Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıData updated noong July 23, 2026

Neftçi vs Qarabağ: match stats

Neftçi crest
Neftçi
1 : 5half-time 1:3
Qarabağ crest
Qarabağ

Neftçi vs Qarabağ: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Neftçi vs Qarabağ sa Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). Naka-schedule ang match sa 26 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:5.

Current form

Neftçi: 5-0-0 sa last five matches at 3.00 points per match. Qarabağ: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.

Goal statistics

Neftçi scores 1.73 at concedes 0.97 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 2.15 at concedes 0.82. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Neftçi 48%, Qarabağ 45%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 55%, Qarabağ 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots at playing style

Qarabağ ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.97 vs 1.66. Neftçi averages 12.8 shots per match, habang Qarabağ ay 15.5.

First at second half

Neftçi leads at half-time sa 30% ng matches at scores 1.06 goals after the break. Qarabağ: 42% at 1.27.

Goals by minute

Neftçi: 76-90+ (14 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (20 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-1. Average goals: 2.50, BTTS: 50%.

Match description

Sa season-long metrics, mas malakas si Qarabağ: 17 wins at 55 goals kumpara sa 11 wins at 45 goals ni Neftçi, mas maganda ang goal difference 55–19 vs 45–25 at higher away xG (2.00 vs 1.82). Pero ang recent form malinaw na pumapabor sa home team — Neftçi sa last 5 matches may 15 goals (avg 3.0 per game), naka-run ng 4 wins and a draw at avg 2.6 points per game sa period na 'to, habang si Qarabağ may 10 goals at avg 1.0 point per game. Quality ng chances bahagyang pabor sa guests: Qarabağ naglilista ng 15.92 shots at 5.83 on target per match with 64% possession, vs 14.15 shots, 5.54 on target at 59% para kay Neftçi. Defensively mas stable ang guests away (0.83 goals conceded per game vs 0.92 ng home) at mas rarely kept clean sheetless (17% matches without a goal for Qarabağ vs 38% for Neftçi). Considering Neftçi’s high form vs Qarabağ’s season advantage, tipu ko minimal na pabor sa home team.

Half-by-half

1 : 3
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
NeftçiQarabağ
12Shots13
NeftçiQarabağ
5Shots on target8
NeftçiQarabağ
1.48xG1.78
NeftçiQarabağ
4Corners3
NeftçiQarabağ
52Dangerous attacks54
NeftçiQarabağ
18Fouls14
NeftçiQarabağ
2Cards2
NeftçiQarabağ

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.73Goals scored / match2.15
NeftçiQarabağ
0.97Goals conceded / match0.82
NeftçiQarabağ
54%Average possession65%
NeftçiQarabağ
5.36Shots on target / match5.94
NeftçiQarabağ

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.79Shots per match15.48
NeftçiQarabağ
5.36Shots on target5.94
NeftçiQarabağ
13.5%Shot conversion13.9%
NeftçiQarabağ
54%Possession65%
NeftçiQarabağ
1.66xG for1.97
NeftçiQarabağ
1.16xG against1.01
NeftçiQarabağ

Shooting quality

Neftçi: Efficient finishingQarabağ: Dominant
NeftçiQarabağ
Accuracy (shots on target)42%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Neftçi is 50% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Neftçi · 2 pts / match - Qarabağ

Neftçi
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
48% W33% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-11-6
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-4
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Qarabağ
LWDWW
Season result split
64% W18% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-6-6
2.09 pts / match · goal difference +44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-3-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qarabağ is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

1.73 goals / match - Neftçi · 2.15 goals / match - Qarabağ

Qarabağ is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.97 goals / match - Neftçi · 0.82 goals / match - Qarabağ

Scoring profile ng Neftçi: malakas

Neftçi scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

Scoring profile ng Qarabağ: malakas

Qarabağ scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).

57Goals scored (season)71
NeftçiQarabağ
32Goals conceded (season)27
NeftçiQarabağ
2.7Average goals in match2.97
NeftçiQarabağ
11Goals scored (last 5)11
NeftçiQarabağ
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
NeftçiQarabağ

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal82%
NeftçiQarabağ
58%2 goals58%
NeftçiQarabağ
24%3 goals30%
NeftçiQarabağ
9%4 goals21%
NeftçiQarabağ

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal58%
NeftçiQarabağ
24%2 goals18%
NeftçiQarabağ
6%3 goals6%
NeftçiQarabağ
3%4 goals0%
NeftçiQarabağ

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time15%
NeftçiQarabağ
6%BTTS in both halves3%
NeftçiQarabağ
36%Scored in both halves36%
NeftçiQarabağ

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
NeftçiQarabağ
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
NeftçiQarabağ
40%BTTS - last 580%
NeftçiQarabağ

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
NeftçiQarabağ
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
NeftçiQarabağ
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
NeftçiQarabağ

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
NeftçiQarabağ
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
NeftçiQarabağ
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
NeftçiQarabağ

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qarabağ is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.48 pts / match - Neftçi · 1.67 pts / match - Qarabağ

Neftçi - half-time state
30% leading58% draw12% trailing
Qarabağ - half-time state
42% leading39% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per match (1st half)1.67
NeftçiQarabağ
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.88
NeftçiQarabağ
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
NeftçiQarabağ
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.21
NeftçiQarabağ
70%Clean sheet before half-time67%
NeftçiQarabağ
52%No goal before half-time48%
NeftçiQarabağ

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)2.03
NeftçiQarabağ
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)1.27
NeftçiQarabağ
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
NeftçiQarabağ
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.76
NeftçiQarabağ
58%Clean sheet after half-time67%
NeftçiQarabağ
39%No goal after half-time33%
NeftçiQarabağ

Neftçi - second-half results

42% W39% R18% P
49
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qarabağ - second-half results

61% W21% R18% P
55
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
67
Second-half points
+26
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Neftçi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.803.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+2+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match0.63.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
7
3
16-30
8
5
31-45
13
5
46-60
8
4
61-75
14
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
8
2
16-30
14
6
31-45
10
7
46-60
12
2
61-75
20
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.96
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

NeftçiLigaQarabağ
Average goals in match 2.702.58 2.97
Both teams scored 48%46% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%48% 48%
Clean sheets 39%31% 42%
Goal before half-time 58%65% 70%
Goal after half-time 73%74% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Neftçi 1 - 0 - 1 Qarabağ. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% mga match.

Neftçi PFC Bakı
2 : 1
Qarabağ Ağdam FK
Qarabağ Ağdam FK
2 : 0
Neftçi PFC Bakı

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Neftçi vs Qarabağ?

Natapos ang Premyer Liqası match sa score na Neftçi 1:5 Qarabağ. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Neftçi at Qarabağ?

Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Neftçi ng 1, ang Qarabağ ng 1, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 2.50; BTTS: 50%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Neftçi vs Qarabağ?

Neftçi scores 1.73 goals per match at Qarabağ 2.15. Ang Premyer Liqası average ay 2.58 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Neftçi 48%, Qarabağ 45%.

Ano ang current form ng Neftçi at Qarabağ?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Neftçi ay 5-0-0 (3.00 points per match), habang ang Qarabağ ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Neftçi vs Qarabağ?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.