Estonia - MeistriliigaPaide linnastaadionData updated noong July 23, 2026

Paide vs Vaprus: match stats

Paide crest
Paide
3 : 1half-time 2:1
Vaprus crest
Vaprus

Paide vs Vaprus: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Paide vs Vaprus sa Meistriliiga (Estonia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 4 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Paide linnastaadion. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Paide: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Vaprus: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.

Goal statistics

Paide scores 1.60 at concedes 1.40 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.40 at concedes 1.90. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paide 70%, Vaprus 65%. Over 2.5: Paide 55%, Vaprus 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots at playing style

Paide ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.65 vs 1.14. Paide averages 13.7 shots per match, habang Vaprus ay 8.4.

First at second half

Paide leads at half-time sa 35% ng matches at scores 0.80 goals after the break. Vaprus: 25% at 0.65.

Goals by minute

Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58% at Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Sa 5 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 3-0-2. Average goals: 2.60, BTTS: 40%.

Match description

Predict ko na mananalo ang home side (Paide). Paide ang nag-ge-generate ng mas maraming chances: avg 11.75 shots at xG 1.41 per game kumpara sa 6.5 shots at xG 0.93 ng Vaprus — so roughly +0.48 xG at ~80% higher shot volume para sa Paide. Defensively mas solid din ang Paide — concede lang avg 1.00 goal sa home vs 1.88 conceded ng Vaprus away, at sa last 5 matches Paide conceded 4 goals vs 9 ng visitors. Form favors Paide: 0 losses sa last 5 at 1.8 pts per game sa period na iyon vs 2 losses at 1.4 pts ng Vaprus. Visitors may have higher shot conversion (15% vs 10%) pero lower shot volume at higher share ng goalless games (25% vs 13%), which limits nila ang realistic chances to win.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
PaideVaprus
18Shots9
PaideVaprus
7Shots on target4
PaideVaprus
2.12xG1.1
PaideVaprus
6Corners2
PaideVaprus
69Dangerous attacks35
PaideVaprus
10Fouls12
PaideVaprus
2Cards2
PaideVaprus

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match1.4
PaideVaprus
1.4Goals conceded / match1.9
PaideVaprus
54%Average possession46%
PaideVaprus
4.35Shots on target / match3.55
PaideVaprus

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.7Shots per match8.4
PaideVaprus
4.35Shots on target3.55
PaideVaprus
11.7%Shot conversion16.7%
PaideVaprus
54%Possession46%
PaideVaprus
1.65xG for1.14
PaideVaprus
1.59xG against1.86
PaideVaprus

Shooting quality

Paide: BalancedVaprus: Counter-attacking
PaideVaprus
Accuracy (shots on target)32%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Paide · 1.2 pts / match - Vaprus

Paide
WWDWL
Season result split
45% W25% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-6
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Vaprus
LWLWL
Season result split
40% W10% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-10
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Paide · 1.4 goals / match - Vaprus

Paide is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Paide · 1.9 goals / match - Vaprus

Scoring profile ng Paide: napakalakas

Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

Scoring profile ng Vaprus: napakalakas

Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).

32Goals scored (season)28
PaideVaprus
28Goals conceded (season)38
PaideVaprus
3Average goals in match3.3
PaideVaprus
9Goals scored (last 5)9
PaideVaprus
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
PaideVaprus

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal80%
PaideVaprus
45%2 goals35%
PaideVaprus
20%3 goals15%
PaideVaprus
5%4 goals5%
PaideVaprus

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal75%
PaideVaprus
35%2 goals55%
PaideVaprus
15%3 goals25%
PaideVaprus
5%4 goals10%
PaideVaprus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time40%
PaideVaprus
10%BTTS in both halves5%
PaideVaprus
40%Scored in both halves25%
PaideVaprus

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
PaideVaprus
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PaideVaprus
80%BTTS - last 580%
PaideVaprus

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
PaideVaprus
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
PaideVaprus
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
PaideVaprus

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
PaideVaprus
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
PaideVaprus
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
PaideVaprus

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Paide · 1.25 pts / match - Vaprus

Paide - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing
Vaprus - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)1.25
PaideVaprus
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.75
PaideVaprus
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
PaideVaprus
1.45Average goals (1st half)1.55
PaideVaprus
65%Clean sheet before half-time50%
PaideVaprus
40%No goal before half-time40%
PaideVaprus

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.15
PaideVaprus
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
PaideVaprus
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
PaideVaprus
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.75
PaideVaprus
45%Clean sheet after half-time35%
PaideVaprus
30%No goal after half-time55%
PaideVaprus

Paide - second-half results

40% W30% R30% P
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vaprus - second-half results

30% W25% R45% P
25
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match2.41.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Vaprus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.41.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
5
6
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
6
4
16-30
5
6
31-45
6
8
46-60
2
9
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.15
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

PaideLigaVaprus
Average goals in match 3.003.11 3.30
Both teams scored 70%58% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%66% 65%
Clean sheets 20%23% 25%
Goal before half-time 65%74% 70%
Goal after half-time 90%88% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Paide 3 - 0 - 2 Vaprus. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 40% mga match.

Vaprus
3 : 2
Paide
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 0
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
Pärnu JK Vaprus
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
Pärnu JK Vaprus

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Paide vs Vaprus?

Natapos ang Meistriliiga match sa score na Paide 3:1 Vaprus. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Paide at Vaprus?

Sa huling 5 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Paide ng 3, ang Vaprus ng 2, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 2.60; BTTS: 40%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Paide vs Vaprus?

Paide scores 1.60 goals per match at Vaprus 1.40. Ang Meistriliiga average ay 3.11 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 66% ng matches. BTTS: Paide 70%, Vaprus 65%.

Ano ang current form ng Paide at Vaprus?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Paide ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Vaprus ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Paide vs Vaprus?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.