Morelia vs Cancún: match stats
Morelia ay nagpapakita ng solid home form with 50% win rate sa kanilang home matches at may impressive streak na walang talo sa last 5 games overall (2 wins, 3 draws). Ang hosts may advantage sa expected goals (xG 1.91 vs xGA 1.09) sa kanilang home turf, na nagpapakita ng offensive efficiency at defensive stability. Si Cancún, despite a decent overall record (10 wins), ay nagpapakita ng weaker away form with only 44% win rate at may concerning negative xG differential sa away games (1.21 vs 2.06), na suggesting problems sa chance creation at defense. Ang recent form ng visitors ay also shaky with only 1 point per game sa last 5 matches. Morelia controls an average of 54% possession sa home at scores an average of 1.6 goals while conceding only 0.8, which combined with home advantage ay gives the hosts a real chance to triumph.
Morelia vs Cancún: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Morelia vs Cancún sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 1 February 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Morelia: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Cancún: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 1.29 at concedes 1.15 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.62 at concedes 0.94. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 41%, Cancún 59%. Over 2.5: Morelia 50%, Cancún 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots at playing style
Morelia ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.53 vs 1.39. Morelia averages 13.0 shots per match, habang Cancún ay 11.3.
First at second half
Morelia leads at half-time sa 32% ng matches at scores 0.65 goals after the break. Cancún: 53% at 0.74.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Cancún: 31-45+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-1. Average goals: 3.67, BTTS: 67%.
Match description
Morelia ay nagpapakita ng solid home form with 50% win rate sa kanilang home matches at may impressive streak na walang talo sa last 5 games overall (2 wins, 3 draws). Ang hosts may advantage sa expected goals (xG 1.91 vs xGA 1.09) sa kanilang home turf, na nagpapakita ng offensive efficiency at defensive stability. Si Cancún, despite a decent overall record (10 wins), ay nagpapakita ng weaker away form with only 44% win rate at may concerning negative xG differential sa away games (1.21 vs 2.06), na suggesting problems sa chance creation at defense. Ang recent form ng visitors ay also shaky with only 1 point per game sa last 5 matches. Morelia controls an average of 54% possession sa home at scores an average of 1.6 goals while conceding only 0.8, which combined with home advantage ay gives the hosts a real chance to triumph.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Morelia · 1.6 pts / match - Cancún
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Morelia · 1.62 goals / match - Cancún
Cancún is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Morelia · 0.94 goals / match - Cancún
Morelia scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Cancún scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Morelia
Over / Under — Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Morelia · 2 pts / match - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Morelia
Cancún
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Morelia 1 - 1 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Morelia vs Cancún?
Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Morelia 0:1 Cancún. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Morelia at Cancún?
Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Morelia ng 1, ang Cancún ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 3.67; BTTS: 67%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Morelia vs Cancún?
Morelia scores 1.29 goals per match at Cancún 1.62. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Morelia 41%, Cancún 59%.
Ano ang current form ng Morelia at Cancún?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Morelia ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Cancún ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Morelia vs Cancún?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.