Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData updated noong July 22, 2026

Mbarara City vs Express: match stats

Mbarara City crest
Mbarara City
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Express crest
Express

Mbarara City vs Express: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Mbarara City vs Express sa Uganda Premier League (Uganda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 28 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Mbarara City: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Express: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Mbarara City scores 0.87 at concedes 1.57 goals per match. Express scores 0.93 at concedes 1.03. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mbarara City 57%, Express 30%. Over 2.5: Mbarara City 40%, Express 37%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots at playing style

Mbarara City ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.31 vs 1.30. Mbarara City averages 8.2 shots per match, habang Express ay 8.7.

First at second half

Mbarara City leads at half-time sa 13% ng matches at scores 0.47 goals after the break. Express: 17% at 0.50.

Goals by minute

Mbarara City: 61-75 (6 goals). Express: 16-30 (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38% at Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 5.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

I predict a draw. Mbarara City sa home form has scored 19 goals and conceded 39 this season (goal difference -20); sa kanilang stadium average is 0.75 goals per match with xG 1.39 and 33% ng matches na goalless. Express away has only 0.25 goals per match with xG 1.24, as much as 75% ng away matches without a goal at the same time 50% clean sheets, which points to low attacking efficiency ng visitors on the road pero solid defensive organization. Guests are however in better points form (1.4 points per match in last 5 vs 0.4 for hosts) and have more wins this season (7 vs 3), so they can avoid a loss. Considering the high share of draws for Mbarara at home (33%) and Express away (50%), similar average goals conceded (~1.08) and low xG for both sides, most probable is a low-scoring game, most likely 0:0 or 1:1.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Mbarara CityExpress
17Shots9
Mbarara CityExpress
7Shots on target3
Mbarara CityExpress
2.37xG1.25
Mbarara CityExpress
5Corners1
Mbarara CityExpress
109Dangerous attacks62
Mbarara CityExpress
-1Fouls-1
Mbarara CityExpress
-1Cards-1
Mbarara CityExpress

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mbarara CityExpress
0.87Goals scored / match0.93
Mbarara CityExpress
1.57Goals conceded / match1.03
Mbarara CityExpress
43%Average possession45%
Mbarara CityExpress
2.67Shots on target / match3.5
Mbarara CityExpress

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.23Shots per match8.7
Mbarara CityExpress
2.67Shots on target3.5
Mbarara CityExpress
10.5%Shot conversion10.7%
Mbarara CityExpress
43%Possession45%
Mbarara CityExpress
1.31xG for1.3
Mbarara CityExpress
1.58xG against1.67
Mbarara CityExpress

Shooting quality

Mbarara City: BalancedExpress: Balanced
Mbarara CityExpress
Accuracy (shots on target)32%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mbarara City is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Mbarara City · 1.4 pts / match - Express

Mbarara City
WWLWL
Season result split
20% W27% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-16
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Express
LWWDL
Season result split
30% W33% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-11
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-7
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Express is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

0.87 goals / match - Mbarara City · 0.93 goals / match - Express

Express is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - Mbarara City · 1.03 goals / match - Express

Scoring profile ng Mbarara City: malakas

Mbarara City scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Express: mixed

Express scores in 43% of matches (13 of 30 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

26Goals scored (season)28
Mbarara CityExpress
47Goals conceded (season)31
Mbarara CityExpress
2.43Average goals in match1.97
Mbarara CityExpress
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Mbarara CityExpress
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Mbarara CityExpress

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal43%
Mbarara CityExpress
17%2 goals23%
Mbarara CityExpress
0%3 goals20%
Mbarara CityExpress
0%4 goals7%
Mbarara CityExpress

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal60%
Mbarara CityExpress
40%2 goals30%
Mbarara CityExpress
20%3 goals10%
Mbarara CityExpress
10%4 goals3%
Mbarara CityExpress

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time20%
Mbarara CityExpress
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Mbarara CityExpress
10%Scored in both halves17%
Mbarara CityExpress

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS23%
Mbarara CityExpress
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Mbarara CityExpress
60%BTTS - last 540%
Mbarara CityExpress

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time47%
Mbarara CityExpress
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Mbarara CityExpress
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Mbarara CityExpress

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Mbarara CityExpress
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Mbarara CityExpress
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
Mbarara CityExpress

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Express is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / match - Mbarara City · 1.17 pts / match - Express

Mbarara City - half-time state
13% leading53% draw33% trailing
Express - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per match (1st half)1.17
Mbarara CityExpress
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Mbarara CityExpress
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Mbarara CityExpress
1.07Average goals (1st half)0.9
Mbarara CityExpress
53%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Mbarara CityExpress
70%No goal before half-time70%
Mbarara CityExpress

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)1.17
Mbarara CityExpress
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Mbarara CityExpress
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Mbarara CityExpress
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.07
Mbarara CityExpress
43%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Mbarara CityExpress
53%No goal after half-time70%
Mbarara CityExpress

Mbarara City - second-half results

20% W37% R43% P
28
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Express - second-half results

27% W37% R37% P
35
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mbarara City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Express - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mbarara City
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
10
46-60
6
6
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Express
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
7
7
16-30
4
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
3
7
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.20
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+127%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mbarara City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
189%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mbarara CityLigaExpress
Average goals in match 2.432.09 1.97
Both teams scored 57%38% 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%35% 37%
Clean sheets 20%39% 40%
Goal before half-time 60%59% 47%
Goal after half-time 77%62% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mbarara City 0 - 0 - 1 Express. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Express
4 : 1
Mbarara City

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Mbarara City vs Express?

Natapos ang Uganda Premier League match sa score na Mbarara City 2:1 Express. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Mbarara City vs Express?

Mbarara City scores 0.87 goals per match at Express 0.93. Ang Uganda Premier League average ay 2.09 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 35% ng matches. BTTS: Mbarara City 57%, Express 30%.

Ano ang current form ng Mbarara City at Express?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Mbarara City ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Express ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Mbarara City vs Express?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.