NEC vs Lugazi Municipal: match stats
Ang NEC ay nagpapakita ng mas magandang home form na may 75% ng matches na nagtapos sa draw at isang talo lang sa sariling stadium. Ang hosts ay may positive goal difference (+1) sa home games, habang ang Lugazi Municipal ay may disastrous away record (-10) at hindi pa nananalo sa away ngayong season. Ang visitors ay nagko-concede ng average na 2.2 goals per away match at hindi nakaka-score sa 80% ng games, na nagpapakita ng malaking offensive problems dahil sa average na 0.2 goals per away match. Ang NEC ay lamang sa possession (53% vs 46%), mas magandang shot efficiency, at mas mataas na xG (1.63 vs 1.32). Ang form ng parehong teams sa last five matches ay pabor din sa hosts, na nakakuha ng 6 points kumpara sa 2 points lang ng visitors. Lahat ng statistical indicators ay nagtuturo sa clear advantage ng NEC, kaya ang home win ang most likely scenario.
NEC vs Lugazi Municipal: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
NEC vs Lugazi Municipal sa Uganda Premier League (Uganda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 7 January 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
NEC: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Lugazi Municipal: 1-2-2 at 1.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
NEC scores 0.97 at concedes 0.76 goals per match. Lugazi Municipal scores 0.63 at concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NEC 38%, Lugazi Municipal 30%. Over 2.5: NEC 21%, Lugazi Municipal 37%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots at playing style
NEC ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.44 vs 1.28. NEC averages 8.7 shots per match, habang Lugazi Municipal ay 8.2.
First at second half
NEC leads at half-time sa 28% ng matches at scores 0.62 goals after the break. Lugazi Municipal: 20% at 0.30.
Goals by minute
NEC: 61-75 (7 goals). Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (9 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38% at Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Ang NEC ay nagpapakita ng mas magandang home form na may 75% ng matches na nagtapos sa draw at isang talo lang sa sariling stadium. Ang hosts ay may positive goal difference (+1) sa home games, habang ang Lugazi Municipal ay may disastrous away record (-10) at hindi pa nananalo sa away ngayong season. Ang visitors ay nagko-concede ng average na 2.2 goals per away match at hindi nakaka-score sa 80% ng games, na nagpapakita ng malaking offensive problems dahil sa average na 0.2 goals per away match. Ang NEC ay lamang sa possession (53% vs 46%), mas magandang shot efficiency, at mas mataas na xG (1.63 vs 1.32). Ang form ng parehong teams sa last five matches ay pabor din sa hosts, na nakakuha ng 6 points kumpara sa 2 points lang ng visitors. Lahat ng statistical indicators ay nagtuturo sa clear advantage ng NEC, kaya ang home win ang most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - NEC · 1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - NEC · 0.63 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal
NEC is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - NEC · 1.2 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal
NEC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Lugazi Municipal scores in 37% of matches (11 of 30 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — NEC
Over / Under — Lugazi Municipal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - NEC · 1.1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
NEC
Lugazi Municipal
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.72 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 38% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 35% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: NEC 1 - 0 - 0 Lugazi Municipal. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng NEC vs Lugazi Municipal?
Natapos ang Uganda Premier League match sa score na NEC 1:0 Lugazi Municipal. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang NEC vs Lugazi Municipal?
NEC scores 0.97 goals per match at Lugazi Municipal 0.63. Ang Uganda Premier League average ay 2.09 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 35% ng matches. BTTS: NEC 38%, Lugazi Municipal 30%.
Ano ang current form ng NEC at Lugazi Municipal?
Sa last 5 matches, ang NEC ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Lugazi Municipal ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng NEC vs Lugazi Municipal?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.