Police vs Tusker: match stats
Police vs Tusker: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Police vs Tusker sa Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). Naka-schedule ang match sa 3 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Police: 4-1-0 sa last five matches at 2.60 points per match. Tusker: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.
Goal statistics
Police scores 0.97 at concedes 0.62 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.83 at concedes 0.93. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police 31%, Tusker 34%. Over 2.5: Police 21%, Tusker 28%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots at playing style
Police ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.62 vs 1.42. Police averages 12.4 shots per match, habang Tusker ay 10.9.
First at second half
Police leads at half-time sa 3% ng matches at scores 0.00 goals after the break. Tusker: 14% at 0.21.
Goals by minute
Police: 0-15 (27 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (14 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43% at Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Sa aking pagsusuri, favorites ang visitors at bet ko ang Tusker na mananalo. Tusker has 54% away wins kumpara sa 31% home wins ng Police. Sa away games, Tusker converts 11% ng shots at nag-aaverage ng 1.00 goal per match, habang ang Police sa home ay may 5% conversion at 0.69 goal per match at nananatiling goalless sa 46% ng matches (kumpara sa 23% ng Tusker). Malakas naman ang defensive record ng Police sa home: conceding only 0.54 goals per match at keeping clean sheets sa 54% ng laro, habang Tusker concedes 0.85 away at may 38% clean sheets. xG shows na Police creates more chances (xG 1.65 sa home vs 1.26 ng Tusker), pero nire-rotate niya at nasasayang ang mga chances (0.69 goals vs xG 1.65, ibig sabihin -0.96), samantalang mas close ang Tusker sa expectations nila (1.26 xG vs 1.00 goal). Considering Tusker’s efficiency advantage (11% vs 5%), lower no-goal rate (23% vs 46%) at 54% away win rate, I assess win probability for the visitors at 48%, draw 30% and home win 22%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Police · 0.8 pts / match - Tusker
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Police · 0.83 goals / match - Tusker
Police is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.62 goals / match - Police · 0.93 goals / match - Tusker
Police scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
Tusker scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Police
Over / Under — Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tusker is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Police · 1.1 pts / match - Tusker
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Police
Tusker
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 43% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 33% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 3% | 22% | • 21% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police 1 - 0 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Police vs Tusker?
Natapos ang Kenyan Premier League match sa score na Police 1:0 Tusker. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Police vs Tusker?
Police scores 0.97 goals per match at Tusker 0.83. Ang Kenyan Premier League average ay 2.01 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 33% ng matches. BTTS: Police 31%, Tusker 34%.
Ano ang current form ng Police at Tusker?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Police ay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per match), habang ang Tusker ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Police vs Tusker?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.