Notts County vs Swindon Town: match stats
Solid ang home form ng Notts County na may 54% wins at impressive +10 goal difference sa sariling stadium. Uma-average ang hosts ng 1.77 goals per home match at bihira lang (15%) hindi maka-score, proof ng effective offense. Ang Swindon Town, kahit parehas ang away win percentage (54%), ay nasa mas mahinang form ngayon na may tatlong talo sa last 5 matches. Key factor ang possession advantage ng Notts County (58% vs 54%) at mas matibay na home defense (average 1 goal conceded vs 1.23 ng guests). Dahil sa home advantage, better current form, at xG stats na pabor sa hosts, inaasahan ko ang panalo ng Notts County, pero hindi ganun kalaki ang gap para i-rule out ang draw o surprise mula sa guests.
Notts County vs Swindon Town: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Notts County vs Swindon Town sa EFL League Two (England). Naka-schedule ang match sa 27 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Notts County: 3-2-0 sa last five matches at 2.20 points per match. Swindon Town: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.
Goal statistics
Notts County scores 1.59 at concedes 1.06 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.52 at concedes 1.28. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Notts County 53%, Swindon Town 59%. Over 2.5: Notts County 55%, Swindon Town 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots at playing style
Swindon Town ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.35 vs 1.34. Notts County averages 11.0 shots per match, habang Swindon Town ay 11.7.
First at second half
Notts County leads at half-time sa 33% ng matches at scores 0.88 goals after the break. Swindon Town: 26% at 0.83.
Goals by minute
Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). Swindon Town: 76-90+ (19 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Solid ang home form ng Notts County na may 54% wins at impressive +10 goal difference sa sariling stadium. Uma-average ang hosts ng 1.77 goals per home match at bihira lang (15%) hindi maka-score, proof ng effective offense. Ang Swindon Town, kahit parehas ang away win percentage (54%), ay nasa mas mahinang form ngayon na may tatlong talo sa last 5 matches. Key factor ang possession advantage ng Notts County (58% vs 54%) at mas matibay na home defense (average 1 goal conceded vs 1.23 ng guests). Dahil sa home advantage, better current form, at xG stats na pabor sa hosts, inaasahan ko ang panalo ng Notts County, pero hindi ganun kalaki ang gap para i-rule out ang draw o surprise mula sa guests.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Notts County | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Notts County · 0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Notts County · 1.52 goals / match - Swindon Town
Notts County is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Notts County · 1.28 goals / match - Swindon Town
Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Notts County
Over / Under — Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Notts County is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.49 pts / match - Notts County · 1.28 pts / match - Swindon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Notts County
Swindon Town
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Notts County | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Notts County 0 - 1 - 0 Swindon Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Notts County vs Swindon Town?
Natapos ang EFL League Two match sa score na Notts County 2:1 Swindon Town. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Notts County vs Swindon Town?
Notts County scores 1.59 goals per match at Swindon Town 1.52. Ang EFL League Two average ay 2.57 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Notts County 53%, Swindon Town 59%.
Ano ang current form ng Notts County at Swindon Town?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Notts County ay 3-2-0 (2.20 points per match), habang ang Swindon Town ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Notts County vs Swindon Town?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.