal64%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
18%2 goals18%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
7%3 goals0%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
0%4 goals0%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

89%1 goal71%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
68%2 goals43%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
36%3 goals18%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
21%4 goals7%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

Mga pattern ng goal

18%BTTS sa half-time11%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
0%BTTS sa parehong halves0%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
11%Naka-score sa parehong halves4%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

BTTS at goal count

50%Min. 3 goals at BTTS46%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
14%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS0%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
60%BTTS - last 520%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Mga goal line (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time50%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
32%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time25%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
25%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time7%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time64%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
54%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time46%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
29%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time21%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Mga half ng matchsaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Hapoel Katamon ang 49% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

0.79 pts / match - Maccabi Bnei Raina · 1.18 pts / match - Hapoel Katamon

Maccabi Bnei Raina - state sa half-time
14% nangunguna36% tabla50% nahuhuli
Hapoel Katamon - state sa half-time
21% nangunguna54% tabla25% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

0.79Points bawat match (1st half)1.18
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
0.36Goals na na-score (1st half)0.36
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
1Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.46
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
1.36Average ng goals (1st half)0.82
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
39%Clean sheet bago ang half-time71%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
75%Walang goal bago ang half-time68%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points bawat match (2nd half)0.75
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
0.43Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.46
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
1.21Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.96
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
1.64Average ng goals (2nd half)1.43
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
29%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time39%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon
61%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time64%
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Katamon

Maccabi Bnei Raina - mga result sa second half

11% W32% R57% P
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference sa 1st half
18
Second-half points
-22
Goal difference sa 2nd half
0.79
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding129%

Leading sa half-time sa 14% ng matches at nananalo sa 18%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Nagko-concede ng 0.2 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Hapoel Katamon - mga result sa second half

7% W54% R39% P
33
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference sa 1st half
21
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.18
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding67%

Leading sa half-time sa 21% ng matches at nananalo sa 14%. Minsan nawawala ang lead pagkatapos ng half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Nagko-concede ng 0.5 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Maccabi Bnei Raina - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.201.00
Goals na na-score / match0.60.6
Goals na na-concede / match0.60.8
Average ng goals sa match1.21.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 60% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 20% panalo - 40% tabla - 40% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 3
Hapoel Katamon - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match0.800.60
Goals na na-score / match0.00.2
Goals na na-concede / match0.40.8
Average ng goals sa match0.41.0
1 goal20%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% nangunguna - 80% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 0% panalo - 60% tabla - 40% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 0

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minutokailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Maccabi Bnei Raina
Na-scoreNa-concede
3
7
0-15
3
14
16-30
4
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
3
10
61-75
4
17
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (17). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -13 - mahina sa late phases.

Hapoel Katamon
Na-scoreNa-concede
3
7
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
3
7
46-60
4
9
61-75
6
11
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (11). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -5 - mahina sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.63
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
88%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
54%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
-43%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
17%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 6 matches
0-1
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.90
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.52
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
+8.6 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.33
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
-0.19
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
50%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
155%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.76
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.1
Mga late goal
18% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 14% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
18%

Hapoel Katamon

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.57
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.04
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
+1.1 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.47
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.43
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
91%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.39
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.1
Mga late goal
26% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 13% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
26%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng ligamataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Israeli Premier League.

Teams kumpara sa liga

Maccabi Bnei RainaLigaHapoel Katamon
Average ng goals sa match 3.003.00 2.25
Parehong teams naka-score 50%57% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%57% 46%
Clean sheets 11%27% 29%
Goal bago ang half-time 68%65% 50%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time 79%77% 64%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

3.00
Average goals bawat match
57%
Parehong teams naka-score
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals bawat match
1.43
Away goals bawat match
+10%
Advantage ng home attack
+9%
Advantage ng home defence
+6%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
65%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
77%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. Maccabi Bnei RainaYellow cardAsil Kanani
  2. Maccabi Bnei RainaYellow cardIyad Khalaili
  3. Hapoel KatamonSubstitutionPumasok: Andrew IdokoLumabas: Marko Rakonjac
  4. Hapoel KatamonYellow cardTamir Haimovich
  5. Hapoel KatamonSubstitutionPumasok: Ohad AlmagorLumabas: Ruel Dimitrios Sotiriou
  6. Hapoel KatamonGoalYontan Kay LaishAssist: Ohad Almagor
  7. Maccabi Bnei RainaSubstitutionPumasok: Virgile Jacky Marcel Pinson V. PinsonLumabas: I'yad Hutba
  8. Hapoel KatamonSubstitutionPumasok: Harel ShalomLumabas: Guy Badash
  9. Maccabi Bnei RainaYellow cardAsil Kanani
  10. Maccabi Bnei RainaSubstitutionPumasok: Ahmad TahaLumabas: Idan Goren
  11. Hapoel KatamonSubstitutionPumasok: Inon EliyahuLumabas: Matan Hozez
  12. Maccabi Bnei RainaSubstitutionPumasok: Aiham MaterLumabas: Christ Junior Tiéhi
  13. Maccabi Bnei RainaYellow cardMor Barami
  14. Maccabi Bnei RainaYellow cardAntonio Sefer

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

David FuksmanMatches officiated: 17
5.65Cards kada match
0Penalties kada match
1 / X / 235%Home wins28%Draws35%Away wins

Head-to-head

Mga recent meeting (2): Maccabi Bnei Raina 1 - 1 - 0 Hapoel Katamon. Average ng goals 1.50, both teams scored sa 50% matches.

Maccabi Bnei Raina FC
0 : 0
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem FC
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina FC

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Katamon?

Natapos ang Israeli Premier League match sa score na Maccabi Bnei Raina 0:1 Hapoel Katamon. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Maccabi Bnei Raina at Hapoel Katamon?

Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Maccabi Bnei Raina ng 1, ang Hapoel Katamon ng 0, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 1.50; BTTS: 50%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Katamon?

Maccabi Bnei Raina scores 0.79 goals per match at Hapoel Katamon 0.82. Ang Israeli Premier League average ay 3.00 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 57% ng matches. BTTS: Maccabi Bnei Raina 50%, Hapoel Katamon 57%.

Ano ang current form ng Maccabi Bnei Raina at Hapoel Katamon?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Maccabi Bnei Raina ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Hapoel Katamon ay 0-2-3 (0.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Katamon?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.