Millwall vs Derby County: match stats
Ang Millwall ay nagpapakita ng impressive na home form na may 56% home win rate at 22% lang ng matches na walang na-score na goal. Ang home team ay nasa excellent condition, nanalo sa apat sa kanilang huling limang overall matches (2.4 points per game). Ang Derby County, kahit may decent away record (47% win rate), ay nagpapakita ng mas mababang shooting efficiency sa road (xG 1.13 vs 1.58 ng Millwall at home) at mas mataas na average ng conceded goals (1.29). Isang key factor dito ay ang advantage ng Millwall sa ball possession (48% vs 39%) at effectiveness sa home matches, kung saan nag-a-average sila ng 1.44 goals na may 44% clean sheets. Ang difference sa expected goals (xG For 1.58 para sa Millwall vs xG Against 1.55 para sa Derby) at ang solid home streak ng hosts ay matibay na basehan para sa kanilang panalo, kahit pa ang competitive nature ng Championship at ang good form ng Derby ay ginagawang realistic scenario ang isang draw.
Millwall vs Derby County: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Millwall vs Derby County sa Championship (England). Naka-schedule ang match sa 10 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Millwall: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Derby County: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.33 at concedes 1.06 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.46 at concedes 1.28. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 48%, Derby County 65%. Over 2.5: Millwall 46%, Derby County 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots at playing style
Millwall ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.46 vs 1.25. Millwall averages 12.9 shots per match, habang Derby County ay 11.0.
First at second half
Millwall leads at half-time sa 31% ng matches at scores 0.81 goals after the break. Derby County: 39% at 0.76.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (17 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (15 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Ang Millwall ay nagpapakita ng impressive na home form na may 56% home win rate at 22% lang ng matches na walang na-score na goal. Ang home team ay nasa excellent condition, nanalo sa apat sa kanilang huling limang overall matches (2.4 points per game). Ang Derby County, kahit may decent away record (47% win rate), ay nagpapakita ng mas mababang shooting efficiency sa road (xG 1.13 vs 1.58 ng Millwall at home) at mas mataas na average ng conceded goals (1.29). Isang key factor dito ay ang advantage ng Millwall sa ball possession (48% vs 39%) at effectiveness sa home matches, kung saan nag-a-average sila ng 1.44 goals na may 44% clean sheets. Ang difference sa expected goals (xG For 1.58 para sa Millwall vs xG Against 1.55 para sa Derby) at ang solid home streak ng hosts ay matibay na basehan para sa kanilang panalo, kahit pa ang competitive nature ng Championship at ang good form ng Derby ay ginagawang realistic scenario ang isang draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Millwall · 1.2 pts / match - Derby County
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Millwall · 1.46 goals / match - Derby County
Millwall is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Millwall · 1.28 goals / match - Derby County
Millwall scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Derby County scores in 91% of matches (42 of 46 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Millwall
Over / Under — Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Millwall
Derby County
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Millwall 0 - 1 - 0 Derby County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Millwall vs Derby County?
Natapos ang Championship match sa score na Millwall 1:0 Derby County. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Millwall vs Derby County?
Millwall scores 1.33 goals per match at Derby County 1.46. Ang Championship average ay 2.59 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 50% ng matches. BTTS: Millwall 48%, Derby County 65%.
Ano ang current form ng Millwall at Derby County?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Millwall ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Derby County ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Millwall vs Derby County?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.