Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData updated noong July 23, 2026

NEC vs Mbarara City: match stats

NEC crest
NEC
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Mbarara City crest
Mbarara City

NEC vs Mbarara City: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

NEC vs Mbarara City sa Uganda Premier League (Uganda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 24 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

NEC: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Mbarara City: 3-0-2 at 1.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

NEC scores 0.97 at concedes 0.76 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 0.87 at concedes 1.57. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NEC 38%, Mbarara City 57%. Over 2.5: NEC 21%, Mbarara City 40%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots at playing style

NEC ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.44 vs 1.31. NEC averages 8.7 shots per match, habang Mbarara City ay 8.2.

First at second half

NEC leads at half-time sa 28% ng matches at scores 0.62 goals after the break. Mbarara City: 13% at 0.47.

Goals by minute

NEC: 61-75 (7 goals). Mbarara City: 61-75 (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38% at Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Ina-forecast ko na panalo ang home team (NEC) dahil nasa 6th place sila kumpara sa 14th place ng Mbarara at may clear advantage sa key stats. Defensive record ng NEC sa home solid — nagco-concede lang ng 0.67 goals per match at may clean sheet sa 58% ng games, habang ang Mbarara in away fixtures concedes 2.08 goals per match at may only 8% clean sheets; nag-leak ang visitors ng 8 goals sa last 5 matches, habang ang NEC hindi nakatanggap ng goal sa kanilang last 5. Offensively, NEC averages 1.17 goals per home game with xG 1.58, 3.75 shots on target at 11% conversion, samantalang Mbarara has 0.83 goals away, xG 1.31, 3.0 shots on target at 8% conversion — nagbibigay ito ng higher efficiency sa chance creation para sa hosts. Form supports the edge: NEC averages 2.2 points sa last 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), habang Mbarara wala pang win sa five and averages 0.4 points, kaya nire-rate ko ang chances mga 75% para sa NEC, 15% draw at 10% for the visitors.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
NECMbarara City
1Shots0
NECMbarara City
1Shots on target0
NECMbarara City
0.65xG0.32
NECMbarara City
8Corners1
NECMbarara City
68Dangerous attacks42
NECMbarara City
-1Fouls-1
NECMbarara City
-1Cards-1
NECMbarara City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.97Goals scored / match0.87
NECMbarara City
0.76Goals conceded / match1.57
NECMbarara City
47%Average possession43%
NECMbarara City
3.07Shots on target / match2.67
NECMbarara City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.69Shots per match8.23
NECMbarara City
3.07Shots on target2.67
NECMbarara City
11.1%Shot conversion10.5%
NECMbarara City
47%Possession43%
NECMbarara City
1.44xG for1.31
NECMbarara City
1.43xG against1.58
NECMbarara City

Shooting quality

NEC: BalancedMbarara City: Balanced
NECMbarara City
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NEC
WWWLL
Season result split
45% W34% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-6
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Mbarara City
WWLWL
Season result split
20% W27% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-16
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NEC is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - NEC · 0.87 goals / match - Mbarara City

NEC is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.76 goals / match - NEC · 1.57 goals / match - Mbarara City

Scoring profile ng NEC: napakalakas

NEC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Mbarara City: mixed

Mbarara City scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).

28Goals scored (season)26
NECMbarara City
22Goals conceded (season)47
NECMbarara City
1.72Average goals in match2.43
NECMbarara City
4Goals scored (last 5)7
NECMbarara City
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
NECMbarara City

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal70%
NECMbarara City
14%2 goals17%
NECMbarara City
3%3 goals0%
NECMbarara City
0%4 goals0%
NECMbarara City

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal80%
NECMbarara City
21%2 goals40%
NECMbarara City
7%3 goals20%
NECMbarara City
3%4 goals10%
NECMbarara City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

3%BTTS at half-time17%
NECMbarara City
0%BTTS in both halves3%
NECMbarara City
7%Scored in both halves10%
NECMbarara City

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
NECMbarara City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NECMbarara City
20%BTTS - last 560%
NECMbarara City

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

45%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
NECMbarara City
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
NECMbarara City
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
NECMbarara City

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
NECMbarara City
28%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
NECMbarara City
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
NECMbarara City

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NEC is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / match - NEC · 0.93 pts / match - Mbarara City

NEC - half-time state
28% leading59% draw14% trailing
Mbarara City - half-time state
13% leading53% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per match (1st half)0.93
NECMbarara City
0.34Goals scored (1st half)0.37
NECMbarara City
0.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
NECMbarara City
0.59Average goals (1st half)1.07
NECMbarara City
83%Clean sheet before half-time53%
NECMbarara City
69%No goal before half-time70%
NECMbarara City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)0.97
NECMbarara City
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
NECMbarara City
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
NECMbarara City
1.1Average goals (2nd half)1.3
NECMbarara City
66%Clean sheet after half-time43%
NECMbarara City
45%No goal after half-time53%
NECMbarara City

NEC - second-half results

38% W41% R21% P
41
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mbarara City - second-half results

20% W37% R43% P
28
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

NEC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mbarara City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NEC
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
5
5
46-60
7
2
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Mbarara City
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
10
46-60
6
6
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-52%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Mbarara City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

NECLigaMbarara City
Average goals in match 1.722.09 2.43
Both teams scored 38%38% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%35% 40%
Clean sheets 55%39% 20%
Goal before half-time 45%59% 60%
Goal after half-time 69%62% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: NEC 1 - 0 - 0 Mbarara City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mbarara City
0 : 1
NEC

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng NEC vs Mbarara City?

Natapos ang Uganda Premier League match sa score na NEC 1:0 Mbarara City. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang NEC vs Mbarara City?

NEC scores 0.97 goals per match at Mbarara City 0.87. Ang Uganda Premier League average ay 2.09 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 35% ng matches. BTTS: NEC 38%, Mbarara City 57%.

Ano ang current form ng NEC at Mbarara City?

Sa last 5 matches, ang NEC ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Mbarara City ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng NEC vs Mbarara City?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.