Mexico - Ascenso MX03/22/2026, 11:00 PMUpdated ang data noong September 06, 2026

Tapatío vs Morelia: mga stats ng match

Tapatío

2 : 1half-time 1:1

Morelia

145%(2.20)

X30%(3.50)

225%(2.80)

BTTS Over/Under HT/FT

Pick: 1Panalo

Pick score:46.12

Value:-1.00%

Ang Tapatío ay may impressive home form na may 55% win rate at +9 goal difference sa kanilang home stadium. Ang home team ay nag-scoring ng average na 2.18 goals per match sa home, na mas mataas kaysa sa 1.31 goals ng Morelia sa away games. Ang Morelia naman ay may mas mahinang away form (31% win rate, -2 goal difference) at mas mataas na average goals conceded na 1.46 sa away matches. Bagama't ang recent form ng Morelia ay mas maganda (2.4 points per game), ang Tapatío sa home conditions ay may advantage dahil sa mas mataas na xG (1.62 vs 1.29) at better shot conversion rate (15% vs 13%). Inaasahan ko na ito ay magiging close match, pero ang home advantage at ang better offensive stats sa home games ay nagpapahiwatig ng panalo para sa home team, kahit na ang draw ay isang realistic scenario din.

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Tapatío vs Morelia: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Tapatío laban sa Morelia sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Nilaro ang match noong 22 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Current na form

Tapatío: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Morelia: 4-0-1 at 2.40 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Tapatío ay may 1.74 goals na na-score at 1.48 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Morelia naman ay may 1.44 na na-score at 1.15 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tapatío 65%, Morelia 48%. Over 2.5: Tapatío 65%, Morelia 56%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Morelia ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.61 vs 1.45. May average na 12.3 shots bawat match ang Tapatío, habang 13.6 naman ang Morelia.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Tapatío sa half-time sa 43% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.87 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Morelia, 33% at 0.74 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Tapatío: 76-90+ (12 goals). Morelia: 76-90+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 55% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-1-0, average goals 0.00, at BTTS 0%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

1 : 1

1st half

1 : 0

2nd half

Stats ng match

40Possession (%)60

TapatíoMorelia

12Shots11

TapatíoMorelia

3Shots on target4

TapatíoMorelia

1.15xG1.31

TapatíoMorelia

1Corners6

TapatíoMorelia

25Dangerous attacks44

TapatíoMorelia

11Fouls5

TapatíoMorelia

1Cards0

TapatíoMorelia

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.26Points bawat match1.63

TapatíoMorelia

1.74Goals na na-score / match1.44

TapatíoMorelia

1.48Goals na na-concede / match1.15

TapatíoMorelia

1.45xG for1.61

TapatíoMorelia

47%Average na possession51%

TapatíoMorelia

4.57Shots on target bawat match5.26

TapatíoMorelia

17%Clean sheets37%

TapatíoMorelia

65%Parehong teams naka-score48%

TapatíoMorelia

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

12.35Shots bawat match13.59

TapatíoMorelia

4.57Shots on target5.26

TapatíoMorelia

14.1%Shot conversion10.6%

TapatíoMorelia

47%Possession51%

TapatíoMorelia

1.45xG for1.61

TapatíoMorelia

1.69xG against1.34

TapatíoMorelia

Quality ng shooting

Tapatío: Counter-attacking ang styleMorelia: Balanced ang style

	Tapatío	Morelia
Accuracy ng shots on target	37%	39%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)	0.12	0.12
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)	0.38	0.27

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Morelia ang 71% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

1.4 pts / match - Tapatío · 2.4 pts / match - Morelia

Tapatío

WWDLL

Result split ngayong season

35% W22% R43% P

Season record (W-D-L)

8-5-10

1.26 pts / match · goal difference +6

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-1-2

1.40 pts / match

Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)

6-1-4

Last 5 sa home

4-0-1

WWWWL

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 2.4Goals na na-concede: 2.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Morelia

WWWLW

Result split ngayong season

44% W30% R26% P

Season record (W-D-L)

12-8-7

1.63 pts / match · goal difference +8

Last 5 (W-D-L)

4-0-1

2.40 pts / match

Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)

4-5-4

Last 5 sa away

2-2-1

DWDWL

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.6Goals na na-concede: 1.0xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Tapatío ang 21% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.74 goals / match - Tapatío · 1.44 goals / match - Morelia

Morelia ang 29% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.48 goals / match - Tapatío · 1.15 goals / match - Morelia

Scoring profile ng Tapatío: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Tapatío sa 78% ng matches (18 sa 23 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Morelia sa 37% (10 sa 27 matches).

Scoring profile ng Morelia: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Morelia sa 74% ng matches (20 sa 27 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Tapatío sa 17% (4 sa 23 matches).

40Goals na na-score (season)39

TapatíoMorelia

34Goals na na-concede (season)31

TapatíoMorelia

3.22Average ng goals sa match2.59

TapatíoMorelia

12Goals na na-score (last 5)8

TapatíoMorelia

10Goals na na-concede (last 5)5

TapatíoMorelia

Tapatío

17%

Clean sheets4 sa 23 matches

22%

No goal5 sa 23 matches

Morelia

37%

Clean sheets10 sa 27 matches

26%

No goal7 sa 27 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

78%1 goal74%

TapatíoMorelia

57%2 goals44%

TapatíoMorelia

30%3 goals26%

TapatíoMorelia

9%4 goals0%

TapatíoMorelia

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

83%1 goal63%

TapatíoMorelia

48%2 goals30%

TapatíoMorelia

13%3 goals15%

TapatíoMorelia

4%4 goals4%

TapatíoMorelia

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

65%

Tapatío - BTTS15 sa 23 matches

48%

Morelia - BTTS13 sa 27 matches

55%

Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

26%BTTS sa half-time26%

TapatíoMorelia

13%BTTS sa parehong halves4%

TapatíoMorelia

52%Naka-score sa parehong halves33%

TapatíoMorelia

BTTS at goal count

61%Min. 3 goals at BTTS33%

TapatíoMorelia

4%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS22%

TapatíoMorelia

100%BTTS - last 560%

TapatíoMorelia

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

96%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)89%

TapatíoMorelia

83%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)74%

TapatíoMorelia

65%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)56%

TapatíoMorelia

48%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)26%

TapatíoMorelia

17%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)15%

TapatíoMorelia

Over / Under - Tapatío

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 96%Under 4%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 83%Under 17%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 65%Under 35%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 48%Under 52%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 17%Under 83%

Over / Under - Morelia

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 89%Under 11%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 74%Under 26%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 56%Under 44%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 26%Under 74%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 15%Under 85%

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time63%

TapatíoMorelia

48%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time41%

TapatíoMorelia

13%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time22%

TapatíoMorelia

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time78%

TapatíoMorelia

48%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time44%

TapatíoMorelia

26%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time7%

TapatíoMorelia

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Tapatío ang 6% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.57 pts / match - Tapatío · 1.48 pts / match - Morelia

Tapatío - state sa half-time

43% nangunguna26% tabla30% nahuhuli

Morelia - state sa half-time

33% nangunguna48% tabla19% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.57Points bawat match (1st half)1.48

TapatíoMorelia

0.87Goals na na-score (1st half)0.7

TapatíoMorelia

0.7Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.59

TapatíoMorelia

1.57Average ng goals (1st half)1.3

TapatíoMorelia

48%Clean sheet bago ang half-time67%

TapatíoMorelia

35%Walang goal bago ang half-time44%

TapatíoMorelia

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points bawat match (2nd half)1.48

TapatíoMorelia

0.87Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.74

TapatíoMorelia

0.78Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.56

TapatíoMorelia

1.65Average ng goals (2nd half)1.3

TapatíoMorelia

39%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time59%

TapatíoMorelia

35%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time48%

TapatíoMorelia

Tapatío - mga result sa second half

35% W35% R30% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.57

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding81%

Leading sa half-time sa 43% ng matches at nananalo sa 35%. Karaniwang napoprotektahan ang lead hanggang full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Morelia - mga result sa second half

37% W37% R26% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.48

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding133%

Leading sa half-time sa 33% ng matches at nananalo sa 44%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Tapatío - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.80	2.00
Goals na na-score / match	1.0	1.4
Goals na na-concede / match	1.0	1.0
Average ng goals sa match	2.0	2.4
1 goal	100%	100%
2 goals	60%	80%
3 goals	20%	60%
Clean sheet	60%	20%
No goal	20%	0%
Goal difference	0	+2

Half-time: 60% nangunguna - 0% tabla - 40% nahuhuli

2nd half: 60% panalo - 20% tabla - 20% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 5

Morelia - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.00	2.20
Goals na na-score / match	0.6	1.0
Goals na na-concede / match	0.8	0.2
Average ng goals sa match	1.4	1.2
1 goal	60%	80%
2 goals	40%	40%
3 goals	40%	0%
Clean sheet	60%	80%
No goal	40%	20%
Goal difference	-1	+4

Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 40% nahuhuli

2nd half: 60% panalo - 40% tabla - 0% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 40% - Total goals sa half-time: 3

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Tapatío

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (10). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +2 - malakas sa late phases.

Morelia

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 0-15 (7). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +6 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.90

Estimated na goals

attack laban sa opponent defence

1.4 : 1.5

Estimated na hati ng goals

home : away

99%

Pace kumpara sa liga

100% = average ng liga

57%

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)

average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches

58%

BTTS estimate

mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams

0:0 risk

mga 1 sa bawat 17 matches

2-3

Pinakakaraniwang goal range

attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Tapatío

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

-0.24

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+0.50

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-11.1 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

+0.29

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.21

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

100%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

124%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+0.14

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

0.0

Mga late goal

30% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 15% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

30%

Morelia

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

+0.27

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+0.02

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-5.6 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.17

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.19

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

121%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

66%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+0.77

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.0

Mga late goal

31% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 15% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

31%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Ascenso MX.

Teams kumpara sa liga

	Tapatío	Liga	Morelia
Average ng goals sa match	▲ 3.22	2.93	▼ 2.59
Parehong teams naka-score	▲ 65%	55%	▼ 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 65%	53%	▲ 56%
Clean sheets	▼ 17%	26%	▲ 37%
Goal bago ang half-time	▲ 91%	74%	▼ 63%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time	▲ 83%	79%	• 78%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.93

Average goals bawat match

55%

Parehong teams naka-score

53%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

26%

Clean sheets

1.74

Home goals bawat match

1.19

Away goals bawat match

+46%

Advantage ng home attack

+32%

Advantage ng home defence

+23%

Kabuuang home advantage

Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)

74%

1 goal

38%

2 goals

17%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)

79%

1 goal

45%

2 goals

21%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Starting lineup

43Rodrigo Parra Vázquez 44Saúl Zamora⚽ 1 48Leonardo Sebastián Jiménez QuinteroA 1 · 🟨 1 · lumabas 46'56Angel Chavez 57Jesus Hernandez 60Luis Enrique Ledesma Hurtadolumabas 66'62Brandon Tellezlumabas 78'225Cristian Samir Inda Becerra

Substitutes

50Cruz MedinaA 1 · pumasok 66'

51Axel Leyvapumasok 1'

53Carlo Soldati Lópezpumasok 78'54Abraham Emiliano Freyfeld Sánchezpumasok 1'55Sebastián Maximiliano Esparza Gonzálezpumasok 46'63Matías Cendejas Sánchezpumasok 1'67Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillopumasok 1'69Daniel Villaseca Kubikovapumasok 1'

Other recorded players

—Vladimir Moragrega Soto⚽ 1

Away team

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

14'
TapatíoGoalVladimir Moragrega SotoAssist: Leonardo Sebastián Jiménez Quintero
28'
TapatíoYellow cardLeonardo Sebastián Jiménez Quintero
42'
MoreliaGoalRuben Del CampoAssist: Cristian Daniel Cruz Regueiro
46'
TapatíoSubstitutionPumasok: Sebastián Maximiliano Esparza GonzálezLumabas: Leonardo Sebastián Jiménez Quintero
66'
TapatíoSubstitutionPumasok: Cruz MedinaLumabas: Luis Enrique Ledesma Hurtado
69'
MoreliaSubstitutionPumasok: José Alonso Flores RamírezLumabas: Ruben Del Campo
70'
MoreliaSubstitutionPumasok: Hugo Enrique Ávila JaimesLumabas: Gael Denirán Moreno Esquivel
71'
TapatíoGoalSaúl ZamoraAssist: Cruz Medina
78'
TapatíoSubstitutionPumasok: Carlo Soldati LópezLumabas: Brandon Tellez

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

RefereeMauricio Eleazar López Sánchez

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Mauricio Eleazar López SánchezMatches officiated: 10

4.8Cards kada match

0Penalties kada match

1 / X / 240%Home wins20%Draws40%Away wins

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Tapatío 0 - 1 - 0 Morelia. Average ng goals 0.00, both teams scored sa 0% matches.

CA Monarcas Morelia

0 : 010/12/2025

CD Tapatío

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Tapatío vs Morelia?

Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Tapatío 2:1 Morelia. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tapatío vs Morelia?

Tapatío scores 1.74 goals per match at Morelia 1.44. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.93 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Tapatío 65%, Morelia 48%.

Ano ang current form ng Tapatío at Morelia?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Tapatío ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Morelia ay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tapatío vs Morelia?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.