Marines vs AS Kigali: match stats
Marines vs AS Kigali: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Marines vs AS Kigali sa National Soccer League (Rwanda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 17 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Marines: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. AS Kigali: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.
Goal statistics
Marines scores 1.38 at concedes 1.26 goals per match. AS Kigali scores 0.77 at concedes 1.17. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marines 59%, AS Kigali 43%. Over 2.5: Marines 44%, AS Kigali 34%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots at playing style
AS Kigali ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.25 vs 1.16. Marines averages 6.9 shots per match, habang AS Kigali ay 7.7.
First at second half
Marines leads at half-time sa 44% ng matches at scores 0.53 goals after the break. AS Kigali: 9% at 0.54.
Goals by minute
Marines: 31-45+ (16 goals). AS Kigali: 76-90+ (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
I’m favoring a Marines win dahil statistical edge nila both offensively and defensively. Sa season, Marines scored 34 goals vs AS Kigali’s 19, at sa last 5 matches Marines have 9 goals habang AS Kigali only 4 — malinaw ang scoring form ng hosts. Home metrics: Marines average 1.42 goals scored and concede 0.92 per match, samantalang AS Kigali away average is only 0.92 goals scored and concede 1.31, indicating home advantage in offensive efficiency and defensive stability. Marines rarely fail to score at home — only 8% ng matches — habang AS Kigali goalless away na 31% ng time. Further, Marines have home xG 1.03 vs xG against 0.97, habang AS Kigali generate 1.22 xG on the road but concede 1.48 xG, which suggests AS Kigali creates chances pero also gives up more quality chances. Form also favors Marines: last 5 have 1.8 points per game (2 wins, 3 draws), habang AS Kigali only 0.6 ppg with 0 wins in last 5 (3 draws, 2 losses), giving a clear motivational and points advantage to the hosts. Considering better home efficiency, lower rate of goalless games (8% vs 31%) and favorable goal difference (34 scored vs 19), I back Marines to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marines | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marines is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Marines · 1.2 pts / match - AS Kigali
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marines is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Marines · 0.77 goals / match - AS Kigali
AS Kigali is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Marines · 1.17 goals / match - AS Kigali
Marines scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
AS Kigali scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Marines
Over / Under — AS Kigali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Marines · 0.89 pts / match - AS Kigali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marines - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Marines
AS Kigali
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Marines | Liga | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 38% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | • 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 61% | ▼ 49% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marines 0 - 0 - 1 AS Kigali. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Marines vs AS Kigali?
Natapos ang National Soccer League match sa score na Marines 0:1 AS Kigali. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Marines vs AS Kigali?
Marines scores 1.38 goals per match at AS Kigali 0.77. Ang National Soccer League average ay 2.12 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 38% ng matches. BTTS: Marines 59%, AS Kigali 43%.
Ano ang current form ng Marines at AS Kigali?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Marines ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang AS Kigali ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Marines vs AS Kigali?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.