Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData updated noong July 23, 2026

Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City: match stats

Mtibwa Sugar crest
Mtibwa Sugar
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Mbeya City crest
Mbeya City
165%(1.98)
X25%(2.84)
210%(4.09)

Ang Mtibwa Sugar ay may decidedly better home form na may 67% victories at impressive na +3 goal difference, at hindi pa natatalo sa bahay ngayong season. Ang hosts ay nagpapakita ng solid offensive efficiency (1.33 goals per game) at defensive stability (0.33 conceded goal per game, 67% clean sheets). Ang Mbeya City naman ay nasa fatal form, natalo sa 4 out of last 5 matches at nakakuha lang ng 0.2 points per match recently. Ang guests ay may weak away stats: 67% losses, negative goal difference na -4, at 67% ng games ay walang goal. Ang clear advantage sa expected goals (xG: 1.1 vs 0.89) at possession (54% vs 41%) ay lalong nag-a-argue para sa sure victory ng hosts.

Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City sa Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). Naka-schedule ang match sa 21 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5 sa last five matches at 0.00 points per match. Mbeya City: 2-3-0 at 1.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 at concedes 1.60 goals per match. Mbeya City scores 0.78 at concedes 1.28. League average: 2.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 50%, Mbeya City 31%. Over 2.5: Mtibwa Sugar 53%, Mbeya City 28%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots at playing style

Mtibwa Sugar ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.00 vs 0.99. Mtibwa Sugar averages 3.5 shots per match, habang Mbeya City ay 4.7.

First at second half

Mtibwa Sugar leads at half-time sa 7% ng matches at scores 0.43 goals after the break. Mbeya City: 16% at 0.28.

Goals by minute

Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). Mbeya City: 16-30 (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35% at Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Ang Mtibwa Sugar ay may decidedly better home form na may 67% victories at impressive na +3 goal difference, at hindi pa natatalo sa bahay ngayong season. Ang hosts ay nagpapakita ng solid offensive efficiency (1.33 goals per game) at defensive stability (0.33 conceded goal per game, 67% clean sheets). Ang Mbeya City naman ay nasa fatal form, natalo sa 4 out of last 5 matches at nakakuha lang ng 0.2 points per match recently. Ang guests ay may weak away stats: 67% losses, negative goal difference na -4, at 67% ng games ay walang goal. Ang clear advantage sa expected goals (xG: 1.1 vs 0.89) at possession (54% vs 41%) ay lalong nag-a-argue para sa sure victory ng hosts.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
9Shots11
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
3Shots on target5
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1.18xG1.71
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1Corners8
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
56Dangerous attacks93
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
-1Fouls-1
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
-1Cards-1
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
0.83Goals scored / match0.78
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1.6Goals conceded / match1.28
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
29%Average possession41%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1.2Shots on target / match1.34
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.5Shots per match4.66
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1.2Shots on target1.34
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
23.8%Shot conversion16.8%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
29%Possession41%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1xG for0.99
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1.58xG against1.35
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

Shooting quality

Mtibwa Sugar: Counter-attackingMbeya City: Counter-attacking
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
Accuracy (shots on target)34%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.21
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.690.58

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mtibwa Sugar
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-15
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Mbeya City
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W31% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-14
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-8
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mtibwa Sugar is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.78 goals / match - Mbeya City

Mbeya City is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.28 goals / match - Mbeya City

Scoring profile ng Mtibwa Sugar: mixed

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).

Scoring profile ng Mbeya City: malakas

Mbeya City scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

25Goals scored (season)25
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
48Goals conceded (season)41
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
2.43Average goals in match2.06
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
2Goals scored (last 5)5
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
12Goals conceded (last 5)1
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal50%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
20%2 goals22%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
3%3 goals6%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
3%4 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal66%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
47%2 goals34%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
27%3 goals13%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
7%4 goals9%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time25%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
17%Scored in both halves16%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
40%BTTS - last 520%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time16%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mbeya City is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.03 pts / match - Mbeya City

Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
7% leading47% draw47% trailing
Mbeya City - half-time state
16% leading56% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.03
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.16
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
70%No goal before half-time59%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.28
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
1.17Average goals (2nd half)0.84
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
53%Clean sheet after half-time59%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City
60%No goal after half-time78%
Mtibwa SugarMbeya City

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

23% W33% R43% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding286%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mbeya City - second-half results

19% W44% R38% P
33
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mbeya City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.60.2
1 goal40%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
1
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
3
8
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Mbeya City
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
7
8
16-30
3
11
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
7
61-75
3
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
28%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
184%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Mbeya City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

Mtibwa SugarLigaMbeya City
Average goals in match 2.432.17 2.06
Both teams scored 50%35% 31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%39% 28%
Clean sheets 20%39% 34%
Goal before half-time 73%60% 66%
Goal after half-time 70%63% 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.17
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 0 - 1 Mbeya City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City?

Natapos ang Ligi kuu Bara match sa score na Mtibwa Sugar 2:1 Mbeya City. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City?

Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 goals per match at Mbeya City 0.78. Ang Ligi kuu Bara average ay 2.17 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 39% ng matches. BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 50%, Mbeya City 31%.

Ano ang current form ng Mtibwa Sugar at Mbeya City?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Mtibwa Sugar ay 0-0-5 (0.00 points per match), habang ang Mbeya City ay 2-3-0 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.