Nacional vs Cerro Largo: match stats
Nacional may home advantage, na sinuportahan ng +1 goal difference sa kanilang home matches at solid na expected goals indicator (xG 1.45 vs xGA 1.2). Nanalo ang home team sa 33% ng kanilang home games, at nag-keep ng clean sheet sa isang third ng mga laro, na nagpapakita ng stable na defense. Cerro Largo may struggles sa away games – natatalo sila sa kalahati ng kanilang away matches, walang naitalang draw, at mas mahina ang kanilang defense (xGA 1.76). Parehas ang form ng both teams sa huling 5 matches (PPG 1.2), pero mas maganda ang shooting efficiency ng Nacional sa home matches (8% shot conversion vs 10% ng visitors, pero with significantly higher ball possession na 60%). Isinasaalang-alang ang home advantage sa ball possession, better xG balance, at weaker away defense ng Cerro Largo, ine-expect ko ang victory ng Nacional, kahit na close ang laban kaya ang draw ay realistic scenario din.
Nacional vs Cerro Largo: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Nacional vs Cerro Largo sa Primera División (Uruguay). Naka-schedule ang match sa 25 March 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Nacional: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Cerro Largo: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Nacional scores 1.52 at concedes 1.33 goals per match. Cerro Largo scores 1.10 at concedes 1.05. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional 57%, Cerro Largo 35%. Over 2.5: Nacional 67%, Cerro Largo 35%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots at playing style
Nacional ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.50 vs 1.24. Nacional averages 11.9 shots per match, habang Cerro Largo ay 9.8.
First at second half
Nacional leads at half-time sa 24% ng matches at scores 0.86 goals after the break. Cerro Largo: 25% at 0.75.
Goals by minute
Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 2-0-0. Average goals: 3.50, BTTS: 50%.
Match description
Nacional may home advantage, na sinuportahan ng +1 goal difference sa kanilang home matches at solid na expected goals indicator (xG 1.45 vs xGA 1.2). Nanalo ang home team sa 33% ng kanilang home games, at nag-keep ng clean sheet sa isang third ng mga laro, na nagpapakita ng stable na defense. Cerro Largo may struggles sa away games – natatalo sila sa kalahati ng kanilang away matches, walang naitalang draw, at mas mahina ang kanilang defense (xGA 1.76). Parehas ang form ng both teams sa huling 5 matches (PPG 1.2), pero mas maganda ang shooting efficiency ng Nacional sa home matches (8% shot conversion vs 10% ng visitors, pero with significantly higher ball possession na 60%). Isinasaalang-alang ang home advantage sa ball possession, better xG balance, at weaker away defense ng Cerro Largo, ine-expect ko ang victory ng Nacional, kahit na close ang laban kaya ang draw ay realistic scenario din.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Largo is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Nacional · 1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Nacional · 1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo
Nacional scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nacional
Over / Under — Cerro Largo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Nacional
Cerro Largo
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Nacional | Liga | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nacional 2 - 0 - 0 Cerro Largo. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Nacional vs Cerro Largo?
Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Nacional 3:0 Cerro Largo. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Nacional at Cerro Largo?
Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Nacional ng 2, ang Cerro Largo ng 0, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 3.50; BTTS: 50%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Nacional vs Cerro Largo?
Nacional scores 1.52 goals per match at Cerro Largo 1.10. Ang Primera División average ay 2.41 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: Nacional 57%, Cerro Largo 35%.
Ano ang current form ng Nacional at Cerro Largo?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Nacional ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Cerro Largo ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Nacional vs Cerro Largo?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.