Colombia - Categoria Primera AData updated noong July 23, 2026

Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional: match stats

145%(2.89)
X30%(2.96)
225%(2.49)

Millonarios ay may impressive home form na may 67% win rate at sunod-sunod na four wins sa kanilang home turf. Ang hosts ay nakakascore ng average na 1.83 goals per game sa home, habang natatanggap lang ng 0.67, kaya ang goal difference nila sa home games ay +7. Si Atlético Nacional, kahit maganda ang overall record (8 wins), ay nagkakaproblema sa away games – 40% loss rate at umaabot sa 40% ng kanilang away matches ang goalless. Parehong-pareho ang recent form ng dalawang team (1.8 points per game sa last 5 matches), pero ang home edge ni Millonarios at ang mas mahinang away stats ng visitors ay nagpapalakas sa argumento para sa hosts. Inaasahan ang close match na may slight advantage para sa home team, kaya medyo mataas ang probability ng draw.

Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional sa Categoria Primera A (Colombia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 18 March 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

Millonarios: 1-2-2 sa last five matches at 1.00 points per match. Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1 at 2.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Millonarios scores 1.63 at concedes 1.21 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 at concedes 0.84. League average: 2.53 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Millonarios 63%, Atlético Nacional 40%. Over 2.5: Millonarios 63%, Atlético Nacional 64%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots at playing style

Atlético Nacional ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.75 vs 1.60. Millonarios averages 15.7 shots per match, habang Atlético Nacional ay 16.8.

First at second half

Millonarios leads at half-time sa 37% ng matches at scores 0.95 goals after the break. Atlético Nacional: 28% at 1.36.

Goals by minute

Millonarios: 46-60 (10 goals). Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53% at Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Sa 4 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-2-1. Average goals: 0.75, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Millonarios ay may impressive home form na may 67% win rate at sunod-sunod na four wins sa kanilang home turf. Ang hosts ay nakakascore ng average na 1.83 goals per game sa home, habang natatanggap lang ng 0.67, kaya ang goal difference nila sa home games ay +7. Si Atlético Nacional, kahit maganda ang overall record (8 wins), ay nagkakaproblema sa away games – 40% loss rate at umaabot sa 40% ng kanilang away matches ang goalless. Parehong-pareho ang recent form ng dalawang team (1.8 points per game sa last 5 matches), pero ang home edge ni Millonarios at ang mas mahinang away stats ng visitors ay nagpapalakas sa argumento para sa hosts. Inaasahan ang close match na may slight advantage para sa home team, kaya medyo mataas ang probability ng draw.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
20Shots8
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
7Shots on target1
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
2.06xG0.73
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
6Corners3
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
45Dangerous attacks20
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
16Fouls8
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
2Cards8
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MillonariosAtlético Nacional
1.63Goals scored / match1.96
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
1.21Goals conceded / match0.84
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
47%Average possession56%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
5.47Shots on target / match6.16
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.74Shots per match16.76
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
5.47Shots on target6.16
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
10.4%Shot conversion11.7%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
47%Possession56%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
1.6xG for1.75
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
1.15xG against1.26
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

Shooting quality

Millonarios: AttackingAtlético Nacional: Dominant
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Nacional is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Millonarios · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

Millonarios
LDLWD
Season result split
37% W26% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-7
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Atlético Nacional
WWWLW
Season result split
72% W4% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-1-6
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-0-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Millonarios · 1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.21 goals / match - Millonarios · 0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional

Scoring profile ng Millonarios: napakalakas

Millonarios scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).

Scoring profile ng Atlético Nacional: malakas

Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).

31Goals scored (season)49
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
23Goals conceded (season)21
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
2.84Average goals in match2.8
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
6Goals scored (last 5)12
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal72%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
47%2 goals64%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
16%3 goals32%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
11%4 goals16%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal64%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
42%2 goals12%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
11%3 goals8%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
0%4 goals0%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 25 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time24%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
26%Scored in both halves48%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS24%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
60%BTTS - last 540%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millonarios is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - Millonarios · 1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional

Millonarios - half-time state
37% leading42% draw21% trailing
Atlético Nacional - half-time state
28% leading52% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.36
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.6
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.12
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
68%Clean sheet before half-time56%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
53%No goal before half-time52%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)2.24
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
0.95Goals scored (2nd half)1.36
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.32
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.68
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
42%Clean sheet after half-time72%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional
37%No goal after half-time28%
MillonariosAtlético Nacional

Millonarios - second-half results

37% W37% R26% P
29
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

72% W8% R20% P
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
56
Second-half points
+26
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Millonarios - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Atlético Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match0.42.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+8
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Millonarios
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
4
31-45
10
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
2
3
16-30
8
3
31-45
11
5
46-60
11
1
61-75
12
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.82
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-73%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Millonarios

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
204%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

MillonariosLigaAtlético Nacional
Average goals in match 2.842.53 2.80
Both teams scored 63%53% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%48% 64%
Clean sheets 32%27% 36%
Goal before half-time 63%70% 68%
Goal after half-time 84%78% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+64%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Millonarios 1 - 2 - 1 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 0.75, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Club Atlético Nacional SA
2 : 0
Millonarios FC SA
Club Atlético Nacional SA
0 : 1
Millonarios FC SA
Millonarios FC SA
0 : 0
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Millonarios FC SA
0 : 0
Club Atlético Nacional SA

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional?

Natapos ang Categoria Primera A match sa score na Millonarios 3:0 Atlético Nacional. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Millonarios at Atlético Nacional?

Sa huling 4 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Millonarios ng 1, ang Atlético Nacional ng 1, at 2 ang draws. Average goals: 0.75; BTTS: 0%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional?

Millonarios scores 1.63 goals per match at Atlético Nacional 1.96. Ang Categoria Primera A average ay 2.53 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Millonarios 63%, Atlético Nacional 40%.

Ano ang current form ng Millonarios at Atlético Nacional?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Millonarios ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match), habang ang Atlético Nacional ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.