Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueAstana ArenaData updated noong July 23, 2026

Tobol vs Altay: match stats

Tobol crest
Tobol
3 : 1half-time 1:1
Altay crest
Altay

Tobol vs Altay: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Tobol vs Altay sa Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). Naka-schedule ang match sa 28 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Astana Arena. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Tobol: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Altay: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

Tobol scores 1.11 at concedes 1.44 goals per match. Altay scores 0.78 at concedes 1.22. League average: 2.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tobol 61%, Altay 44%. Over 2.5: Tobol 50%, Altay 28%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots at playing style

Tobol ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.55 vs 1.25. Tobol averages 13.3 shots per match, habang Altay ay 10.7.

First at second half

Tobol leads at half-time sa 22% ng matches at scores 0.56 goals after the break. Altay: 6% at 0.61.

Goals by minute

Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). Altay: 76-90+ (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Tobol has clear home advantage — nag-aaverage sila ng 1.33 goals per match at nagge-generate ng xG 1.84, habang si Altay sa away matches ay may only 0.67 goals per match at xG 1.27. Hosts pumaputok ng mas maraming shots (16.83 vs 11.33) at more shots on target (5 vs 4.17), which translates to better chance creation. Ang difference sa efficiency makikita rin sa percent ng matches na walang goal — Tobol hindi naka-score sa 17% ng home games, habang Altay failed to score in 50% ng away matches, na nagfa-favor sa hosts. Defensively pareho silang nagpapatalo ng around 1.17 goals on average sa kani-kanilang contexts, pero Tobol has 33% clean sheets at home vs 0% clean sheets ng Altay away, na nagpapakita ng greater defensive stability for the hosts. Considering higher quality ng created chances (xG 1.84 vs 1.27), higher shot volume at lower percent of scoreless games, predicted result is a Tobol win; chances I estimate: 60% for the hosts, 25% draw, 15% for the visitors.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

67Possession (%)33
TobolAltay
16Shots10
TobolAltay
6Shots on target5
TobolAltay
1.86xG1.26
TobolAltay
4Corners4
TobolAltay
59Dangerous attacks38
TobolAltay
13Fouls9
TobolAltay
1Cards4
TobolAltay

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.11Goals scored / match0.78
TobolAltay
1.44Goals conceded / match1.22
TobolAltay
55%Average possession43%
TobolAltay
4.11Shots on target / match4.06
TobolAltay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.28Shots per match10.72
TobolAltay
4.11Shots on target4.06
TobolAltay
8.4%Shot conversion7.3%
TobolAltay
55%Possession43%
TobolAltay
1.55xG for1.25
TobolAltay
1.54xG against1.47
TobolAltay

Shooting quality

Tobol: BalancedAltay: Balanced
TobolAltay
Accuracy (shots on target)31%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tobol
LWLWD
Season result split
28% W22% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Altay
DLWWL
Season result split
17% W39% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-8
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tobol is 42% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Tobol · 0.78 goals / match - Altay

Altay is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.44 goals / match - Tobol · 1.22 goals / match - Altay

Scoring profile ng Tobol: malakas

Tobol scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Scoring profile ng Altay: napakalakas

Altay scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).

20Goals scored (season)14
TobolAltay
26Goals conceded (season)22
TobolAltay
2.56Average goals in match2
TobolAltay
8Goals scored (last 5)8
TobolAltay
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
TobolAltay

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal56%
TobolAltay
28%2 goals17%
TobolAltay
11%3 goals6%
TobolAltay
0%4 goals0%
TobolAltay

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal72%
TobolAltay
39%2 goals28%
TobolAltay
11%3 goals17%
TobolAltay
6%4 goals6%
TobolAltay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time11%
TobolAltay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TobolAltay
11%Scored in both halves0%
TobolAltay

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
TobolAltay
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TobolAltay
80%BTTS - last 560%
TobolAltay

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
TobolAltay
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
TobolAltay
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TobolAltay

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
TobolAltay
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
TobolAltay
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
TobolAltay

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tobol is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / match - Tobol · 0.72 pts / match - Altay

Tobol - half-time state
22% leading61% draw17% trailing
Altay - half-time state
6% leading56% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per match (1st half)0.72
TobolAltay
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.17
TobolAltay
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
TobolAltay
1.06Average goals (1st half)0.78
TobolAltay
56%Clean sheet before half-time50%
TobolAltay
50%No goal before half-time83%
TobolAltay

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.33
TobolAltay
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
TobolAltay
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
TobolAltay
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.22
TobolAltay
39%Clean sheet after half-time56%
TobolAltay
67%No goal after half-time61%
TobolAltay

Tobol - second-half results

22% W28% R50% P
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Altay - second-half results

28% W50% R22% P
13
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding283%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tobol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Altay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tobol
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Altay
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
4
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-56%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tobol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

Altay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

TobolLigaAltay
Average goals in match 2.562.31 2.00
Both teams scored 61%52% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%42% 28%
Clean sheets 11%29% 28%
Goal before half-time 61%62% 56%
Goal after half-time 78%70% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Tobol 0 - 0 - 1 Altay. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Tobol vs Altay?

Natapos ang Kazakhstan Premier League match sa score na Tobol 3:1 Altay. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tobol vs Altay?

Tobol scores 1.11 goals per match at Altay 0.78. Ang Kazakhstan Premier League average ay 2.31 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 42% ng matches. BTTS: Tobol 61%, Altay 44%.

Ano ang current form ng Tobol at Altay?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Tobol ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Altay ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tobol vs Altay?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.