Estonia - MeistriliigaData updated noong July 23, 2026

Paide vs Nõmme United: match stats

Paide crest
Paide
3 : 1half-time 1:0
Nõmme United crest
Nõmme United

Paide vs Nõmme United: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Paide vs Nõmme United sa Meistriliiga (Estonia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 8 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Paide: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Nõmme United: 3-0-2 at 1.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Paide scores 1.60 at concedes 1.40 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.95 at concedes 2.30. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paide 70%, Nõmme United 90%. Over 2.5: Paide 55%, Nõmme United 95%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots at playing style

Paide ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.65 vs 1.50. Paide averages 13.7 shots per match, habang Nõmme United ay 11.9.

First at second half

Paide leads at half-time sa 35% ng matches at scores 0.80 goals after the break. Nõmme United: 25% at 1.20.

Goals by minute

Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58% at Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 5.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Paide may clear home advantage: 100% wins and 100% clean sheets, avg 0 conceded per match with xG against 0.62 and offensive xG 1.57. Sa last 5, Paide scored 12 goals at form na lwwdw with 2.0 points per game, habang Nõmme United also scored 11 goals sa last 5 pero may form llwld at only 0.8 points per game. Away, guests average 0.5 goals per game, 50% of matches goalless, concede avg 2 goals and xG against 2.18, nagpapakita ng defensive issues and low offensive efficiency. Paide controls the game at home (70% possession, avg 14 shots per match and 2 on target) and has higher conversion rate (7% vs 5% Nõmme), which translates to more and better scoring chances. Based on this, I give Paide 75% chance to win, 15% draw and 10% away win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
PaideNõmme United
13Shots8
PaideNõmme United
6Shots on target5
PaideNõmme United
1.69xG1.44
PaideNõmme United
4Corners6
PaideNõmme United
63Dangerous attacks80
PaideNõmme United
14Fouls11
PaideNõmme United
3Cards3
PaideNõmme United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match1.95
PaideNõmme United
1.4Goals conceded / match2.3
PaideNõmme United
54%Average possession47%
PaideNõmme United
4.35Shots on target / match4.05
PaideNõmme United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.7Shots per match11.95
PaideNõmme United
4.35Shots on target4.05
PaideNõmme United
11.7%Shot conversion16.3%
PaideNõmme United
54%Possession47%
PaideNõmme United
1.65xG for1.5
PaideNõmme United
1.59xG against1.98
PaideNõmme United

Shooting quality

Paide: BalancedNõmme United: Counter-attacking
PaideNõmme United
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paide is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Paide · 1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United

Paide
WWDWL
Season result split
45% W25% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-6
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Nõmme United
LWLWW
Season result split
40% W5% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-11
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-5
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme United is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Paide · 1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United

Paide is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Paide · 2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United

Scoring profile ng Paide: napakalakas

Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).

Scoring profile ng Nõmme United: napakalakas

Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).

32Goals scored (season)39
PaideNõmme United
28Goals conceded (season)46
PaideNõmme United
3Average goals in match4.25
PaideNõmme United
9Goals scored (last 5)10
PaideNõmme United
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
PaideNõmme United

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal90%
PaideNõmme United
45%2 goals50%
PaideNõmme United
20%3 goals25%
PaideNõmme United
5%4 goals10%
PaideNõmme United

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal100%
PaideNõmme United
35%2 goals65%
PaideNõmme United
15%3 goals40%
PaideNõmme United
5%4 goals10%
PaideNõmme United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time40%
PaideNõmme United
10%BTTS in both halves5%
PaideNõmme United
40%Scored in both halves25%
PaideNõmme United

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS85%
PaideNõmme United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
PaideNõmme United
80%BTTS - last 5100%
PaideNõmme United

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time95%
PaideNõmme United
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
PaideNõmme United
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
PaideNõmme United

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
PaideNõmme United
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time70%
PaideNõmme United
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time45%
PaideNõmme United

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Paide · 1 pts / match - Nõmme United

Paide - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing
Nõmme United - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)1
PaideNõmme United
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.75
PaideNõmme United
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)1.15
PaideNõmme United
1.45Average goals (1st half)1.9
PaideNõmme United
65%Clean sheet before half-time20%
PaideNõmme United
40%No goal before half-time45%
PaideNõmme United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.3
PaideNõmme United
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
PaideNõmme United
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1.15
PaideNõmme United
1.55Average goals (2nd half)2.35
PaideNõmme United
45%Clean sheet after half-time25%
PaideNõmme United
30%No goal after half-time40%
PaideNõmme United

Paide - second-half results

40% W30% R30% P
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme United - second-half results

35% W25% R40% P
20
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match2.41.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
5
6
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
5
10
16-30
7
6
31-45
7
6
46-60
7
5
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
80%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

PaideLigaNõmme United
Average goals in match 3.003.11 4.25
Both teams scored 70%58% 90%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%66% 95%
Clean sheets 20%23% 0%
Goal before half-time 65%74% 95%
Goal after half-time 90%88% 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Paide 1 - 0 - 0 Nõmme United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Paide vs Nõmme United?

Natapos ang Meistriliiga match sa score na Paide 3:1 Nõmme United. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Paide vs Nõmme United?

Paide scores 1.60 goals per match at Nõmme United 1.95. Ang Meistriliiga average ay 3.11 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 66% ng matches. BTTS: Paide 70%, Nõmme United 90%.

Ano ang current form ng Paide at Nõmme United?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Paide ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Nõmme United ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Paide vs Nõmme United?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.