Nairobi United vs Tusker: match stats
Nairobi United vs Tusker: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Nairobi United vs Tusker sa Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). Naka-schedule ang match sa 17 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nairobi United: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Tusker: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.
Goal statistics
Nairobi United scores 1.34 at concedes 1.00 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.83 at concedes 0.93. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nairobi United 48%, Tusker 34%. Over 2.5: Nairobi United 34%, Tusker 28%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots at playing style
Nairobi United ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.51 vs 1.42. Nairobi United averages 9.4 shots per match, habang Tusker ay 10.9.
First at second half
Nairobi United leads at half-time sa 14% ng matches at scores 0.21 goals after the break. Tusker: 14% at 0.21.
Goals by minute
Nairobi United: 0-15 (27 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (14 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43% at Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Nairobi United ang slight favorite: hosts scored 14 goals sa last 5 matches (avg 2.8 per match), habang Tusker only 5 goals sa same period (1.0 per match); Nairobi recorded 3 wins, 1 draw at 1 loss (avg 2.0 points per match), and the visitors 3 wins at 2 losses (avg 1.8 points). Chance creation favors Nairobi: hosts have home xG 1.56 vs guests' away xG 1.25, nagpo-produce sila ng avg 10.77 shots per match at 4.15 shots on target with 14% conversion, samantalang Tusker records 9 shots, 3.57 SoT at 10% conversion. Defensively advantage is with the visitors — Tusker concedes 0.86 goals away on average at 36% clean sheets on the road, habang Nairobi concedes 1.36 goals at home at only 14% clean sheets; xG against difference is 1.26 (Tusker) vs 1.52 (Nairobi), which confirms better defensive resilience ng visitors. Plus, Nairobi less likely to be shut out (21% home matches without scoring vs 29% for Tusker away), so higher scoring confidence, pero solid defense ng Tusker limits the margin. Considering hosts' edge in efficiency and chance creation at the same time na may solid defensive profile ng visitors, my pick is Nairobi United to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nairobi United is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nairobi United · 0.8 pts / match - Tusker
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nairobi United is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Nairobi United · 0.83 goals / match - Tusker
Tusker is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nairobi United · 0.93 goals / match - Tusker
Nairobi United scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
Tusker scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nairobi United
Over / Under — Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nairobi United is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Nairobi United · 1.1 pts / match - Tusker
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Nairobi United
Tusker
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.34 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 43% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 34% | 33% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 28% | 21% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 24% | 22% | • 21% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nairobi United 1 - 0 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Nairobi United vs Tusker?
Natapos ang Kenyan Premier League match sa score na Nairobi United 1:0 Tusker. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Nairobi United vs Tusker?
Nairobi United scores 1.34 goals per match at Tusker 0.83. Ang Kenyan Premier League average ay 2.01 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 33% ng matches. BTTS: Nairobi United 48%, Tusker 34%.
Ano ang current form ng Nairobi United at Tusker?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Nairobi United ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Tusker ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Nairobi United vs Tusker?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.