Tobol vs FC Caspiy: match stats
Tobol vs FC Caspiy: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Tobol vs FC Caspiy sa Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). Naka-schedule ang match sa 26 April 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Tobol: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. FC Caspiy: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
Tobol scores 1.11 at concedes 1.44 goals per match. FC Caspiy scores 0.89 at concedes 1.28. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tobol 61%, FC Caspiy 44%. Over 2.5: Tobol 50%, FC Caspiy 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots at playing style
Tobol ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.55 vs 1.01. Tobol averages 13.3 shots per match, habang FC Caspiy ay 9.2.
First at second half
Tobol leads at half-time sa 22% ng matches at scores 0.56 goals after the break. FC Caspiy: 17% at 0.50.
Goals by minute
Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). FC Caspiy: 76-90+ (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Wala pang sapat na head-to-head sample para gawing pangunahing comparison.
Match description
Ako bet: home win (1). Malinaw ang offensive edge ng Tobol — home team averages 1.5 goals per home game at may 10 goals sa last 5 matches, habang ang FC Caspiy naman ay 0.25 goals average on the road at 4 goals sa last 5. Makikita rin ang quality gap sa shots at efficiency: Tobol averages 12.5 shots at 3.5 on-target per match with 12% conversion, samantalang Caspiy 7 shots at 2.5 on-target with 4% conversion. xG confirms the home advantage — 1.41 xG for Tobol at home vs 0.86 xG for Caspiy away, so mga ~0.55 xG more per game for the hosts. Dapat ding i-note na Tobol hasn’t won at home yet (0% wins, 100% draws in home games), kaya draw is a realistic outcome. Kahit ganyan, ang differences sa efficiency at share ng goalless matches (hosts 0% matches without a goal vs guests 75% such away games) ang nagpapabigat ng kaso, kaya binibigyan ko ng 60% chance ang home win, 30% draw at 10% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tobol | FC Caspiy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Caspiy is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tobol · 2 pts / match - FC Caspiy
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tobol is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Tobol · 0.89 goals / match - FC Caspiy
FC Caspiy is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Tobol · 1.28 goals / match - FC Caspiy
Tobol scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while FC Caspiy keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
FC Caspiy scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tobol
Over / Under — FC Caspiy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tobol is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Tobol · 0.89 pts / match - FC Caspiy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tobol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Caspiy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Tobol
FC Caspiy
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tobol | Liga | FC Caspiy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 2.31 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Tobol vs FC Caspiy?
Natapos ang Kazakhstan Premier League match sa score na Tobol 2:1 FC Caspiy. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tobol vs FC Caspiy?
Tobol scores 1.11 goals per match at FC Caspiy 0.89. Ang Kazakhstan Premier League average ay 2.31 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 42% ng matches. BTTS: Tobol 61%, FC Caspiy 44%.
Ano ang current form ng Tobol at FC Caspiy?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Tobol ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang FC Caspiy ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tobol vs FC Caspiy?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.