Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Durango: mga stats ng match

Tepatitlán de Morelos sa last 5 games naka-score ng 7 goals (avg 1.4 per game) at may record na 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, giving 1.6 points per game. Durango sa parehong period naka-score ng 4 goals (0.8 per game) at may 1 win, 3 draws at 1 loss, avg 1.2 points per game. Home team clearly stronger offensively (7 vs 4 goals in 5 matches) at higher points average (1.6 vs 1.2), pero nagco-concede din sila ng more goals (6 conceded vs 4 ng opponents), which suggests risk ng open, goal-heavy match. Durango naman tends sa draws (3 draws in 5 matches), na nagtataas ng probability ng split points, pero lower goals average ng away side limits their chances to win. Kaya favorite is Tepatitlán de Morelos, pero ina-expect ko din real chance ng draw.