Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

Mekelakeya vs Bahardar: match stats

Mekelakeya crest
Mekelakeya
1 : 2half-time 0:0
Bahardar crest
Bahardar
155%(2.50)
X30%(2.80)
215%(2.85)

Ang Mekelakeya ay nasa mas mataas na posisyon sa table (5th place) at may mas magandang goal difference sa home (+1) kumpara sa Bahardar, na may negative goal difference sa away games (-3). Ang hosts ay may significantly better scoring efficiency sa home (0.86 goals/match) at mas mataas na xG (1.42) kaysa sa guests kapag nasa away (0.33 goals/match at xG 1.06). Ang Bahardar ay wala pang naipapanalong away match ngayong season (0% wins) at sa 67% ng matches ay hindi sila nakaka-score. Ang form ng both teams sa last five matches ay mahina, pero nasa Mekelakeya ang home advantage at mas angat na offensive stats. Ang mataas na draw percentage ng Bahardar sa away (67%) ay nagpapahiwatig ng defensive approach, na pwedeng magresulta sa dikit na laban, pero ang statistical advantage ng hosts ay tumuturo sa kanilang panalo.

Mekelakeya vs Bahardar: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Mekelakeya vs Bahardar sa Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 10 January 2026 at 11:00. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Mekelakeya: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Bahardar: 0-3-2 at 0.60 points per match.

Goal statistics

Mekelakeya scores 1.15 at concedes 0.85 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 at concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mekelakeya 41%, Bahardar 32%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 31%, Bahardar 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots at playing style

Mekelakeya ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.32 vs 1.26. Mekelakeya averages 8.6 shots per match, habang Bahardar ay 8.3.

First at second half

Mekelakeya leads at half-time sa 31% ng matches at scores 0.46 goals after the break. Bahardar: 11% at 0.53.

Goals by minute

Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40% at Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Ang Mekelakeya ay nasa mas mataas na posisyon sa table (5th place) at may mas magandang goal difference sa home (+1) kumpara sa Bahardar, na may negative goal difference sa away games (-3). Ang hosts ay may significantly better scoring efficiency sa home (0.86 goals/match) at mas mataas na xG (1.42) kaysa sa guests kapag nasa away (0.33 goals/match at xG 1.06). Ang Bahardar ay wala pang naipapanalong away match ngayong season (0% wins) at sa 67% ng matches ay hindi sila nakaka-score. Ang form ng both teams sa last five matches ay mahina, pero nasa Mekelakeya ang home advantage at mas angat na offensive stats. Ang mataas na draw percentage ng Bahardar sa away (67%) ay nagpapahiwatig ng defensive approach, na pwedeng magresulta sa dikit na laban, pero ang statistical advantage ng hosts ay tumuturo sa kanilang panalo.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
MekelakeyaBahardar
7Shots7
MekelakeyaBahardar
4Shots on target2
MekelakeyaBahardar
0.97xG0.81
MekelakeyaBahardar
4Corners6
MekelakeyaBahardar
32Dangerous attacks30
MekelakeyaBahardar
14Fouls20
MekelakeyaBahardar
0Cards0
MekelakeyaBahardar

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MekelakeyaBahardar
1.15Goals scored / match0.74
MekelakeyaBahardar
0.85Goals conceded / match0.74
MekelakeyaBahardar
56%Average possession51%
MekelakeyaBahardar
2.9Shots on target / match2.84
MekelakeyaBahardar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.64Shots per match8.26
MekelakeyaBahardar
2.9Shots on target2.84
MekelakeyaBahardar
13.4%Shot conversion8.9%
MekelakeyaBahardar
56%Possession51%
MekelakeyaBahardar
1.32xG for1.26
MekelakeyaBahardar
0.98xG against1.2
MekelakeyaBahardar

Shooting quality

Mekelakeya: Efficient finishingBahardar: Balanced
MekelakeyaBahardar
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mekelakeya is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 0.6 pts / match - Bahardar

Mekelakeya
LLWLD
Season result split
36% W41% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-16-9
1.49 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-9-5
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Bahardar
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
24% W55% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-21-8
1.26 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-11-3
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mekelakeya is 55% better for: goals scored per match.

1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar

Bahardar is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar

Scoring profile ng Mekelakeya: mixed

Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).

Scoring profile ng Bahardar: mixed

Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).

45Goals scored (season)28
MekelakeyaBahardar
33Goals conceded (season)28
MekelakeyaBahardar
2Average goals in match1.47
MekelakeyaBahardar
2Goals scored (last 5)2
MekelakeyaBahardar
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
MekelakeyaBahardar

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal47%
MekelakeyaBahardar
33%2 goals24%
MekelakeyaBahardar
13%3 goals3%
MekelakeyaBahardar
3%4 goals0%
MekelakeyaBahardar

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal47%
MekelakeyaBahardar
23%2 goals21%
MekelakeyaBahardar
5%3 goals5%
MekelakeyaBahardar
3%4 goals0%
MekelakeyaBahardar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time11%
MekelakeyaBahardar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MekelakeyaBahardar
15%Scored in both halves8%
MekelakeyaBahardar

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
MekelakeyaBahardar
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MekelakeyaBahardar
20%BTTS - last 520%
MekelakeyaBahardar

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time39%
MekelakeyaBahardar
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time16%
MekelakeyaBahardar
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
MekelakeyaBahardar

2nd half

54%Min. 1 goal after half-time47%
MekelakeyaBahardar
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
MekelakeyaBahardar
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
MekelakeyaBahardar

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mekelakeya is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1 pts / match - Bahardar

Mekelakeya - half-time state
31% leading51% draw18% trailing
Bahardar - half-time state
11% leading68% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1
MekelakeyaBahardar
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.21
MekelakeyaBahardar
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
MekelakeyaBahardar
1.05Average goals (1st half)0.61
MekelakeyaBahardar
64%Clean sheet before half-time71%
MekelakeyaBahardar
59%No goal before half-time79%
MekelakeyaBahardar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.39
MekelakeyaBahardar
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
MekelakeyaBahardar
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
MekelakeyaBahardar
0.9Average goals (2nd half)0.87
MekelakeyaBahardar
69%Clean sheet after half-time71%
MekelakeyaBahardar
62%No goal after half-time66%
MekelakeyaBahardar

Mekelakeya - second-half results

23% W56% R21% P
56
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bahardar - second-half results

26% W61% R13% P
38
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding218%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mekelakeya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Bahardar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mekelakeya
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
7
5
16-30
13
7
31-45
4
6
46-60
6
4
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
6
16-30
5
6
31-45
8
3
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

1.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mekelakeya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

MekelakeyaLigaBahardar
Average goals in match 2.001.78 1.47
Both teams scored 41%40% 32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%28% 18%
Clean sheets 46%40% 53%
Goal before half-time 59%56% 39%
Goal after half-time 54%59% 47%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mekelakeya 0 - 1 - 0 Bahardar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

Natapos ang Ethiopia Premier League match sa score na Mekelakeya 1:2 Bahardar. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

Mekelakeya scores 1.15 goals per match at Bahardar 0.74. Ang Ethiopia Premier League average ay 1.78 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 28% ng matches. BTTS: Mekelakeya 41%, Bahardar 32%.

Ano ang current form ng Mekelakeya at Bahardar?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Mekelakeya ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Bahardar ay 0-3-2 (0.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.