Mexico - Ascenso MXData updated noong July 23, 2026

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante: match stats

125%(2.90)
X20%(3.10)
255%(2.20)

Desididong mas superior ang form at stats ng Atlante ngayong season. Nanalo ang visitors ng 9 sa 16 matches, kumamada ng 36 goals habang 12 lang ang na-concede, para sa impressive na +24 goal difference. Sa away fixtures, may 50% Win% ang Atlante, nakakakuha ng clean sheet sa kalahati ng mga laro, at nagtatala ng average na 2.13 goals per match. Sa kabilang banda, mahina ang form ng Tepatitlán de Morelos, lalo na sa last five games (PPG: 0.8) kung saan tatlo ang talo nila. Ang hosts ay may 33% win rate lang sa home at nasa negative streak. Ang dominance ng Atlante ay kitang-kita sa possession (61% vs 52%), shot efficiency (18% vs 7%), at superior xG stats. Lahat ng factors na ito ay nagtuturo sa malinaw na advantage ng guests at probable victory para sa Atlante.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 11 January 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Atlante: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 at concedes 0.95 goals per match. Atlante scores 1.84 at concedes 0.97. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, Atlante 50%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%, Atlante 47%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at playing style

Atlante ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.93 vs 1.59. Tepatitlán de Morelos averages 13.2 shots per match, habang Atlante ay 17.3.

First at second half

Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at half-time sa 30% ng matches at scores 0.78 goals after the break. Atlante: 31% at 1.06.

Goals by minute

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (22 goals). Atlante: 76-90+ (15 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Sa 5 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 2-2-1. Average goals: 1.80, BTTS: 40%.

Match description

Desididong mas superior ang form at stats ng Atlante ngayong season. Nanalo ang visitors ng 9 sa 16 matches, kumamada ng 36 goals habang 12 lang ang na-concede, para sa impressive na +24 goal difference. Sa away fixtures, may 50% Win% ang Atlante, nakakakuha ng clean sheet sa kalahati ng mga laro, at nagtatala ng average na 2.13 goals per match. Sa kabilang banda, mahina ang form ng Tepatitlán de Morelos, lalo na sa last five games (PPG: 0.8) kung saan tatlo ang talo nila. Ang hosts ay may 33% win rate lang sa home at nasa negative streak. Ang dominance ng Atlante ay kitang-kita sa possession (61% vs 52%), shot efficiency (18% vs 7%), at superior xG stats. Lahat ng factors na ito ay nagtuturo sa malinaw na advantage ng guests at probable victory para sa Atlante.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
11Shots10
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
3Shots on target2
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
1.49xG1.14
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
5Corners1
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
80Dangerous attacks50
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
13Fouls11
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
3Cards4
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
1.35Goals scored / match1.84
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
0.95Goals conceded / match0.97
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
49%Average possession62%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
5Shots on target / match6.47
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.23Shots per match17.25
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
5Shots on target6.47
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
10.2%Shot conversion10.7%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
49%Possession62%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
1.59xG for1.93
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
1.29xG against0.95
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

Shooting quality

Tepatitlán de Morelos: BalancedAtlante: Dominant
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
Accuracy (shots on target)38%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.4 pts / match - Atlante

Tepatitlán de Morelos
DDWWL
Season result split
38% W38% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-15-10
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-4-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Atlante
WLDWL
Season result split
47% W28% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-9-8
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlante is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.35 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.84 goals / match - Atlante

Scoring profile ng Tepatitlán de Morelos: malakas

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 73% of matches (29 of 40 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).

Scoring profile ng Atlante: napakalakas

Atlante scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).

54Goals scored (season)59
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
38Goals conceded (season)31
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
2.3Average goals in match2.81
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal84%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
40%2 goals44%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
18%3 goals28%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
5%4 goals16%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal63%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
20%2 goals19%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
8%3 goals13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
3%4 goals3%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 40 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time22%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
25%Scored in both halves22%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
60%BTTS - last 560%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlante is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.38 pts / match - Atlante

Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
30% leading38% draw33% trailing
Atlante - half-time state
31% leading44% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.38
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.31
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
50%Clean sheet before half-time59%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
60%No goal before half-time53%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per match (2nd half)1.81
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
65%Clean sheet after half-time66%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante
43%No goal after half-time41%
Tepatitlán de MorelosAtlante

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

43% W38% R20% P
51
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlante - second-half results

50% W31% R19% P
44
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Atlante - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
10
8
0-15
8
6
16-30
5
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
6
4
61-75
22
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.

Atlante
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
3
7
16-30
14
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
10
3
61-75
15
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-20.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

Atlante

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.98
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-21.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Tepatitlán de MorelosLigaAtlante
Average goals in match 2.302.85 2.81
Both teams scored 50%57% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%53% 47%
Clean sheets 35%25% 38%
Goal before half-time 73%74% 66%
Goal after half-time 75%80% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Tepatitlán de Morelos 2 - 2 - 1 Atlante. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% mga match.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 : 0
Club Atlante
Club Atlante
2 : 0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Club Atlante
1 : 1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 : 0
Club Atlante
Club Atlante
1 : 1
Tepatitlán de Morelos

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?

Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:1 Atlante. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Tepatitlán de Morelos at Atlante?

Sa huling 5 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ng 2, ang Atlante ng 1, at 2 ang draws. Average goals: 1.80; BTTS: 40%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 goals per match at Atlante 1.84. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, Atlante 50%.

Ano ang current form ng Tepatitlán de Morelos at Atlante?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Atlante ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.