Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison: match stats
Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison sa USL League One (United States). Naka-schedule ang match sa 3 May 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2 sa last five matches at 1.00 points per match. Forward Madison: 4-1-0 at 2.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 at concedes 1.56 goals per match. Forward Madison scores 1.86 at concedes 1.00. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Forward Madison 50%. Over 2.5: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Forward Madison 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots at playing style
Forward Madison ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.49 vs 1.43. Sarasota Paradise averages 12.2 shots per match, habang Forward Madison ay 12.8.
First at second half
Sarasota Paradise leads at half-time sa 11% ng matches at scores 0.67 goals after the break. Forward Madison: 64% at 0.71.
Goals by minute
Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). Forward Madison: 16-30 (9 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55% at Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Wala pang sapat na head-to-head sample para gawing pangunahing comparison.
Match description
Sarasota Paradise ay nagge-generate sa home ng average na 1.61 xG with 14.8 shots at 4.6 on target per match, habang si Forward Madison sa away settings ay may 1.04 xG with 7.5 shots at 3.5 on target, kaya advantage ang home sa chance creation. Pero mas efficient ang guests sa finishing — conversion rate nila ay 17% vs 8% ng hosts — at kahit mas kaunti ang attempts, nagso-score sila ng average na 1.25 goals away kumpara 1.2 goals ng hosts sa home. Defensively, Forward Madison concedes 1.0 goal on average away, at Sarasota 1.2 sa home, pero pareho silang nakatanggap ng 9 goals sa huling 5 matches, na nagpapakita ng vulnerability ng defenses ng both teams. Considering din ang positive xG balance ng hosts (1.61 xG for vs 1.18 xG against) at ang fact na Sarasota creates significantly more situations, binibigay ko ng slim edge ang home side, kahit na ang shooting efficiency ng guests keeps this match close to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarasota Paradise | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forward Madison is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 2.6 pts / match - Forward Madison
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 98% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.86 goals / match - Forward Madison
Forward Madison is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1 goals / match - Forward Madison
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Forward Madison scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
Over / Under — Forward Madison
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 2.07 pts / match - Forward Madison
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Sarasota Paradise
Forward Madison
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Sarasota Paradise | Liga | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.85 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 58% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 72% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison?
Natapos ang USL League One match sa score na Sarasota Paradise 1:3 Forward Madison. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison?
Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 goals per match at Forward Madison 1.86. Ang USL League One average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 58% ng matches. BTTS: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Forward Madison 50%.
Ano ang current form ng Sarasota Paradise at Forward Madison?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Sarasota Paradise ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match), habang ang Forward Madison ay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.