Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK: match stats
Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK sa Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). Naka-schedule ang match sa 12 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Qabala: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Mil Mugan FK: 1-2-2 at 1.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
Qabala scores 0.97 at concedes 1.48 goals per match. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.70 at concedes 1.24. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qabala 45%, Mil Mugan FK 24%. Over 2.5: Qabala 42%, Mil Mugan FK 30%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots at playing style
Qabala ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.24 vs 1.00. Qabala averages 10.5 shots per match, habang Mil Mugan FK ay 8.3.
First at second half
Qabala leads at half-time sa 15% ng matches at scores 0.52 goals after the break. Mil Mugan FK: 21% at 0.39.
Goals by minute
Qabala: 31-45+ (7 goals). Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46% at Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-0. Average goals: 4.50, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
I back Qabala to win: hosts create more chances with an average of 11 shots and 3.42 on target per home match versus 7.77 shots and 3.00 on target for the visitors, and their home xG is 1.26 compared to Mil Mugan's 0.98 away. In the last 5 matches Qabala scored 9 goals (1.8 per match) while Mil Mugan only 1 (0.2 per match), giving the hosts an offensive edge even though Qabala conceded 16 goals in those five games (3.2 per match). Mil Mugan, meanwhile, look better in away clean sheet stat (46%) and have lower average goals conceded away (1.31 vs 1.67 for Qabala), but their problem is finishing – 62% of away matches without a goal and only 1 goal in the last 5. Considering higher xG (1.26 vs 0.98), more shots (11 vs 7.77) and the visitors' worrying inefficiency, I think Qabala has the advantage; both teams do allow goals though, so I expect a tight, low-scoring result. I rate the chances at about 50% for the hosts, 28% for a draw and 22% for a Mil Mugan win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qabala | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qabala is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Qabala · 1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qabala is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Qabala · 0.7 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Mil Mugan FK is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Qabala · 1.24 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Qabala scores in 55% of matches (18 of 33 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Qabala
Over / Under — Mil Mugan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mil Mugan FK is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Qabala · 1.18 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qabala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Qabala
Mil Mugan FK
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qabala | Liga | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.58 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qabala 1 - 1 - 0 Mil Mugan FK. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK?
Natapos ang Premyer Liqası match sa score na Qabala 0:1 Mil Mugan FK. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Qabala at Mil Mugan FK?
Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Qabala ng 1, ang Mil Mugan FK ng 0, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 4.50; BTTS: 100%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK?
Qabala scores 0.97 goals per match at Mil Mugan FK 0.70. Ang Premyer Liqası average ay 2.58 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: Qabala 45%, Mil Mugan FK 24%.
Ano ang current form ng Qabala at Mil Mugan FK?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Qabala ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Mil Mugan FK ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.