Nigeria - NPFLUpdated ang data noong September 13, 2026

Remo Stars vs Shooting Stars: mga stats ng match

Remo Stars crest
Remo Stars
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Shooting Stars crest
Shooting Stars

Remo Stars vs Shooting Stars: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Remo Stars laban sa Shooting Stars sa NPFL (Nigeria). Nilaro ang match noong 5 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current na form

Remo Stars: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Shooting Stars: 3-0-2 at 1.80 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Remo Stars ay may 1.03 goals na na-score at 1.28 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Shooting Stars naman ay may 1.09 na na-score at 1.09 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 1.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Remo Stars 53%, Shooting Stars 41%. Over 2.5: Remo Stars 41%, Shooting Stars 34%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Remo Stars ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.36 vs 1.29. May average na 7.5 shots bawat match ang Remo Stars, habang 6.5 naman ang Shooting Stars.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Remo Stars sa half-time sa 13% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.63 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Shooting Stars, 34% at 0.53 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Remo Stars: 76-90+ (11 goals). Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (11 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

NPFL: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 38% at Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-0-1, average goals 1.00, at BTTS 0%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Remo Stars have clear home advantage: sa home nila nag-aaverage ng 1.5 goals per match at may 63% win rate, habang ang Shooting Stars nag-scored lang ng 0.38 goals on the road at may 13% away win rate. Hosts create noticeably more chances — sa home average nila 12.5 shots at 5.57 shots on target per match with 13% conversion, kumpara sa visitors na may 8.5 shots, 2.8 on target at 5% conversion. Sa xG at defense malinaw din advantage ng Remo: home xG ng hosts 1.55 kontra 1.10 xG para sa Shooting away, at xG against 0.95 para sa Remo versus 1.6 para sa visitors, na nagpapakita na mas maraming quality chances ang nire-review ng guests. Remo concede lang average 0.81 goals at home at may 38% clean sheets, habang ang Shooting concede 1.44 away at hindi nakakagol sa 69% ng kanilang away matches, bagay na nagpapa-highlight ng offensive problems ng guests. Considering these numbers at recent form (Remo 2.0 pts per match sa last 5, Shooting 1.8 pts), nag-forecast ako ng home win at estimated chances: 72% Remo, 18% draw at 10% Shooting.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Stats ng match

47Possession (%)53
Remo StarsShooting Stars
10Shots16
Remo StarsShooting Stars
4Shots on target3
Remo StarsShooting Stars
1.21xG1.48
Remo StarsShooting Stars
4Corners8
Remo StarsShooting Stars
41Dangerous attacks37
Remo StarsShooting Stars
-1Fouls-1
Remo StarsShooting Stars
0Cards1
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.16Points bawat matchPPG - points per match.1.56
Remo StarsShooting Stars
1.03Goals na na-score / match1.09
Remo StarsShooting Stars
1.28Goals na na-concede / match1.09
Remo StarsShooting Stars
1.36xG forxG - expected goals o quality ng scoring chances.1.29
Remo StarsShooting Stars
39%Average na possession35%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
3Shots on target bawat match1.97
Remo StarsShooting Stars
19%Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.25%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
53%Parehong teams naka-scoreBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.41%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

7.5Shots bawat match6.5
Remo StarsShooting Stars
3Shots on target1.97
Remo StarsShooting Stars
13.8%Shot conversion16.8%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
39%Possession35%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
1.36xG for1.29
Remo StarsShooting Stars
1.17xG against1.22
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Quality ng shooting

Remo Stars: Counter-attacking ang styleShooting Stars: Counter-attacking ang style
Remo StarsShooting Stars
Accuracy ng shots on target40%30%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.180.20
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.340.55

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Remo Stars ang 11% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

2 pts / match - Remo Stars · 1.8 pts / match - Shooting Stars

Remo Stars
WLWWD
Result split ngayong season
34% W13% D53% L
Season record (W-D-L)
11-4-17
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
10-3-3
Last 5 sa home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.8Goals na na-concede: 1.4xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 0.79BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Shooting Stars
LWWLW
Result split ngayong season
47% W16% D38% L
Season record (W-D-L)
15-5-12
1.56 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
2-3-11
Last 5 sa away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.6Goals na na-concede: 1.4xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Shooting Stars ang 6% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.03 goals / match - Remo Stars · 1.09 goals / match - Shooting Stars

Shooting Stars ang 17% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.28 goals / match - Remo Stars · 1.09 goals / match - Shooting Stars

Scoring profile ng Remo Stars: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Remo Stars sa 72% ng matches (23 sa 32 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Shooting Stars sa 25% (8 sa 32 matches).

Scoring profile ng Shooting Stars: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Shooting Stars sa 63% ng matches (20 sa 32 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Remo Stars sa 19% (6 sa 32 matches).

33Goals na na-score (season)35
Remo StarsShooting Stars
41Goals na na-concede (season)35
Remo StarsShooting Stars
2.31Average ng goals sa match2.19
Remo StarsShooting Stars
9Goals na na-score (last 5)8
Remo StarsShooting Stars
7Goals na na-concede (last 5)7
Remo StarsShooting Stars
Remo Stars
19%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.6 sa 32 matches
28%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.9 sa 32 matches
Shooting Stars
25%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.8 sa 32 matches
38%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.12 sa 32 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

72%1 goal63%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
28%2 goals31%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
3%3 goals13%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
0%4 goals3%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

81%1 goal75%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
31%2 goals25%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
13%3 goals6%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
3%4 goals3%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

53%
Remo Stars - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.17 sa 32 matches
41%
Shooting Stars - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.13 sa 32 matches
38%
Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

25%BTTS sa half-time19%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
0%BTTS sa parehong halves6%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
6%Naka-score sa parehong halves25%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

BTTS at goal count

41%Min. 3 goals at BTTS28%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
0%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS6%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
80%BTTS - last 560%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.97%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
69%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.63%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
41%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.34%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
16%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.13%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
6%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.9%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Over / Under - Remo Stars

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 69%Under 31%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 41%Under 59%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 16%Under 84%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 6%Under 94%

Over / Under - Shooting Stars

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 34%Under 66%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 13%Under 87%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 9%Under 91%

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time75%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
31%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time22%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
9%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time9%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time66%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
41%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time34%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
9%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time6%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Shooting Stars ang 57% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Remo Stars · 1.38 pts / match - Shooting Stars

Remo Stars - state sa half-time
13% nangunguna50% tabla38% nahuhuli
Shooting Stars - state sa half-time
34% nangunguna34% tabla31% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

0.88Points bawat match (1st half)1.38
Remo StarsShooting Stars
0.41Goals na na-score (1st half)0.56
Remo StarsShooting Stars
0.69Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.53
Remo StarsShooting Stars
1.09Average ng goals (1st half)1.09
Remo StarsShooting Stars
44%Clean sheet bago ang half-time53%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
66%Walang goal bago ang half-time53%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points bawat match (2nd half)1.19
Remo StarsShooting Stars
0.63Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.53
Remo StarsShooting Stars
0.59Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.56
Remo StarsShooting Stars
1.22Average ng goals (2nd half)1.09
Remo StarsShooting Stars
56%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time50%
Remo StarsShooting Stars
56%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time59%
Remo StarsShooting Stars

Remo Stars - mga result sa second half

34% W34% D31% L
28
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference sa 1st half
44
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference sa 2nd half
0.88
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding262%

Leading sa half-time sa 13% ng matches at nananalo sa 34%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Shooting Stars - mga result sa second half

22% W53% D25% L
44
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference sa 1st half
38
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.38
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding138%

Leading sa half-time sa 34% ng matches at nananalo sa 47%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Remo Stars - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match0.802.00
Goals na na-score / match0.61.2
Goals na na-concede / match0.80.6
Average ng goals sa match1.41.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% nangunguna - 80% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 60% panalo - 20% tabla - 20% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 60% - Total goals sa half-time: 3
Shooting Stars - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.601.00
Goals na na-score / match0.61.0
Goals na na-concede / match0.41.0
Average ng goals sa match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 20% panalo - 40% tabla - 40% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 3

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Remo Stars
Na-scoreNa-concede
5
8
0-15
0
6
16-30
8
8
31-45
2
5
46-60
7
4
61-75
11
10
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (10). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +1 - malakas sa late phases.

Shooting Stars
Na-scoreNa-concede
7
5
0-15
6
7
16-30
5
5
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
7
61-75
11
7
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 16-30 (7). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +4 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.25
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
116%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
47%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
-56%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
11%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 9 matches
0-1
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Remo Stars

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
+0.19
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.44
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-0.7 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.33
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
-0.11
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
225%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.84
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.2
Mga late goal
33% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 15% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
33%

Shooting Stars

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
+0.07
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.07
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
+2.0 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.20
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.13
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
191%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
80%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.24
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
-0.0
Mga late goal
31% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 20% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
31%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng NPFL.

Teams kumpara sa liga

Remo StarsLigaShooting Stars
Average ng goals sa match▲ 2.311.94▲ 2.19
Parehong teams naka-score▲ 53%38%▲ 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 41%29%▲ 34%
Clean sheets▼ 19%37%▼ 25%
Goal bago ang half-time▲ 66%60%▲ 75%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time▲ 72%62%▲ 66%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

1.94
Average goals bawat match
38%
Parehong teams naka-score
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals bawat match
0.57
Away goals bawat match
+140%
Advantage ng home attack
+58%
Advantage ng home defence
+50%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
60%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
62%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Substitutes

4Sodiq Oshideropumasok 1'7Samson Olasupopumasok 1'18Qudus Akannipumasok 1'
26Okechukwu Olisapumasok 1'
27Mark Theo Gibsonpumasok 1'
28Lekan Malik Lekan Malikpumasok 44'
29Adama Goitapumasok 1'
32Ebuka Anthonypumasok 1'
33Segun Owoadepumasok 1'

Away team

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. Shooting StarsYellow cardJustice Apaingolo
  2. Remo StarsSubstitutionPumasok: Lekan Malik Lekan MalikLumabas: Albert Korvah
  3. Remo StarsGoalVictor Chukwuma Mbaoma

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

Home coachTiago Frias Conde

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Remo Stars 0 - 0 - 1 Shooting Stars. Average ng goals 1.00, both teams scored sa 0% matches.

Shooting Stars
1 : 0
Remo Stars

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Remo Stars vs Shooting Stars?

Natapos ang NPFL match sa score na Remo Stars 1:0 Shooting Stars. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Remo Stars vs Shooting Stars?

Remo Stars scores 1.03 goals per match at Shooting Stars 1.09. Ang NPFL average ay 1.94 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 29% ng matches. BTTS: Remo Stars 53%, Shooting Stars 41%.

Ano ang current form ng Remo Stars at Shooting Stars?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Remo Stars ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Shooting Stars ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Remo Stars vs Shooting Stars?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.