Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueAstana ArenaData updated noong July 23, 2026

Tobol vs Atyrau: match stats

Reasoning:

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Tobol vs Atyrau: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Tobol vs Atyrau sa Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). Naka-schedule ang match sa 26 July 2026 at 14:00. Venue: Astana Arena.

Current form

Tobol: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Atyrau: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Tobol scores 1.11 at concedes 1.44 goals per match. Atyrau scores 0.76 at concedes 0.94. League average: 2.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tobol 61%, Atyrau 53%. Over 2.5: Tobol 50%, Atyrau 24%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots at playing style

Tobol ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.55 vs 0.87. Tobol averages 13.3 shots per match, habang Atyrau ay 6.7.

First at second half

Tobol leads at half-time sa 22% ng matches at scores 0.56 goals after the break. Atyrau: 18% at 0.41.

Goals by minute

Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). Atyrau: 61-75 (4 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-1. Average goals: 2.67, BTTS: 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.13)
(3.31)
(3.41)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.11Goals scored / match0.76
TobolAtyrau
1.44Goals conceded / match0.94
TobolAtyrau
55%Average possession39%
TobolAtyrau
4.11Shots on target / match2.76
TobolAtyrau

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.28Shots per match6.71
TobolAtyrau
4.11Shots on target2.76
TobolAtyrau
8.4%Shot conversion11.4%
TobolAtyrau
55%Possession39%
TobolAtyrau
1.55xG for0.87
TobolAtyrau
1.54xG against1.52
TobolAtyrau

Shooting quality

Tobol: BalancedAtyrau: Balanced
TobolAtyrau
Accuracy (shots on target)31%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tobol is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Tobol · 0.8 pts / match - Atyrau

Tobol
LWLWD
Season result split
28% W22% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Atyrau
DWLLL
Season result split
18% W53% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-9-5
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-6-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tobol is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Tobol · 0.76 goals / match - Atyrau

Atyrau is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.44 goals / match - Tobol · 0.94 goals / match - Atyrau

Scoring profile ng Tobol: malakas

Tobol scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).

Scoring profile ng Atyrau: napakalakas

Atyrau scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).

20Goals scored (season)13
TobolAtyrau
26Goals conceded (season)16
TobolAtyrau
2.56Average goals in match1.71
TobolAtyrau
8Goals scored (last 5)5
TobolAtyrau
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
TobolAtyrau

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal65%
TobolAtyrau
28%2 goals12%
TobolAtyrau
11%3 goals0%
TobolAtyrau
0%4 goals0%
TobolAtyrau

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal65%
TobolAtyrau
39%2 goals24%
TobolAtyrau
11%3 goals6%
TobolAtyrau
6%4 goals0%
TobolAtyrau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time18%
TobolAtyrau
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TobolAtyrau
11%Scored in both halves0%
TobolAtyrau

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
TobolAtyrau
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TobolAtyrau
80%BTTS - last 580%
TobolAtyrau

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
TobolAtyrau
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
TobolAtyrau
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
TobolAtyrau

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
TobolAtyrau
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time12%
TobolAtyrau
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
TobolAtyrau

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tobol is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / match - Tobol · 1.06 pts / match - Atyrau

Tobol - half-time state
22% leading61% draw17% trailing
Atyrau - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per match (1st half)1.06
TobolAtyrau
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.35
TobolAtyrau
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
TobolAtyrau
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.06
TobolAtyrau
56%Clean sheet before half-time53%
TobolAtyrau
50%No goal before half-time71%
TobolAtyrau

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.41
TobolAtyrau
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.41
TobolAtyrau
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.24
TobolAtyrau
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.65
TobolAtyrau
39%Clean sheet after half-time76%
TobolAtyrau
67%No goal after half-time65%
TobolAtyrau

Tobol - second-half results

22% W28% R50% P
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atyrau - second-half results

29% W53% R18% P
18
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tobol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Atyrau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.60.2
Average goals in match2.20.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-5+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tobol
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Atyrau
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
3
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tobol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

Atyrau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

TobolLigaAtyrau
Average goals in match 2.562.31 1.71
Both teams scored 61%52% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%42% 24%
Clean sheets 11%29% 35%
Goal before half-time 61%62% 59%
Goal after half-time 78%70% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Tobol 1 - 1 - 1 Atyrau. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% mga match.

Atyrau
1 : 1
Tobol
FK Atyrau
1 : 0
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
5 : 0
FK Atyrau

Mga madalas itanong

Kailan ang Tobol vs Atyrau?

Tobol vs Atyrau ay naka-schedule sa July 26, 2026 sa Kazakhstan Premier League, venue: Astana Arena. Makikita sa match header ang exact kick-off time sa iyong timezone.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Tobol at Atyrau?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Tobol ng 1, ang Atyrau ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 2.67; BTTS: 33%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tobol vs Atyrau?

Tobol scores 1.11 goals per match at Atyrau 0.76. Ang Kazakhstan Premier League average ay 2.31 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 42% ng matches. BTTS: Tobol 61%, Atyrau 53%.

Ano ang current form ng Tobol at Atyrau?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Tobol ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Atyrau ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tobol vs Atyrau?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.