Tapatío vs Morelia: match stats
Ang Tapatío ay may impressive home form na may 55% win rate at +9 goal difference sa kanilang home stadium. Ang home team ay nag-scoring ng average na 2.18 goals per match sa home, na mas mataas kaysa sa 1.31 goals ng Morelia sa away games. Ang Morelia naman ay may mas mahinang away form (31% win rate, -2 goal difference) at mas mataas na average goals conceded na 1.46 sa away matches. Bagama't ang recent form ng Morelia ay mas maganda (2.4 points per game), ang Tapatío sa home conditions ay may advantage dahil sa mas mataas na xG (1.62 vs 1.29) at better shot conversion rate (15% vs 13%). Inaasahan ko na ito ay magiging close match, pero ang home advantage at ang better offensive stats sa home games ay nagpapahiwatig ng panalo para sa home team, kahit na ang draw ay isang realistic scenario din.
Tapatío vs Morelia: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Tapatío vs Morelia sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 23 March 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Tapatío: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Morelia: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.
Goal statistics
Tapatío scores 1.63 at concedes 1.47 goals per match. Morelia scores 1.29 at concedes 1.15. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tapatío 67%, Morelia 41%. Over 2.5: Tapatío 67%, Morelia 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots at playing style
Morelia ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.53 vs 1.43. Tapatío averages 12.3 shots per match, habang Morelia ay 13.0.
First at second half
Tapatío leads at half-time sa 37% ng matches at scores 0.83 goals after the break. Morelia: 32% at 0.65.
Goals by minute
Tapatío: 76-90+ (13 goals). Morelia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 0.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Ang Tapatío ay may impressive home form na may 55% win rate at +9 goal difference sa kanilang home stadium. Ang home team ay nag-scoring ng average na 2.18 goals per match sa home, na mas mataas kaysa sa 1.31 goals ng Morelia sa away games. Ang Morelia naman ay may mas mahinang away form (31% win rate, -2 goal difference) at mas mataas na average goals conceded na 1.46 sa away matches. Bagama't ang recent form ng Morelia ay mas maganda (2.4 points per game), ang Tapatío sa home conditions ay may advantage dahil sa mas mataas na xG (1.62 vs 1.29) at better shot conversion rate (15% vs 13%). Inaasahan ko na ito ay magiging close match, pero ang home advantage at ang better offensive stats sa home games ay nagpapahiwatig ng panalo para sa home team, kahit na ang draw ay isang realistic scenario din.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Tapatío · 1.29 goals / match - Morelia
Morelia is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Tapatío · 1.15 goals / match - Morelia
Tapatío scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Morelia scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tapatío
Over / Under — Morelia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Tapatío
Morelia
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tapatío 0 - 1 - 0 Morelia. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Tapatío vs Morelia?
Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Tapatío 2:1 Morelia. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tapatío vs Morelia?
Tapatío scores 1.63 goals per match at Morelia 1.29. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Tapatío 67%, Morelia 41%.
Ano ang current form ng Tapatío at Morelia?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Tapatío ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Morelia ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tapatío vs Morelia?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.