Mexico - Ascenso MXData updated noong July 23, 2026

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados: match stats

165%(1.60)
X22%(3.90)
213%(4.30)

Ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay nagpapakita ng mas matibay na home form na may 50% win rate sa kanilang home matches at isang impressive na goal difference na +9. Ang home team ay nakakascore ng average na 1.5 goals per game habang mayroon silang 36% clean sheet rate, na nagpapakita ng solid na depensa. Ang Venados naman ay sobrang mahina sa away matches – 82% losses, 0% draws, at wala silang nakuha na clean sheet sa buong season. Ang away team ay nakakaconcede ng average na 2.36 goals kada away game, na kapag sinabayan ng kanilang poor form (5 losses sa huling 6 nilang away matches) ay nagpapakita na sila ay very vulnerable. Ang difference sa quality of play, lalo na sa home advantage ng Tepatitlán at sa disastrous away form ng Venados, ay nag-iindicate ng clear advantage para sa Tepatitlán. Ang xG stats ay nagco-confirm din ng tendency na ito – mas maraming chances ang ginagawa ng home team (1.74 xG) kaysa sa away team (1.25 xG), at mas maganda ang depensa nila (1.21 xGA vs 1.79 xGA).

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 21 March 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Venados: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.

Goal statistics

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 at concedes 0.95 goals per match. Venados scores 1.93 at concedes 1.96. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, Venados 64%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%, Venados 61%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at playing style

Tepatitlán de Morelos ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.59 vs 1.48. Tepatitlán de Morelos averages 13.2 shots per match, habang Venados ay 12.5.

First at second half

Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at half-time sa 30% ng matches at scores 0.78 goals after the break. Venados: 25% at 1.14.

Goals by minute

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (22 goals). Venados: 46-60 (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay nagpapakita ng mas matibay na home form na may 50% win rate sa kanilang home matches at isang impressive na goal difference na +9. Ang home team ay nakakascore ng average na 1.5 goals per game habang mayroon silang 36% clean sheet rate, na nagpapakita ng solid na depensa. Ang Venados naman ay sobrang mahina sa away matches – 82% losses, 0% draws, at wala silang nakuha na clean sheet sa buong season. Ang away team ay nakakaconcede ng average na 2.36 goals kada away game, na kapag sinabayan ng kanilang poor form (5 losses sa huling 6 nilang away matches) ay nagpapakita na sila ay very vulnerable. Ang difference sa quality of play, lalo na sa home advantage ng Tepatitlán at sa disastrous away form ng Venados, ay nag-iindicate ng clear advantage para sa Tepatitlán. Ang xG stats ay nagco-confirm din ng tendency na ito – mas maraming chances ang ginagawa ng home team (1.74 xG) kaysa sa away team (1.25 xG), at mas maganda ang depensa nila (1.21 xGA vs 1.79 xGA).

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
14Shots11
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
6Shots on target4
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
1.74xG1.55
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
3Corners5
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
60Dangerous attacks78
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
18Fouls7
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
2Cards3
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
1.35Goals scored / match1.93
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
0.95Goals conceded / match1.96
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
49%Average possession50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
5Shots on target / match4.89
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.23Shots per match12.54
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
5Shots on target4.89
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
10.2%Shot conversion15.4%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
49%Possession50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
1.59xG for1.48
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
1.29xG against1.65
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

Shooting quality

Tepatitlán de Morelos: BalancedVenados: Efficient finishing
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
DDWWL
Season result split
38% W38% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-15-10
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-4-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Venados
LWDWD
Season result split
32% W25% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-12
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-10
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Venados is 43% better for: goals scored per match.

1.35 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.93 goals / match - Venados

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 106% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.96 goals / match - Venados

Scoring profile ng Tepatitlán de Morelos: napakalakas

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 73% of matches (29 of 40 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 28 matches).

Scoring profile ng Venados: malakas

Venados scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).

54Goals scored (season)54
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
38Goals conceded (season)55
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
2.3Average goals in match3.89
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
7Goals scored (last 5)9
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal71%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
40%2 goals50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
18%3 goals32%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
5%4 goals25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal93%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
20%2 goals54%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
8%3 goals36%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
3%4 goals14%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 40 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time36%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
3%BTTS in both halves21%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
25%Scored in both halves39%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
60%BTTS - last 580%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.14 pts / match - Venados

Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
30% leading38% draw33% trailing
Venados - half-time state
25% leading39% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.14
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.61
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
50%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
60%No goal before half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)1.14
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
1.23Average goals (2nd half)2.29
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
65%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados
43%No goal after half-time39%
Tepatitlán de MorelosVenados

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

43% W38% R20% P
51
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Venados - second-half results

39% W21% R39% P
32
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Venados - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
10
8
0-15
8
6
16-30
5
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
6
4
61-75
22
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.

Venados
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
5
7
16-30
9
10
31-45
12
11
46-60
9
6
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.09
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-20.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

Venados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Tepatitlán de MorelosLigaVenados
Average goals in match 2.302.85 3.89
Both teams scored 50%57% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%53% 61%
Clean sheets 35%25% 7%
Goal before half-time 73%74% 75%
Goal after half-time 75%80% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Tepatitlán de Morelos 0 - 0 - 1 Venados. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Venados FC Yucatán
1 : 0
Tepatitlán de Morelos

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados?

Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:0 Venados. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados?

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 goals per match at Venados 1.93. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, Venados 64%.

Ano ang current form ng Tepatitlán de Morelos at Venados?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Tepatitlán de Morelos ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Venados ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.