Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT: match stats
Si Tepatitlán de Morelos ay nagpapakita ng mas solid na form at stats sa kanilang home games. Ang hosts ay nananalo ng 36% ng kanilang home matches, na may positive goal difference (+3) at high average xG (1.71), na nagpapatunay ng effective offensive play. Si Correcaminos UAT ay very poor performer sa away – only 11% win rate, catastrophic goal difference (-13) at average 2.33 goals conceded per match. Ang visitors ay may very low average shots on target (2.44) at xG (1.01), na nagpapakita ng kanilang limited capability to create scoring chances. Ang recent form ng both teams (1.6 PPG para sa hosts vs 1.0 PPG para sa guests) ay further confirms ang advantage ni Tepatitlán. Considering all indicators, home win ang most likely scenario para sa match na ito.
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 7 February 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Correcaminos UAT: 0-0-5 at 0.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 at concedes 0.95 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.07 at concedes 2.21. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, Correcaminos UAT 71%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%, Correcaminos UAT 68%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots at playing style
Tepatitlán de Morelos ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.59 vs 1.15. Tepatitlán de Morelos averages 13.2 shots per match, habang Correcaminos UAT ay 9.1.
First at second half
Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at half-time sa 30% ng matches at scores 0.78 goals after the break. Correcaminos UAT: 7% at 0.71.
Goals by minute
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (22 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (10 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 5.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Si Tepatitlán de Morelos ay nagpapakita ng mas solid na form at stats sa kanilang home games. Ang hosts ay nananalo ng 36% ng kanilang home matches, na may positive goal difference (+3) at high average xG (1.71), na nagpapatunay ng effective offensive play. Si Correcaminos UAT ay very poor performer sa away – only 11% win rate, catastrophic goal difference (-13) at average 2.33 goals conceded per match. Ang visitors ay may very low average shots on target (2.44) at xG (1.01), na nagpapakita ng kanilang limited capability to create scoring chances. Ang recent form ng both teams (1.6 PPG para sa hosts vs 1.0 PPG para sa guests) ay further confirms ang advantage ni Tepatitlán. Considering all indicators, home win ang most likely scenario para sa match na ito.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.07 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 2.21 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 73% of matches (29 of 40 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
Correcaminos UAT scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under — Correcaminos UAT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 135% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 0.54 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Correcaminos UAT
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tepatitlán de Morelos 1 - 0 - 0 Correcaminos UAT. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT?
Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:1 Correcaminos UAT. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT?
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 goals per match at Correcaminos UAT 1.07. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, Correcaminos UAT 71%.
Ano ang current form ng Tepatitlán de Morelos at Correcaminos UAT?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Correcaminos UAT ay 0-0-5 (0.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.