Progreso vs Nacional: match stats
Ang Nacional talagang mas superior kay Progreso sa lahat ng statistical aspects. Ang hosts ay hindi pa nanalo ng kahit anong match this season, hindi pa nakakapuntos ng goal sa home games, at talo sa 100% ng kanilang home matches, na natatanggap ng average na 3 goals per game. Samantala, ang Nacional ay nananalo sa 100% ng kanilang away matches, nakakapuntos ng average na 2 goals at natatanggap lang ang 1 goal per game. Ang form ng dalawang teams ay magkaibang-magkaiba – ang Progreso ay may 0.2 points per match sa huling 5 games, habang ang Nacional ay nakakakuha ng 1.8 points. Dagdag pa, ang Nacional ay mas mataas sa kalaban sa key offensive parameters: average na 6 shots on target per away game with 18% conversion rate, samantalang ang Progreso ay may 2 shots on target lang at 0% conversion rate. Lahat ng indicators ay nagsasabi ng sure win para sa away team.
Progreso vs Nacional: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Progreso vs Nacional sa Primera División (Uruguay). Naka-schedule ang match sa 22 February 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Progreso: 2-0-3 sa last five matches at 1.20 points per match. Nacional: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.
Goal statistics
Progreso scores 0.81 at concedes 1.52 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.52 at concedes 1.33. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Progreso 43%, Nacional 57%. Over 2.5: Progreso 43%, Nacional 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots at playing style
Nacional ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.50 vs 1.16. Progreso averages 8.5 shots per match, habang Nacional ay 11.9.
First at second half
Progreso leads at half-time sa 14% ng matches at scores 0.43 goals after the break. Nacional: 24% at 0.86.
Goals by minute
Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-3. Average goals: 3.67, BTTS: 67%.
Match description
Ang Nacional talagang mas superior kay Progreso sa lahat ng statistical aspects. Ang hosts ay hindi pa nanalo ng kahit anong match this season, hindi pa nakakapuntos ng goal sa home games, at talo sa 100% ng kanilang home matches, na natatanggap ng average na 3 goals per game. Samantala, ang Nacional ay nananalo sa 100% ng kanilang away matches, nakakapuntos ng average na 2 goals at natatanggap lang ang 1 goal per game. Ang form ng dalawang teams ay magkaibang-magkaiba – ang Progreso ay may 0.2 points per match sa huling 5 games, habang ang Nacional ay nakakakuha ng 1.8 points. Dagdag pa, ang Nacional ay mas mataas sa kalaban sa key offensive parameters: average na 6 shots on target per away game with 18% conversion rate, samantalang ang Progreso ay may 2 shots on target lang at 0% conversion rate. Lahat ng indicators ay nagsasabi ng sure win para sa away team.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Progreso · 1.4 pts / match - Nacional
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Progreso · 1.52 goals / match - Nacional
Nacional is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Progreso · 1.33 goals / match - Nacional
Progreso scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Nacional scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Progreso
Over / Under — Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Progreso · 1.24 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Progreso
Nacional
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Progreso 0 - 0 - 3 Nacional. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Progreso vs Nacional?
Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Progreso 0:1 Nacional. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Progreso at Nacional?
Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Progreso ng 0, ang Nacional ng 3, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 3.67; BTTS: 67%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Progreso vs Nacional?
Progreso scores 0.81 goals per match at Nacional 1.52. Ang Primera División average ay 2.41 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: Progreso 43%, Nacional 57%.
Ano ang current form ng Progreso at Nacional?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Progreso ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match), habang ang Nacional ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Progreso vs Nacional?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.