Nigeria - NPFLData updated noong July 23, 2026

Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United: match stats

Niger Tornadoes crest
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 2half-time 1:1
Kwara United crest
Kwara United

Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United sa NPFL (Nigeria). Naka-schedule ang match sa 3 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Niger Tornadoes: 1-3-1 sa last five matches at 1.20 points per match. Kwara United: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.

Goal statistics

Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 at concedes 0.95 goals per match. Kwara United scores 0.92 at concedes 0.95. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 26%, Kwara United 34%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 32%, Kwara United 29%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots at playing style

Niger Tornadoes ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.52 vs 0.99. Niger Tornadoes averages 8.9 shots per match, habang Kwara United ay 3.6.

First at second half

Niger Tornadoes leads at half-time sa 26% ng matches at scores 0.61 goals after the break. Kwara United: 29% at 0.34.

Goals by minute

Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (13 goals). Kwara United: 31-45+ (10 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38% at Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Niger Tornadoes ang favorites dahil sa strong home metrics: sa home matches nag-aaverage sila ng 1.59 goals scored at only 0.41 goals conceded per game, xG 1.90 vs opponents' xG 1.34 at 76% clean sheets. Clear ang advantage nila sa quality of chances — average 5.2 shots on target at 15 total shots per home game with 11% conversion, kontra kay Kwara United na 2.27 on target at 6.36 total shots at 6% conversion on the road. Guests may have better form sa last 5 (3W,1D,1L, avg 2 points/game) pero away they score only 0.47 goals at and concede 1.29 per match. Plus, Kwara fails to score in 65% of away matches habang hosts keep clean sheets in 76% of home games, which heavily reduces guests’ chances. Considering xG edge (1.90 vs 0.88), shot volume and low goals conceded by the hosts, I'm predicting a Niger Tornadoes win; probability estimate: home 72%, draw 18%, away 10%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Niger TornadoesKwara United
18Shots3
Niger TornadoesKwara United
5Shots on target1
Niger TornadoesKwara United
2.21xG0.5
Niger TornadoesKwara United
4Corners2
Niger TornadoesKwara United
100Dangerous attacks31
Niger TornadoesKwara United
-1Fouls-1
Niger TornadoesKwara United
0Cards2
Niger TornadoesKwara United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Niger TornadoesKwara United
0.97Goals scored / match0.92
Niger TornadoesKwara United
0.95Goals conceded / match0.95
Niger TornadoesKwara United
39%Average possession25%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
2.74Shots on target / match0.92
Niger TornadoesKwara United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.89Shots per match3.61
Niger TornadoesKwara United
2.74Shots on target0.92
Niger TornadoesKwara United
10.9%Shot conversion25.5%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
39%Possession25%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
1.52xG for0.99
Niger TornadoesKwara United
1.52xG against1.4
Niger TornadoesKwara United

Shooting quality

Niger Tornadoes: BalancedKwara United: Counter-attacking
Niger TornadoesKwara United
Accuracy (shots on target)31%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.27
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.351.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kwara United is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.6 pts / match - Kwara United

Niger Tornadoes
DLDDW
Season result split
34% W24% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-9-16
1.26 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-6-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Kwara United
DWDWL
Season result split
34% W29% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-11-14
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-6-12
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.49Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Niger Tornadoes is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.92 goals / match - Kwara United

Scoring profile ng Niger Tornadoes: mixed

Niger Tornadoes scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).

Scoring profile ng Kwara United: mixed

Kwara United scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).

37Goals scored (season)35
Niger TornadoesKwara United
36Goals conceded (season)36
Niger TornadoesKwara United
1.92Average goals in match1.87
Niger TornadoesKwara United
3Goals scored (last 5)6
Niger TornadoesKwara United
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Niger TornadoesKwara United

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal55%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
26%2 goals32%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
8%3 goals5%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
5%4 goals0%
Niger TornadoesKwara United

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal63%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
34%2 goals18%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
5%3 goals11%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
0%4 goals3%
Niger TornadoesKwara United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time18%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
3%BTTS in both halves5%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
16%Scored in both halves21%
Niger TornadoesKwara United

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
20%BTTS - last 540%
Niger TornadoesKwara United

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Niger TornadoesKwara United

2nd half

66%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Niger TornadoesKwara United

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kwara United is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.37 pts / match - Kwara United

Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing
Kwara United - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.37
Niger TornadoesKwara United
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Niger TornadoesKwara United
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Niger TornadoesKwara United
0.92Average goals (1st half)1
Niger TornadoesKwara United
63%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
68%No goal before half-time53%
Niger TornadoesKwara United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Niger TornadoesKwara United
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.34
Niger TornadoesKwara United
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
Niger TornadoesKwara United
1Average goals (2nd half)0.87
Niger TornadoesKwara United
63%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Niger TornadoesKwara United
58%No goal after half-time71%
Niger TornadoesKwara United

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

29% W45% R26% P
46
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kwara United - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
52
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Kwara United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+4-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
4
5
16-30
4
9
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
5
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
6
9
16-30
10
5
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

1.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Niger TornadoesLigaKwara United
Average goals in match 1.922.02 1.87
Both teams scored 26%38% 34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%34% 29%
Clean sheets 45%37% 37%
Goal before half-time 63%61% 66%
Goal after half-time 66%64% 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Niger Tornadoes 0 - 0 - 1 Kwara United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United?

Natapos ang NPFL match sa score na Niger Tornadoes 2:2 Kwara United. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United?

Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 goals per match at Kwara United 0.92. Ang NPFL average ay 2.02 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 34% ng matches. BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 26%, Kwara United 34%.

Ano ang current form ng Niger Tornadoes at Kwara United?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Niger Tornadoes ay 1-3-1 (1.20 points per match), habang ang Kwara United ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.