Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

Muhanga vs Bugesera: match stats

Muhanga crest
Muhanga
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Bugesera crest
Bugesera

Muhanga vs Bugesera: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Muhanga vs Bugesera sa National Soccer League (Rwanda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 3 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Muhanga: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Bugesera: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Muhanga scores 0.74 at concedes 1.32 goals per match. Bugesera scores 1.00 at concedes 1.15. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Muhanga 35%, Bugesera 41%. Over 2.5: Muhanga 35%, Bugesera 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots at playing style

Muhanga ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 0.99 vs 0.91. Muhanga averages 5.6 shots per match, habang Bugesera ay 5.2.

First at second half

Muhanga leads at half-time sa 26% ng matches at scores 0.26 goals after the break. Bugesera: 15% at 0.59.

Goals by minute

Muhanga: 16-30 (7 goals). Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Bugesera has a clear form advantage: sa last 5 matches guests scored 6 goals and accumulated 9 points (3 wins, 2 losses), samantalang si Muhanga scored only 1 goal and lost all 5 matches, getting 0 points. Sa season Bugesera has 29 goals for vs 28 conceded, habang Muhanga only 18 scored and 39 conceded — so guests are +11 in offense and considerably better in goal difference. Guests create more chances — away average nila is 3.0 shots on target and 6.75 attempts per match vs hosts’ 1.85 on target and 5.85 attempts — and have higher efficiency (conversion 15% vs 14%) at lower share of matches without a goal (33% vs 43%). In terms of quality ng chances xG is similar (Bugesera xG for 1.00 vs Muhanga 0.97), pero guests allow more xG against (1.55 vs 1.19), which suggests a possibility of a low-scoring, tight game. Considering form, advantage in chance creation and higher away clean sheet rate (42% vs 21%), I project a Bugesera win; estimate ko mga 62% chance na guest win, 22% draw, at 16% home win.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
MuhangaBugesera
8Shots4
MuhangaBugesera
1Shots on target0
MuhangaBugesera
1.09xG0.71
MuhangaBugesera
3Corners3
MuhangaBugesera
68Dangerous attacks61
MuhangaBugesera
-1Fouls-1
MuhangaBugesera
-1Cards-1
MuhangaBugesera

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.74Goals scored / match1
MuhangaBugesera
1.32Goals conceded / match1.15
MuhangaBugesera
45%Average possession43%
MuhangaBugesera
1.82Shots on target / match1.85
MuhangaBugesera

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.56Shots per match5.18
MuhangaBugesera
1.82Shots on target1.85
MuhangaBugesera
13.2%Shot conversion19.3%
MuhangaBugesera
45%Possession43%
MuhangaBugesera
0.99xG for0.91
MuhangaBugesera
1.26xG against1.28
MuhangaBugesera

Shooting quality

Muhanga: Counter-attackingBugesera: Counter-attacking
MuhangaBugesera
Accuracy (shots on target)33%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.54

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Muhanga is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Muhanga · 0.8 pts / match - Bugesera

Muhanga
WLDWL
Season result split
26% W18% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-19
0.97 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-8
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bugesera is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

0.74 goals / match - Muhanga · 1 goals / match - Bugesera

Bugesera is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Muhanga · 1.15 goals / match - Bugesera

Scoring profile ng Muhanga: mixed

Muhanga scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

Scoring profile ng Bugesera: malakas

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Muhanga keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

25Goals scored (season)34
MuhangaBugesera
45Goals conceded (season)39
MuhangaBugesera
2.06Average goals in match2.15
MuhangaBugesera
6Goals scored (last 5)5
MuhangaBugesera
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
MuhangaBugesera

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal65%
MuhangaBugesera
21%2 goals29%
MuhangaBugesera
0%3 goals6%
MuhangaBugesera
0%4 goals0%
MuhangaBugesera

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal62%
MuhangaBugesera
41%2 goals38%
MuhangaBugesera
15%3 goals12%
MuhangaBugesera
0%4 goals3%
MuhangaBugesera

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
MuhangaBugesera
9%BTTS in both halves0%
MuhangaBugesera
15%Scored in both halves18%
MuhangaBugesera

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
MuhangaBugesera
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MuhangaBugesera
40%BTTS - last 540%
MuhangaBugesera

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
MuhangaBugesera
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
MuhangaBugesera
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
MuhangaBugesera

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
MuhangaBugesera
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
MuhangaBugesera
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
MuhangaBugesera

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Muhanga is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.15 pts / match - Muhanga · 0.94 pts / match - Bugesera

Muhanga - half-time state
26% leading35% draw38% trailing
Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.15Points per match (1st half)0.94
MuhangaBugesera
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.32
MuhangaBugesera
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
MuhangaBugesera
1.09Average goals (1st half)1
MuhangaBugesera
53%Clean sheet before half-time53%
MuhangaBugesera
59%No goal before half-time71%
MuhangaBugesera

After half-time (2nd half)

0.79Points per match (2nd half)1.47
MuhangaBugesera
0.26Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
MuhangaBugesera
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
MuhangaBugesera
0.97Average goals (2nd half)1.06
MuhangaBugesera
47%Clean sheet after half-time65%
MuhangaBugesera
74%No goal after half-time50%
MuhangaBugesera

Muhanga - second-half results

9% W53% R38% P
39
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Muhanga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Muhanga
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
7
10
16-30
5
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
8
61-75
5
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-52%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Muhanga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MuhangaLigaBugesera
Average goals in match 2.062.12 2.15
Both teams scored 35%46% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%38% 47%
Clean sheets 24%34% 38%
Goal before half-time 71%61% 59%
Goal after half-time 62%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Muhanga 1 - 0 - 0 Bugesera. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Bugesera
0 : 1
Muhanga

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Muhanga vs Bugesera?

Natapos ang National Soccer League match sa score na Muhanga 1:0 Bugesera. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Muhanga vs Bugesera?

Muhanga scores 0.74 goals per match at Bugesera 1.00. Ang National Soccer League average ay 2.12 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 38% ng matches. BTTS: Muhanga 35%, Bugesera 41%.

Ano ang current form ng Muhanga at Bugesera?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Muhanga ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Bugesera ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Muhanga vs Bugesera?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.