Southampton vs Derby County: match stats
Southampton vs Derby County: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Southampton vs Derby County sa Championship (England). Naka-schedule ang match sa 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Southampton: 2-3-0 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Derby County: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.
Goal statistics
Southampton scores 1.75 at concedes 1.19 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.46 at concedes 1.28. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Southampton 71%, Derby County 65%. Over 2.5: Southampton 63%, Derby County 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots at playing style
Southampton ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.63 vs 1.25. Southampton averages 14.4 shots per match, habang Derby County ay 11.0.
First at second half
Southampton leads at half-time sa 33% ng matches at scores 0.98 goals after the break. Derby County: 39% at 0.76.
Goals by minute
Southampton: 76-90+ (18 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (15 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Ako bet ay sa Southampton win; hosts nanalo ng 5 sa last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals at conceding only 3, ibig sabihin average ng 3 points per match sa period na ito. Sa home, Southampton nagpi-produce ng 1.53 goals at concede ng 0.74 goals per match, may xG for 1.77 vs xG against 1.18, at 15.74 shots with 5.42 shots on target at 59% possession, na nagpapakita ng control at quality ng chances. Derby away nakakakuha ng 1.55 goals at concede ng 1.3 goals per match, may lower xG for (1.12) at higher xG against (1.62), at kahit higher shot conversion 16% vs 10%, Derby nagshi-show ng significantly fewer attempts (9.9 total, 3.2 on target). Dagdag pa, Southampton may 47% clean sheets sa home at positive home goal difference +15, habang Derby may 25% clean sheets away at away goal difference +5, na nagbibigay ng defensive edge sa hosts. Considering form, advantage sa quality ng chances (xG 1.77 vs 1.12) at better defensive organisation ng hosts, I estimate probabilities: Southampton 65%, draw 20%, Derby 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Southampton | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Southampton is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Southampton · 1.2 pts / match - Derby County
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Southampton · 1.46 goals / match - Derby County
Southampton is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Southampton · 1.28 goals / match - Derby County
Southampton scores in 88% of matches (42 of 48 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Derby County scores in 91% of matches (42 of 46 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 25% (12 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Southampton
Over / Under — Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Southampton
Derby County
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Southampton | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Southampton 0 - 1 - 0 Derby County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Southampton vs Derby County?
Natapos ang Championship match sa score na Southampton 2:1 Derby County. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Southampton vs Derby County?
Southampton scores 1.75 goals per match at Derby County 1.46. Ang Championship average ay 2.59 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 50% ng matches. BTTS: Southampton 71%, Derby County 65%.
Ano ang current form ng Southampton at Derby County?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Southampton ay 2-3-0 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Derby County ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Southampton vs Derby County?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.