Rosario Central vs Independiente: match stats
Rosario Central vs Independiente: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Rosario Central vs Independiente sa Primera División (Argentina). Naka-schedule ang match sa 10 May 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Rosario Central: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Independiente: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.
Goal statistics
Rosario Central scores 1.32 at concedes 1.00 goals per match. Independiente scores 1.47 at concedes 1.35. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rosario Central 63%, Independiente 71%. Over 2.5: Rosario Central 53%, Independiente 41%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots at playing style
Rosario Central ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.62 vs 1.48. Rosario Central averages 13.4 shots per match, habang Independiente ay 12.7.
First at second half
Rosario Central leads at half-time sa 32% ng matches at scores 0.79 goals after the break. Independiente: 24% at 0.82.
Goals by minute
Rosario Central: 76-90+ (7 goals). Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45% at Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-1. Average goals: 0.67, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Rosario Central clearly has the edge in creating chances: sa home they average 17 shots and 6 on target per match with xG 2.01, translating to 1.25 goals scored per game; Independiente away averages 11 shots and 3.38 on target with xG 1.37 and 1.13 goals. Defensively hosts also look better — Rosario concedes only 0.88 goals per home match (xG against 1.32), habang Independiente concedes 1.38 goals per away match (xG against 1.49). Rosario form is stronger: 4 wins in last 5 and an average 2.6 points in that period, while Independiente won 3 of last 5 and averages 2.0 points. Clear advantage for the visitors is higher shot conversion (around 10% vs 7%) and the fact that Independiente fail to score in only 13% of away games versus 25% for the hosts, so they can be dangerous with fewer chances. Considering Rosario's superiority in xG, shot volume, better defence and form, I project a home win; estimated probabilities 60% for Rosario, 20% draw and 20% for Independiente.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rosario Central | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rosario Central is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Rosario Central · 1.4 pts / match - Independiente
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Rosario Central · 1.47 goals / match - Independiente
Rosario Central is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Rosario Central · 1.35 goals / match - Independiente
Rosario Central scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Rosario Central keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rosario Central
Over / Under — Independiente
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rosario Central is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Rosario Central · 1.24 pts / match - Independiente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rosario Central - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Rosario Central
Independiente
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Rosario Central | Liga | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.32 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 45% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Rosario Central 1 - 1 - 1 Independiente. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Rosario Central vs Independiente?
Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Rosario Central 3:1 Independiente. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Rosario Central at Independiente?
Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Rosario Central ng 1, ang Independiente ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 0.67; BTTS: 0%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Rosario Central vs Independiente?
Rosario Central scores 1.32 goals per match at Independiente 1.47. Ang Primera División average ay 2.08 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 34% ng matches. BTTS: Rosario Central 63%, Independiente 71%.
Ano ang current form ng Rosario Central at Independiente?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Rosario Central ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Independiente ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Rosario Central vs Independiente?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.