Monterrey vs Toluca: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Monterrey vs Toluca sa Liga MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 3 December 2025 at 02:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Monterrey: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Toluca: 1-0-4 at 0.60 points per match.

Goal statistics

Monterrey scores 1.61 at concedes 1.53 goals per match. Toluca scores 1.86 at concedes 1.02. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monterrey 53%, Toluca 55%. Over 2.5: Monterrey 58%, Toluca 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots at playing style

Toluca ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.82 vs 1.58. Monterrey averages 14.3 shots per match, habang Toluca ay 17.5.

First at second half

Monterrey leads at half-time sa 53% ng matches at scores 0.61 goals after the break. Toluca: 38% at 1.07.

Goals by minute

Monterrey: 31-45+ (20 goals). Toluca: 46-60 (19 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59% at Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-3. Average goals: 4.67, BTTS: 67%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
MonterreyToluca
6Shots14
MonterreyToluca
3Shots on target5
MonterreyToluca
0.83xG1.58
MonterreyToluca
3Corners7
MonterreyToluca
32Dangerous attacks47
MonterreyToluca
9Fouls7
MonterreyToluca
1Cards3
MonterreyToluca

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.61Goals scored / match1.86
MonterreyToluca
1.53Goals conceded / match1.02
MonterreyToluca
56%Average possession57%
MonterreyToluca
5.29Shots on target / match5.76
MonterreyToluca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.29Shots per match17.52
MonterreyToluca
5.29Shots on target5.76
MonterreyToluca
11.2%Shot conversion10.6%
MonterreyToluca
56%Possession57%
MonterreyToluca
1.58xG for1.82
MonterreyToluca
1.36xG against1.15
MonterreyToluca

Shooting quality

Monterrey: DominantToluca: Dominant
MonterreyToluca
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monterrey is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Monterrey · 0.6 pts / match - Toluca

Monterrey
LDLWL
Season result split
42% W18% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-15
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-4-5
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Toluca
LLWLL
Season result split
52% W26% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-11-9
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-5-7
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toluca is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.61 goals / match - Monterrey · 1.86 goals / match - Toluca

Toluca is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - Monterrey · 1.02 goals / match - Toluca

Scoring profile ng Monterrey: napakalakas

Monterrey scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).

Scoring profile ng Toluca: napakalakas

Toluca scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

61Goals scored (season)78
MonterreyToluca
58Goals conceded (season)43
MonterreyToluca
3.13Average goals in match2.88
MonterreyToluca
4Goals scored (last 5)8
MonterreyToluca
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
MonterreyToluca

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal74%
MonterreyToluca
50%2 goals55%
MonterreyToluca
21%3 goals40%
MonterreyToluca
11%4 goals12%
MonterreyToluca

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal69%
MonterreyToluca
50%2 goals24%
MonterreyToluca
18%3 goals5%
MonterreyToluca
5%4 goals5%
MonterreyToluca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
MonterreyToluca
8%BTTS in both halves7%
MonterreyToluca
26%Scored in both halves40%
MonterreyToluca

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
MonterreyToluca
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
MonterreyToluca
60%BTTS - last 560%
MonterreyToluca

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
MonterreyToluca
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
MonterreyToluca
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
MonterreyToluca

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
MonterreyToluca
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
MonterreyToluca
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
MonterreyToluca

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monterrey is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / match - Monterrey · 1.55 pts / match - Toluca

Monterrey - half-time state
53% leading24% draw24% trailing
Toluca - half-time state
38% leading40% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per match (1st half)1.55
MonterreyToluca
1Goals scored (1st half)0.79
MonterreyToluca
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
MonterreyToluca
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.26
MonterreyToluca
58%Clean sheet before half-time62%
MonterreyToluca
34%No goal before half-time48%
MonterreyToluca

After half-time (2nd half)

1.05Points per match (2nd half)1.74
MonterreyToluca
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)1.07
MonterreyToluca
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
MonterreyToluca
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.62
MonterreyToluca
37%Clean sheet after half-time55%
MonterreyToluca
63%No goal after half-time38%
MonterreyToluca

Monterrey - second-half results

21% W42% R37% P
69
Half-time points
38
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 42%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toluca - second-half results

48% W31% R21% P
65
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
73
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monterrey - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.40
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+1-6
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Toluca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monterrey
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
10
10
16-30
20
8
31-45
6
12
46-60
7
8
61-75
10
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (20 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
13
5
16-30
14
8
31-45
19
7
46-60
10
8
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monterrey

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Toluca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
154%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

MonterreyLigaToluca
Average goals in match 3.132.91 2.88
Both teams scored 53%59% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%55% 50%
Clean sheets 26%24% 31%
Goal before half-time 87%72% 69%
Goal after half-time 74%76% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Monterrey 0 - 0 - 3 Toluca. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 67% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Monterrey vs Toluca?

Natapos ang Liga MX match sa score na Monterrey 1:0 Toluca. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Monterrey at Toluca?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Monterrey ng 0, ang Toluca ng 3, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 4.67; BTTS: 67%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Monterrey vs Toluca?

Monterrey scores 1.61 goals per match at Toluca 1.86. Ang Liga MX average ay 2.91 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Monterrey 53%, Toluca 55%.

Ano ang current form ng Monterrey at Toluca?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Monterrey ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Toluca ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Monterrey vs Toluca?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.