Morelia vs Venados: match stats
Ang Morelia ay talagang nagpapakita ng mas magandang home form, may solid 45% win rate at impressive goal difference na +7 sa kanilang home turf. Ang hosts ay consistent na may 1.97 xG sa home matches, at only 0.82 average goals conceded lang – clear sign ng kanilang offensive edge at defensive stability. Sa kabilang banda, ang Venados ay may alarming weaknesses sa away games: 78% loss rate, zero clean sheet percentage, at negative goal difference na -8. Sa last five away matches nila, sunod-sunod na talo, with an average na 2.44 goals ang natatanggap per match. Dagdag pa, ang Morelia ay may possession advantage (55% vs 47%) at mas mataas na shooting accuracy. With their home crowd support, all these factors point to a certain victory for the hosts.
Morelia vs Venados: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Morelia vs Venados sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 15 February 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Morelia: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Venados: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 1.29 at concedes 1.15 goals per match. Venados scores 1.93 at concedes 1.96. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 41%, Venados 64%. Over 2.5: Morelia 50%, Venados 61%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots at playing style
Morelia ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.53 vs 1.48. Morelia averages 13.0 shots per match, habang Venados ay 12.5.
First at second half
Morelia leads at half-time sa 32% ng matches at scores 0.65 goals after the break. Venados: 25% at 1.14.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Venados: 46-60 (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Ang Morelia ay talagang nagpapakita ng mas magandang home form, may solid 45% win rate at impressive goal difference na +7 sa kanilang home turf. Ang hosts ay consistent na may 1.97 xG sa home matches, at only 0.82 average goals conceded lang – clear sign ng kanilang offensive edge at defensive stability. Sa kabilang banda, ang Venados ay may alarming weaknesses sa away games: 78% loss rate, zero clean sheet percentage, at negative goal difference na -8. Sa last five away matches nila, sunod-sunod na talo, with an average na 2.44 goals ang natatanggap per match. Dagdag pa, ang Morelia ay may possession advantage (55% vs 47%) at mas mataas na shooting accuracy. With their home crowd support, all these factors point to a certain victory for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Venados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Venados is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Morelia · 1.6 pts / match - Venados
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Morelia · 1.93 goals / match - Venados
Morelia is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Morelia · 1.96 goals / match - Venados
Morelia scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 28 matches).
Venados scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Morelia
Over / Under — Venados
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Morelia · 1.14 pts / match - Venados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Morelia
Venados
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Venados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Morelia 0 - 1 - 0 Venados. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Morelia vs Venados?
Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Morelia 2:1 Venados. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Morelia vs Venados?
Morelia scores 1.29 goals per match at Venados 1.93. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Morelia 41%, Venados 64%.
Ano ang current form ng Morelia at Venados?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Morelia ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Venados ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Morelia vs Venados?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.