Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData updated noong July 22, 2026

Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar: match stats

Simba crest
Simba
1 : 1half-time 1:0
Mtibwa Sugar crest
Mtibwa Sugar
165%(1.18)
X25%(5.40)
210%(14.00)

Nagpapakita ang Simba ng impressive home form na may 75% wins at 25% losses lang sa kanilang stadium, na may average na 2.25 goals at 20% conversion rate. Hawak ng hosts ang significant advantage sa possession (58% vs 45%) at mas superior na xG (1.82 vs 0.94), na proof ng kanilang offensive dominance. Hindi pa nananalo ang Mtibwa Sugar ng away match ngayong season (0% wins), at hindi sila naka-score sa 100% ng kanilang away games, na isang alarming signal. Obvious ang quality difference — ang Simba ay may +7 goal difference at home, habang ang visitors ay -3 sa away games. Considering all stats, ang decisive win para sa hosts ang most likely scenario sa match na ito.

Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar sa Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). Naka-schedule ang match sa 18 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Simba: 5-0-0 sa last five matches at 3.00 points per match. Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5 at 0.00 points per match.

Goal statistics

Simba scores 1.79 at concedes 0.38 goals per match. Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 at concedes 1.60. League average: 2.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Simba 28%, Mtibwa Sugar 50%. Over 2.5: Simba 48%, Mtibwa Sugar 53%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots at playing style

Simba ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.57 vs 1.00. Simba averages 8.7 shots per match, habang Mtibwa Sugar ay 3.5.

First at second half

Simba leads at half-time sa 59% ng matches at scores 0.79 goals after the break. Mtibwa Sugar: 7% at 0.43.

Goals by minute

Simba: 31-45+ (13 goals). Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35% at Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Nagpapakita ang Simba ng impressive home form na may 75% wins at 25% losses lang sa kanilang stadium, na may average na 2.25 goals at 20% conversion rate. Hawak ng hosts ang significant advantage sa possession (58% vs 45%) at mas superior na xG (1.82 vs 0.94), na proof ng kanilang offensive dominance. Hindi pa nananalo ang Mtibwa Sugar ng away match ngayong season (0% wins), at hindi sila naka-score sa 100% ng kanilang away games, na isang alarming signal. Obvious ang quality difference — ang Simba ay may +7 goal difference at home, habang ang visitors ay -3 sa away games. Considering all stats, ang decisive win para sa hosts ang most likely scenario sa match na ito.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
20Shots7
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
6Shots on target4
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
2.56xG1.02
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
9Corners2
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
122Dangerous attacks39
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
11Fouls12
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0Cards0
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.79Goals scored / match0.83
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0.38Goals conceded / match1.6
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
50%Average possession29%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
3.48Shots on target / match1.2
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.69Shots per match3.5
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
3.48Shots on target1.2
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
20.6%Shot conversion23.8%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
50%Possession29%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
1.57xG for1
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0.85xG against1.58
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

Shooting quality

Simba: Efficient finishingMtibwa Sugar: Counter-attacking
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.29
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.510.69

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Simba
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
72% W24% R3% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-7-1
2.41 pts / match · goal difference +41
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-2-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 0.59BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Mtibwa Sugar
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-15
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-5-10
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Simba is 116% better for: goals scored per match.

1.79 goals / match - Simba · 0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar

Simba is 321% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.38 goals / match - Simba · 1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar

Scoring profile ng Simba: napakalakas

Simba scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Mtibwa Sugar: mas challenging

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 69% (20 of 29 matches).

52Goals scored (season)25
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
11Goals conceded (season)48
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
2.17Average goals in match2.43
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
9Goals scored (last 5)2
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
1Goals conceded (last 5)12
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal57%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
62%2 goals20%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
31%3 goals3%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
3%4 goals3%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

How often they concede at least...

31%1 goal80%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
7%2 goals47%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0%3 goals27%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0%4 goals7%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time23%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
45%Scored in both halves17%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
28%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
20%BTTS - last 540%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Simba is 224% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.17 pts / match - Simba · 0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar

Simba - half-time state
59% leading41% draw0% trailing
Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
7% leading47% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.17Points per match (1st half)0.67
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
1Goals scored (1st half)0.33
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0.21Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.2
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
79%Clean sheet before half-time33%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
31%No goal before half-time70%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

After half-time (2nd half)

2.07Points per match (2nd half)1.03
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
0.97Average goals (2nd half)1.17
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
86%Clean sheet after half-time53%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar
41%No goal after half-time60%
SimbaMtibwa Sugar

Simba - second-half results

59% W31% R10% P
63
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+23
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

23% W33% R43% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding286%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Simba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Simba
ScoredConceded
9
1
0-15
7
2
16-30
13
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
9
0
61-75
9
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
1
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
3
8
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Simba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

SimbaLigaMtibwa Sugar
Average goals in match 2.172.17 2.43
Both teams scored 28%35% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%39% 53%
Clean sheets 69%39% 20%
Goal before half-time 69%60% 73%
Goal after half-time 69%63% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.17
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Simba 1 - 0 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Natapos ang Ligi kuu Bara match sa score na Simba 1:1 Mtibwa Sugar. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Simba scores 1.79 goals per match at Mtibwa Sugar 0.83. Ang Ligi kuu Bara average ay 2.17 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 39% ng matches. BTTS: Simba 28%, Mtibwa Sugar 50%.

Ano ang current form ng Simba at Mtibwa Sugar?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Simba ay 5-0-0 (3.00 points per match), habang ang Mtibwa Sugar ay 0-0-5 (0.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.