Once Caldas vs Atlético Nacional: match stats
Once Caldas vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Once Caldas vs Atlético Nacional sa Categoria Primera A (Colombia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 2 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Once Caldas: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1 at 2.40 points per match.
Goal statistics
Once Caldas scores 1.57 at concedes 1.19 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 at concedes 0.84. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Once Caldas 76%, Atlético Nacional 40%. Over 2.5: Once Caldas 48%, Atlético Nacional 64%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots at playing style
Atlético Nacional ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.75 vs 1.59. Once Caldas averages 14.3 shots per match, habang Atlético Nacional ay 16.8.
First at second half
Once Caldas leads at half-time sa 29% ng matches at scores 0.86 goals after the break. Atlético Nacional: 28% at 1.36.
Goals by minute
Once Caldas: 76-90+ (9 goals). Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53% at Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Sa 4 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-3. Average goals: 2.75, BTTS: 50%.
Match description
Ako bet sa victory ng Once Caldas (1) dahil sa offensive edge nila sa home matches: hosts average 2.11 goals per home game vs Atlético Nacional na 1.44 goals sa away. Once Caldas averages 6 on-target shots per game at home at home xG 1.76, habang ang visitors may 4.78 on-target shots at away xG 1.44 — nagpapakita ng better quality ng chances ng hosts. Key din na Once Caldas walang zero-goal home matches (0%), samantalang Atlético fails to score sa 44% ng kanilang away games, na significantly nagpapataas ng chance ng hosts to score. On the other hand, Atlético has 13 wins this season vs 7 ng Once Caldas at sa last five matches nila Atlético averages 2.0 points per game vs 1.8 ng hosts, at ang away defense ng visitors concedes 1.22 goals on average vs 1.44 conceded by Once Caldas, which partially evens things out. Considering xG (1.76 vs 1.44), average goals (2.11 vs 1.44) at difference sa zero-goal games (0% vs 44%), I estimate home win probability ~55%, draw ~20% at away win ~25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Once Caldas | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Once Caldas · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Once Caldas · 0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Once Caldas scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Once Caldas
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Once Caldas
Atlético Nacional
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Once Caldas | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Once Caldas 0 - 1 - 3 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 50% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Once Caldas vs Atlético Nacional?
Natapos ang Categoria Primera A match sa score na Once Caldas 1:0 Atlético Nacional. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Once Caldas at Atlético Nacional?
Sa huling 4 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Once Caldas ng 0, ang Atlético Nacional ng 3, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 2.75; BTTS: 50%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Once Caldas vs Atlético Nacional?
Once Caldas scores 1.57 goals per match at Atlético Nacional 1.96. Ang Categoria Primera A average ay 2.53 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Once Caldas 76%, Atlético Nacional 40%.
Ano ang current form ng Once Caldas at Atlético Nacional?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Once Caldas ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Atlético Nacional ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Once Caldas vs Atlético Nacional?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.