Italy - Serie BData updated noong July 22, 2026

Modena vs Cesena: match stats

Modena crest
Modena
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Cesena crest
Cesena
155%(1.75)
X25%(3.30)
220%(4.00)

Ang Modena ay nagpe-perform ng decidedly better nitong mga nakaraang linggo, earning 1.8 PPG sa last five matches, habang ang Cesena ay nasa fatal form na may only 0.2 PPG at streak ng four consecutive losses. Ang hosts ay may clear advantage sa home matches with 43% win rate at positive goal difference (+7), pati na rin better xG stats (1.7 vs 1.04). Ang Cesena ay nagco-concede ng average na 1.43 goals per away match with negative goal difference (-3) at measly 7% clean sheets, making them very vulnerable. Ang Modena ay may better average possession (52% vs 50%) at higher shot conversion sa home games, na dapat mag-translate sa control ng match. Given these factors, I predict a home victory, though may potential ang Cesena for a surprise, kaya nag-iiwan ako ng probability para sa Draw at away win.

Modena vs Cesena: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Modena vs Cesena sa Serie B (Italy). Naka-schedule ang match sa 7 March 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Modena: 1-0-4 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Cesena: 0-2-3 at 0.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Modena scores 1.26 at concedes 0.95 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.18 at concedes 1.47. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Modena 49%, Cesena 61%. Over 2.5: Modena 49%, Cesena 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots at playing style

Modena ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.65 vs 1.45. Modena averages 15.2 shots per match, habang Cesena ay 13.1.

First at second half

Modena leads at half-time sa 38% ng matches at scores 0.69 goals after the break. Cesena: 24% at 0.61.

Goals by minute

Modena: 76-90+ (11 goals). Cesena: 31-45+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53% at Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Ang Modena ay nagpe-perform ng decidedly better nitong mga nakaraang linggo, earning 1.8 PPG sa last five matches, habang ang Cesena ay nasa fatal form na may only 0.2 PPG at streak ng four consecutive losses. Ang hosts ay may clear advantage sa home matches with 43% win rate at positive goal difference (+7), pati na rin better xG stats (1.7 vs 1.04). Ang Cesena ay nagco-concede ng average na 1.43 goals per away match with negative goal difference (-3) at measly 7% clean sheets, making them very vulnerable. Ang Modena ay may better average possession (52% vs 50%) at higher shot conversion sa home games, na dapat mag-translate sa control ng match. Given these factors, I predict a home victory, though may potential ang Cesena for a surprise, kaya nag-iiwan ako ng probability para sa Draw at away win.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
ModenaCesena
17Shots3
ModenaCesena
4Shots on target1
ModenaCesena
1.58xG0.33
ModenaCesena
7Corners1
ModenaCesena
30Dangerous attacks8
ModenaCesena
8Fouls10
ModenaCesena
1Cards0
ModenaCesena

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.26Goals scored / match1.18
ModenaCesena
0.95Goals conceded / match1.47
ModenaCesena
50%Average possession50%
ModenaCesena
4.67Shots on target / match4.11
ModenaCesena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.15Shots per match13.13
ModenaCesena
4.67Shots on target4.11
ModenaCesena
8.3%Shot conversion9%
ModenaCesena
50%Possession50%
ModenaCesena
1.65xG for1.45
ModenaCesena
1.19xG against1.47
ModenaCesena

Shooting quality

Modena: AttackingCesena: Balanced
ModenaCesena
Accuracy (shots on target)31%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Modena is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Modena · 0.4 pts / match - Cesena

Modena
LLWLL
Season result split
38% W26% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-10-14
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-7
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Cesena
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
32% W26% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-16
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.26 goals / match - Modena · 1.18 goals / match - Cesena

Modena is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Modena · 1.47 goals / match - Cesena

Scoring profile ng Modena: napakalakas

Modena scores in 72% of matches (28 of 39 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

Scoring profile ng Cesena: malakas

Cesena scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).

49Goals scored (season)45
ModenaCesena
37Goals conceded (season)56
ModenaCesena
2.21Average goals in match2.66
ModenaCesena
3Goals scored (last 5)3
ModenaCesena
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
ModenaCesena

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal71%
ModenaCesena
44%2 goals34%
ModenaCesena
10%3 goals13%
ModenaCesena
0%4 goals0%
ModenaCesena

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal82%
ModenaCesena
28%2 goals39%
ModenaCesena
3%3 goals21%
ModenaCesena
0%4 goals5%
ModenaCesena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time26%
ModenaCesena
0%BTTS in both halves3%
ModenaCesena
26%Scored in both halves21%
ModenaCesena

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
ModenaCesena
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
ModenaCesena
40%BTTS - last 520%
ModenaCesena

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
ModenaCesena
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
ModenaCesena
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
ModenaCesena

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
ModenaCesena
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
ModenaCesena
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
ModenaCesena

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Modena is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Modena · 1.16 pts / match - Cesena

Modena - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing
Cesena - half-time state
24% leading45% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.16
ModenaCesena
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.58
ModenaCesena
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
ModenaCesena
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.26
ModenaCesena
62%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ModenaCesena
54%No goal before half-time53%
ModenaCesena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.49Points per match (2nd half)1.03
ModenaCesena
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
ModenaCesena
0.49Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
ModenaCesena
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.39
ModenaCesena
62%Clean sheet after half-time42%
ModenaCesena
49%No goal after half-time55%
ModenaCesena

Modena - second-half results

36% W41% R23% P
57
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cesena - second-half results

21% W39% R39% P
44
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Modena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Cesena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Modena
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
9
31-45
9
7
46-60
7
5
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Cesena
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
5
12
16-30
12
8
31-45
10
10
46-60
5
9
61-75
8
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.43
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Cesena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

ModenaLigaCesena
Average goals in match 2.212.55 2.66
Both teams scored 49%53% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 49%48% 53%
Clean sheets 36%27% 18%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 72%78% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Modena 0 - 0 - 1 Cesena. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Modena vs Cesena?

Natapos ang Serie B match sa score na Modena 0:0 Cesena. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Modena vs Cesena?

Modena scores 1.26 goals per match at Cesena 1.18. Ang Serie B average ay 2.55 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Modena 49%, Cesena 61%.

Ano ang current form ng Modena at Cesena?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Modena ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Cesena ay 0-2-3 (0.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Modena vs Cesena?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.