England - ChampionshipUpdated ang data noong September 12, 2026

Millwall vs Derby County: mga stats ng match

Millwall crest
Millwall
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Derby County crest
Derby County
150%(2.01)
X27%(3.34)
223%(3.90)

Ang Millwall ay nagpapakita ng impressive na home form na may 56% home win rate at 22% lang ng matches na walang na-score na goal. Ang home team ay nasa excellent condition, nanalo sa apat sa kanilang huling limang overall matches (2.4 points per game). Ang Derby County, kahit may decent away record (47% win rate), ay nagpapakita ng mas mababang shooting efficiency sa road (xG 1.13 vs 1.58 ng Millwall at home) at mas mataas na average ng conceded goals (1.29). Isang key factor dito ay ang advantage ng Millwall sa ball possession (48% vs 39%) at effectiveness sa home matches, kung saan nag-a-average sila ng 1.44 goals na may 44% clean sheets. Ang difference sa expected goals (xG For 1.58 para sa Millwall vs xG Against 1.55 para sa Derby) at ang solid home streak ng hosts ay matibay na basehan para sa kanilang panalo, kahit pa ang competitive nature ng Championship at ang good form ng Derby ay ginagawang realistic scenario ang isang draw.

Millwall vs Derby County: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Millwall laban sa Derby County sa Championship (England). Nilaro ang match noong 10 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current na form

Millwall: 4-0-1 sa last five matches at 2.40 points per match. Derby County: 3-0-2 at 1.80 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Millwall ay may 1.39 goals na na-score at 1.14 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Derby County naman ay may 1.50 na na-score at 1.31 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Millwall 47%, Derby County 69%. Over 2.5: Millwall 50%, Derby County 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Millwall ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.44 vs 1.20. May average na 12.7 shots bawat match ang Millwall, habang 10.3 naman ang Derby County.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Millwall sa half-time sa 31% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.83 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Derby County, 36% at 0.81 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Millwall: 76-90+ (15 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 56% at Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-1-0, average goals 2.00, at BTTS 100%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Ang Millwall ay nagpapakita ng impressive na home form na may 56% home win rate at 22% lang ng matches na walang na-score na goal. Ang home team ay nasa excellent condition, nanalo sa apat sa kanilang huling limang overall matches (2.4 points per game). Ang Derby County, kahit may decent away record (47% win rate), ay nagpapakita ng mas mababang shooting efficiency sa road (xG 1.13 vs 1.58 ng Millwall at home) at mas mataas na average ng conceded goals (1.29). Isang key factor dito ay ang advantage ng Millwall sa ball possession (48% vs 39%) at effectiveness sa home matches, kung saan nag-a-average sila ng 1.44 goals na may 44% clean sheets. Ang difference sa expected goals (xG For 1.58 para sa Millwall vs xG Against 1.55 para sa Derby) at ang solid home streak ng hosts ay matibay na basehan para sa kanilang panalo, kahit pa ang competitive nature ng Championship at ang good form ng Derby ay ginagawang realistic scenario ang isang draw.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Stats ng match

50Possession (%)50
MillwallDerby County
15Shots14
MillwallDerby County
4Shots on target1
MillwallDerby County
1.61xG1.28
MillwallDerby County
6Corners2
MillwallDerby County
53Dangerous attacks44
MillwallDerby County
7Fouls13
MillwallDerby County
0Cards3
MillwallDerby County

Pre-match na profileano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.39Goals na na-score / match1.5
MillwallDerby County
1.14Goals na na-concede / match1.31
MillwallDerby County
47%Average na possession43%
MillwallDerby County
4.22Shots on target bawat match3.44
MillwallDerby County

Stats ng teamsalin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

12.72Shots bawat match10.33
MillwallDerby County
4.22Shots on target3.44
MillwallDerby County
10.9%Shot conversion14.5%
MillwallDerby County
47%Possession43%
MillwallDerby County
1.44xG for1.2
MillwallDerby County
1.38xG against1.41
MillwallDerby County

Quality ng shooting

Millwall: Balanced ang styleDerby County: Counter-attacking ang style
MillwallDerby County
Accuracy ng shots on target33%33%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.330.44

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teamsalin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Millwall ang 33% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

2.4 pts / match - Millwall · 1.8 pts / match - Derby County

Millwall
WLWWW
Result split ngayong season
53% W22% D25% L
Season record (W-D-L)
19-8-9
1.81 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
10-3-5
Last 5 sa home
3-1-1
WWDLW
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 2.2Goals na na-concede: 1.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Derby County
WLLWW
Result split ngayong season
42% W25% D33% L
Season record (W-D-L)
15-9-12
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 sa away
3-0-2
WWWLL
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.8Goals na na-concede: 1.6xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Derby County ang 8% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.39 goals / match - Millwall · 1.5 goals / match - Derby County

Millwall ang 15% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Millwall · 1.31 goals / match - Derby County

Scoring profile ng Millwall: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Millwall sa 81% ng matches (29 sa 36 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Derby County sa 22% (8 sa 36 matches).

Scoring profile ng Derby County: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Derby County sa 92% ng matches (33 sa 36 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Millwall sa 39% (14 sa 36 matches).

50Goals na na-score (season)54
MillwallDerby County
41Goals na na-concede (season)47
MillwallDerby County
2.53Average ng goals sa match2.81
MillwallDerby County
11Goals na na-score (last 5)9
MillwallDerby County
5Goals na na-concede (last 5)8
MillwallDerby County

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

81%1 goal92%
MillwallDerby County
42%2 goals39%
MillwallDerby County
14%3 goals14%
MillwallDerby County
3%4 goals3%
MillwallDerby County

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

61%1 goal78%
MillwallDerby County
31%2 goals31%
MillwallDerby County
17%3 goals14%
MillwallDerby County
6%4 goals6%
MillwallDerby County

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

Mga pattern ng goal

17%BTTS sa half-time19%
MillwallDerby County
3%BTTS sa parehong halves3%
MillwallDerby County
22%Naka-score sa parehong halves22%
MillwallDerby County

BTTS at goal count

33%Min. 3 goals at BTTS47%
MillwallDerby County
17%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS6%
MillwallDerby County
60%BTTS - last 560%
MillwallDerby County

Mga goal line (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time78%
MillwallDerby County
33%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time28%
MillwallDerby County
0%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time17%
MillwallDerby County

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time81%
MillwallDerby County
53%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time47%
MillwallDerby County
22%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time17%
MillwallDerby County

Mga half ng matchsaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Millwall - state sa half-time
31% nangunguna53% tabla17% nahuhuli
Derby County - state sa half-time
36% nangunguna36% tabla28% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.44Points bawat match (1st half)1.44
MillwallDerby County
0.56Goals na na-score (1st half)0.69
MillwallDerby County
0.42Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.58
MillwallDerby County
0.97Average ng goals (1st half)1.28
MillwallDerby County
67%Clean sheet bago ang half-time56%
MillwallDerby County
53%Walang goal bago ang half-time47%
MillwallDerby County

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points bawat match (2nd half)1.44
MillwallDerby County
0.83Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.81
MillwallDerby County
0.72Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.72
MillwallDerby County
1.56Average ng goals (2nd half)1.53
MillwallDerby County
56%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time50%
MillwallDerby County
44%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time39%
MillwallDerby County

Millwall - mga result sa second half

36% W42% D22% L
52
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference sa 1st half
54
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.44
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding171%

Leading sa half-time sa 31% ng matches at nananalo sa 53%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Nagko-concede ng 0.3 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Derby County - mga result sa second half

36% W36% D28% L
52
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference sa 1st half
52
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.44
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding117%

Leading sa half-time sa 36% ng matches at nananalo sa 42%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Nagko-concede ng 0.1 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Millwall - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.802.40
Goals na na-score / match0.81.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.20.8
Average ng goals sa match1.02.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 60% tabla - 0% nahuhuli
2nd half: 80% panalo - 0% tabla - 20% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 4
Derby County - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.001.40
Goals na na-score / match0.81.0
Goals na na-concede / match1.00.6
Average ng goals sa match1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 40% nahuhuli
2nd half: 40% panalo - 20% tabla - 40% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 40% - Total goals sa half-time: 4

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minutokailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Millwall
Na-scoreNa-concede
5
6
0-15
7
5
16-30
8
4
31-45
5
11
46-60
10
3
61-75
15
12
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (12). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +3 - malakas sa late phases.

Derby County
Na-scoreNa-concede
6
9
0-15
7
5
16-30
12
7
31-45
11
3
46-60
10
10
61-75
8
13
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (13). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -5 - mahina sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.67
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
103%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
58%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
2%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 50 matches
2-3
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
+0.06
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+0.19
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
+0.4 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.05
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.24
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
94%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.59
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.3
Mga late goal
30% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 10% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
30%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.21
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+0.40
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-7.4 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
+0.30
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.10
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
95%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.30
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.1
Mga late goal
15% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 11% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
15%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng ligamataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Championship.

Teams kumpara sa liga

MillwallLigaDerby County
Average ng goals sa match 2.532.59 2.81
Parehong teams naka-score 47%56% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%51% 53%
Clean sheets 39%25% 22%
Goal bago ang half-time 64%71% 78%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time 72%78% 81%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.59
Average goals bawat match
56%
Parehong teams naka-score
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals bawat match
1.21
Away goals bawat match
+14%
Advantage ng home attack
+12%
Advantage ng home defence
+10%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. MillwallGoalJosh CoburnAssist: Tristan Crama
  2. Derby CountySubstitutionPumasok: Bobby ClarkLumabas: David Ozoh
  3. Derby CountyYellow cardBobby Clark
  4. Derby CountyYellow cardDion Sanderson
  5. Derby CountyYellow cardCarlton Morris
  6. MillwallSubstitutionPumasok: Luke CundleLumabas: Barry Ryan Bannan
  7. MillwallSubstitutionPumasok: Macaulay LangstaffLumabas: Mihailo Ivanović
  8. Derby CountySubstitutionPumasok: Oscar FrauloLumabas: Lewis Travis
  9. Derby CountySubstitutionPumasok: Richard Mark O'DonnellLumabas: Josh Vickers
  10. MillwallSubstitutionPumasok: Derek Mazou-SackoLumabas: Josh Coburn

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Matt DonohueMatches officiated: 23
4.43Cards kada match
0Penalties kada match
1 / X / 239%Home wins39%Draws22%Away wins

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Millwall 0 - 1 - 0 Derby County. Average ng goals 2.00, both teams scored sa 100% matches.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Millwall vs Derby County?

Natapos ang Championship match sa score na Millwall 1:0 Derby County. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Millwall vs Derby County?

Millwall scores 1.39 goals per match at Derby County 1.50. Ang Championship average ay 2.59 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 51% ng matches. BTTS: Millwall 47%, Derby County 69%.

Ano ang current form ng Millwall at Derby County?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Millwall ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match), habang ang Derby County ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Millwall vs Derby County?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.