Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match stats
Ang Morelia ay nagpapakita ng significantly better na home form na may 54% win rate sa kanilang sariling stadium at isang impressive na +9 goal difference sa home matches. Ang mga hosts ay nag-a-average ng 1.46 goals per home match na may xG na 1.89, na nag-i-indicate ng kanilang attacking efficiency. Ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay nag-i-struggle sa away matches – 23% win rate lang at napakataas na 54% draw rate, na nag-me-make sa kanila na isang tough pero defensive na opponent. Isang key factor din ang difference sa ball possession (55% vs 49%) at sa average shots (16.85 vs 12.69) na in favor of Morelia. Given the recent form of both teams (parehong may 2 points per match sa last 5 games) at ang advantage ng mga hosts sa kanilang home ground, ine-expect ko ang isang panalo para sa Morelia, pero ang mataas na draw percentage ng mga visitors ay nag-su-suggest ng possibility ng point sharing. Ang xG stats (1.89 vs 1.55) ay further na nagko-confirm sa qualitative advantage ng mga hosts pagdating sa attack.
Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 15 March 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Morelia: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 1.29 at concedes 1.15 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 at concedes 0.95. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 41%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%. Over 2.5: Morelia 50%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots at playing style
Tepatitlán de Morelos ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.59 vs 1.53. Morelia averages 13.0 shots per match, habang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay 13.2.
First at second half
Morelia leads at half-time sa 32% ng matches at scores 0.65 goals after the break. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 30% at 0.78.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (22 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 5.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Ang Morelia ay nagpapakita ng significantly better na home form na may 54% win rate sa kanilang sariling stadium at isang impressive na +9 goal difference sa home matches. Ang mga hosts ay nag-a-average ng 1.46 goals per home match na may xG na 1.89, na nag-i-indicate ng kanilang attacking efficiency. Ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay nag-i-struggle sa away matches – 23% win rate lang at napakataas na 54% draw rate, na nag-me-make sa kanila na isang tough pero defensive na opponent. Isang key factor din ang difference sa ball possession (55% vs 49%) at sa average shots (16.85 vs 12.69) na in favor of Morelia. Given the recent form of both teams (parehong may 2 points per match sa last 5 games) at ang advantage ng mga hosts sa kanilang home ground, ine-expect ko ang isang panalo para sa Morelia, pero ang mataas na draw percentage ng mga visitors ay nag-su-suggest ng possibility ng point sharing. Ang xG stats (1.89 vs 1.55) ay further na nagko-confirm sa qualitative advantage ng mga hosts pagdating sa attack.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Morelia · 1.6 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Morelia · 1.35 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Morelia · 0.95 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Morelia scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 73% of matches (29 of 40 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Morelia
Over / Under — Tepatitlán de Morelos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Morelia · 1.27 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Morelia
Tepatitlán de Morelos
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Morelia 0 - 0 - 1 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Morelia 3:2 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Morelia scores 1.29 goals per match at Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.35. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Morelia 41%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%.
Ano ang current form ng Morelia at Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Morelia ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.