Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

Mukura vs Bugesera: match stats

Mukura crest
Mukura
2 : 2half-time 0:1
Bugesera crest
Bugesera

Mukura vs Bugesera: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Mukura vs Bugesera sa National Soccer League (Rwanda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 16 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Mukura: 1-3-1 sa last five matches at 1.20 points per match. Bugesera: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Mukura scores 1.06 at concedes 1.12 goals per match. Bugesera scores 1.00 at concedes 1.15. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mukura 56%, Bugesera 41%. Over 2.5: Mukura 38%, Bugesera 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots at playing style

Mukura ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.09 vs 0.91. Mukura averages 5.7 shots per match, habang Bugesera ay 5.2.

First at second half

Mukura leads at half-time sa 24% ng matches at scores 0.68 goals after the break. Bugesera: 15% at 0.59.

Goals by minute

Mukura: 61-75 (11 goals). Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Mukura has home advantage: average na nagsho-shoot sila ng 1.13 goals at nagpapahinga ng 0.87 goals per home match, positive goal difference na +4 at nananalo ng 53% ng home games. Bugesera mas mahina away — only 0.71 goals per match at 1.21 conceded, -7 goal difference at just 21% away wins. Recent form (last 5) pabor kay Mukura: hosts scored 4 goals at 1.4 points per match sa period na iyon, habang Bugesera may 2 goals at 0.6 points at nakatanggap ng 10 goals. Quality ng chances pabor kay Mukura — average xG home 1.08 vs away xG ng visitors 0.92; sabay na nagbibigay si Bugesera ng 1.5 xG to opponents on the road. Mukura shoots 7.08 shots with 18% conversion vs guests 6 shots at 15% conversion. Considering better defence (47% clean sheets for Mukura vs 36% for Bugesera), lower away efficiency ng visitors at poorer form, forecast ko win para kay Mukura with probabilities around 68% home, 18% draw, 14% away win.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
MukuraBugesera
11Shots3
MukuraBugesera
5Shots on target2
MukuraBugesera
1.39xG0.6
MukuraBugesera
5Corners3
MukuraBugesera
47Dangerous attacks36
MukuraBugesera
13Fouls15
MukuraBugesera
0Cards0
MukuraBugesera

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.06Goals scored / match1
MukuraBugesera
1.12Goals conceded / match1.15
MukuraBugesera
40%Average possession43%
MukuraBugesera
1.76Shots on target / match1.85
MukuraBugesera

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.74Shots per match5.18
MukuraBugesera
1.76Shots on target1.85
MukuraBugesera
18.5%Shot conversion19.3%
MukuraBugesera
40%Possession43%
MukuraBugesera
1.09xG for0.91
MukuraBugesera
1.06xG against1.28
MukuraBugesera

Shooting quality

Mukura: Counter-attackingBugesera: Counter-attacking
MukuraBugesera
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.600.54

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mukura is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Mukura · 0.8 pts / match - Bugesera

Mukura
DWDLD
Season result split
35% W32% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-11-11
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-4
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LDWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mukura is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Mukura · 1 goals / match - Bugesera

Scoring profile ng Mukura: malakas

Mukura scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

Scoring profile ng Bugesera: malakas

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).

36Goals scored (season)34
MukuraBugesera
38Goals conceded (season)39
MukuraBugesera
2.18Average goals in match2.15
MukuraBugesera
6Goals scored (last 5)5
MukuraBugesera
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
MukuraBugesera

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal65%
MukuraBugesera
24%2 goals29%
MukuraBugesera
3%3 goals6%
MukuraBugesera
0%4 goals0%
MukuraBugesera

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal62%
MukuraBugesera
32%2 goals38%
MukuraBugesera
12%3 goals12%
MukuraBugesera
0%4 goals3%
MukuraBugesera

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time18%
MukuraBugesera
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MukuraBugesera
12%Scored in both halves18%
MukuraBugesera

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
MukuraBugesera
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MukuraBugesera
60%BTTS - last 540%
MukuraBugesera

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
MukuraBugesera
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
MukuraBugesera
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
MukuraBugesera

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
MukuraBugesera
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
MukuraBugesera
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
MukuraBugesera

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mukura is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.15 pts / match - Mukura · 0.94 pts / match - Bugesera

Mukura - half-time state
24% leading44% draw32% trailing
Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.15Points per match (1st half)0.94
MukuraBugesera
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.32
MukuraBugesera
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
MukuraBugesera
0.88Average goals (1st half)1
MukuraBugesera
59%Clean sheet before half-time53%
MukuraBugesera
68%No goal before half-time71%
MukuraBugesera

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)1.47
MukuraBugesera
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
MukuraBugesera
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
MukuraBugesera
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.06
MukuraBugesera
56%Clean sheet after half-time65%
MukuraBugesera
41%No goal after half-time50%
MukuraBugesera

Mukura - second-half results

32% W47% R21% P
39
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mukura - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mukura
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
6
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
6
4
46-60
11
9
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mukura

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MukuraLigaBugesera
Average goals in match 2.182.12 2.15
Both teams scored 56%46% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%38% 47%
Clean sheets 32%34% 38%
Goal before half-time 62%61% 59%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mukura 1 - 0 - 0 Bugesera. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Mukura vs Bugesera?

Natapos ang National Soccer League match sa score na Mukura 2:2 Bugesera. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Mukura vs Bugesera?

Mukura scores 1.06 goals per match at Bugesera 1.00. Ang National Soccer League average ay 2.12 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 38% ng matches. BTTS: Mukura 56%, Bugesera 41%.

Ano ang current form ng Mukura at Bugesera?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Mukura ay 1-3-1 (1.20 points per match), habang ang Bugesera ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Mukura vs Bugesera?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.